Review of Austrian Economics
The Role of Entrepreneurship in Desocialization
Jeffrey M. Herbener
Now that communism has been repudiated across Central and Eastern Europe, the most pressing challenge for economic theory is to outline a process of desocialization for the former communist countries. Socialism’s most obvious economic failure is its inability to produce the goods necessary for its citizens to have even a modest standard of living by Western, capitalist standards. Because, as Ludwig von Mises stressed, the entrepreneur is the driving force behind the social creation of wealth, any policy of desocialization must incorporate an understanding of the role of entrepreneurship in social production.1 Because entrepreneurship is an integral part of their theories, Austrian school economists have more readily provided viable desocialization plans than those of other schools of thought.2 Formulating a social system with the proper channels for entrepreneurial expression is essential for newly emerging capitalist countries and for interventionist ones, such as the United States, as they seek to revitalize their stagnating economies.
To anyone concerned with the problems of economic prosperity and the progress of civilization, an understanding of entrepreneurship and its institutional prerequisites is essential. The first step is to develop the economic theory of entrepreneurship applicable to every action; The next is to discuss entrepreneurship in a free market and how it compares to entrepreneurship under a socialist system. Only then can one construct a program of desocialization that calls forth the greatest quantity and quality of entrepreneurial activity in social production and exchange.
The Role of Entrepreneurship in Human Action
Economic theory is constructed by deducing the necessary consequences of the irrefutable fact that human action exists.3 The purposefulness of human action provides the foundational concepts from which all economic theory stems: ends, means, ideas, scarcity, choice, preference, value, cost, profit and loss, etc. When engaging in action an individual must evaluate potential courses of action, choosing one he prefers and setting aside others of lesser value; formulate ideas concerning how the end might be attained by the combining of means, choosing the highest evaluated recipe for action; and evaluate the means required by the recipe, come to control these means in action (i.e., own them) and so be able to combine them in an attempt to attain the end. In each action, the actor views means as either consumer goods, ones immediately available to satisfy an end, or producer goods, ones intermediate to the creation of a consumer good. Producer goods can be further sub-categorized into labor—human effort, land—naturally existing items, and capital—man-made goods. An essential feature of the means of production is diversity; not only is each person’s labor different from that of every other person, so each parcel of land and each type of capital good is different from every other.
It follows immediately from the fact of action that when engaging in human action, i.e., applying means according to ideas to attain ends, individuals face an uncertain future. It is this uncertainty that calls forth the skill of entrepreneurship in each action a person takes. If the future state of affairs were known in advance with deterministic certainty, human action would be negated since the individual would not find it necessary to evaluate various ends (choosing the most preferred and setting aside others), to formulate ideas about how the end can be attained, nor to assess and accumulate the means he believes can be used cooperatively to attain the end. People would simply live out the preordained activities seen beforehand, never making errors in action caused by lack of foresight. Choice, as action requires it, would no longer be necessary; rather the problem of choice would be solved mechanically, much like solving an algebra problem.4
While not deterministic, neither can a person’s perception of future states of affairs be random. The very existence of human action negates this possibility as well, since no action could be purposeful in a random world lacking any ability to predict the outcome of using means in any particular way, e.g., drinking milk nourishes one time and poisons the next. For human action to exist, the world outside the actor’s mind must be orderly; i.e., characterized by time-invariant physical laws governing relationships among means, and subject to discovery by acting individuals.5
Uncertainty as a condition of human action lies between determinism and randomness, and implies the human capacity to form expectations of the future that do not diverge completely from it nor adhere completely to it.6 Entrepreneurship is the human ability to deal with uncertainty. Since every action is taken in the face of uncertainty, every action exhibits entrepreneurship, either to a lesser or greater degree.7
For an isolated individual the problem of uncertainty, for which entrepreneurship must provide a solution, concerns only the physical laws governing the relationships among means and the perceptions of his mind. Any action Robinson Crusoe takes requires him to apply his labor, which he owns naturally, to transform his physical surroundings into capital goods and eventually consumer goods (i.e., to homestead the island) which he then owns as the product of his labor. In so attempting to attain an end, he can act erroneously by, say, trying to catch fish with his hare hands because, e.g., he underestimates the difficulty of the task or he overestimates the benefit of having the fish.
The Role of Entrepreneurship in a Free Market
Those who wish to participate in the social interaction of voluntary exchange and the division of labor have additional and more difficult entrepreneurial tasks, namely, to discover and to forecast the subjective values of other people. Despite this obstacle, most people prefer engaging in social interaction, instead of acting in isolation, because they benefit from it. This benefit derives from a primal fact of human existence: Individuals differ from one another, both in subjective values and labor skills.8 The former creates gain in subjective value from engaging in voluntary exchange as existing goods move from those who value them less to those who value them more, while the latter creates a gain in production from a division of labor as existing factors of production move from higher cost activities to lower cost activities. It is in these interactions that entrepreneurship finds its socially beneficial channels and plays its central role in the creation of society and progress of civilization.
The desire a person has to acquire the benefit of social interactions is insufficient to accomplish action in this setting. In addition, he must accurately forecast the subjective values of others to effectively participate in social production and exchange. Voluntary exchange requires that each person who wants to participate must produce and bring to market a good that other people find of sufficient subjective value that they will exchange valuable goods they own for it. While everyone must exhibit this skill to some extent, it is possible for individuals to arrange their production of consumer goods according to a division of labor where specialized entrepreneurs take over this function.
For most activities, people prefer the greater efficiency of arranging production according to comparative advantage and then obtaining goods by voluntary exchange, compared to self-sufficient productive efforts. Talking the factors of production he justifiably owns (his labor and homesteaded land and capital), each individual voluntarily contracts with others to use his property for specific tasks in cooperation with them. Entrepreneurship becomes a part of the division of labor as some show greater abilities to deal with uncertainties inherent in the process of social production. Specialized entrepreneurs perform the social functions of dealing with uncertainty, coordinating the diverse labor (and other factors) of numerous individuals, and directing production into the most socially valuable ends. The latter two activities would be impossible without money as a basis for economic calculation.
Money is essential for the development of any advanced, i.e., industrial, economic production.9 Without it no cardinal unit common to all exchange would exist and thus, participants would have no basis for making meaningful comparisons of the social value and cost of using diverse goods in action. Prices, which can exist only in money terms, that are determined in voluntary exchange indicate the degree of scarcity of goods; i.e., the subjective value placed on them relative to the amount of them in existence. Because money prices reflect subjective value and exist in cardinal units, they can be the ingredients of economic calculation.
Calculation of profit and loss is the process by which individuals determine what and how to produce in the complex latticework of social production.10 Without economic calculation, a social system would not be able to register true preferences for consumer goods or produce them rationally, i.e., taking account of opportunity costs. Money prices determined by the free exchange of private property ownership reflect the social scarcity of goods as individuals, demonstrating their preferences, freely buy, surrendering the value of other consumer goods, or refuse to buy, preferring the value of other consumer goods. Existing prices provide indispensable information from which entrepreneurial forecasts of the future scarcity of consumer goods can be made. Only then can entrepreneurs coordinate current productive activities to create those consumer goods with the greatest future social value.
The more difficult problem solved by economic calculation is selecting from the numerous techniques available to create a given consumer good. Without money prices, different techniques using various amounts and types of factors of production cannot be compared since they are denominated in non-comparable units, e.g., labor in hours and land in acres. Each factor must be evaluated with a common standard, denominated in cardinal numbers, to make comparisons among the techniques possible. Money prices for the factors of production reflect the value of those factors in the production of alternative consumer goods; thus, by comparing the total monetary payments required to produce a given consumer good using different techniques, the entrepreneur can determine which technique is socially efficient; i.e., which results in the lowest value of foregone consumer goods. In the absence of economic calculation, choosing one technique from among the many available can only be done arbitrarily and hence, irrationally.11
Entrepreneurs guide social production toward the attainment of desirable consumer goods by assuming the function of coordinating those who cooperate in the division of labor. This is accomplished through voluntary exchange, as each entrepreneur forms a business firm to contract with owners of factors of production internally and then to contract with the firms of other entrepreneurs externally.12 Through these contractual agreements, entrepreneurs construct a grand latticework of production from higher stage capital goods to lower stage capital goods to consumer goods. A structure of almost infinite complexity in its detail, requiring the coordination of all factors of production in the economic system, it is completely flexible in the service of changing consumer desires within the boundaries of private property ownership, technological possibilities, and existing capital goods. Entrepreneurs also bring about the transfer of factors of production across time, according to individual preferences, from producing current consumer goods to producing current capital goods necessary to build the structure so that the production of future consumer goods can increase.
It is through these contracts that entrepreneurs assume the uncertainty inherent in social production. They agree to pay the owners of the factors of production fixed sums of money in exchange for the use of these factors in production, the output of which they own, be it a capital good or consumer good. Because the market value of the factors is known in advance of production while the market value of the goods produced is not known until after they are produced, entrepreneurs become residual claimants, earning the profit or suffering the loss from the production process the magnitudes of which cannot be known in advance of production itself. It is their residual claimant status that links the incentive of entrepreneurs to actions that have demonstrable social value.
The ability to appeal to profit and loss gives entrepreneurs the information, incentive, and calculational process to act in accordance with social values, both externally from their business to others across the structure of production, and internally as a way to continuously check operations within their firm. Entrepreneurial activity can, therefore, penetrate into the firm’s internal operations. Mises says:
Business management or profit management is management directed by the profit motive. The objective of business management is to make a profit. As success or failure to attain this end can be ascertained by accounting not only for the whole business concern but also for any of its parts, it is feasible to decentralize both management and accountability without jeopardizing the unity of operations and the attainment of their goal. Responsibility can be divided. There is no need to limit the discretion of subordinates by any rules or regulations other than that underlying all business activities, namely, to render their operations profitable.13
The test of profit and loss applies not only to the firm vis-à-vis the market, but also within the firm as entrepreneurs use it to check the viability of internal operations. Thus, entrepreneurial activity has full reign both within firms (via both general and specialized entrepreneurship) and across firms (via specialized entrepreneurship) firms in a market system.14
While the process of exchange and production is driven by entrepreneurs, its goal is the satisfaction of the subjective values of those who participate as consumers and owners of factors of production. And thus, it is also a continuing testing ground for the selection of specialized entrepreneurs who best fulfill its goal. Those who cannot consistently earn profits and avoid losses will be weeded out from the ranks of specialized entrepreneurs, as capitalists, seek to provide funds to those who produce for them the highest returns.
The Role of Entrepreneurship in a Socialist System
Since social production requires the coordination of numerous, diverse individuals all engaging in human action, every social system must have channels for entrepreneurship. Social production cannot exist without entrepreneurship but each economic system opens different channels to it and opens them to different degrees. In the free market all channels are open to entrepreneurship within the boundaries of private property ownership and voluntary exchange. In socialism with state ownership of the means of production and legal prohibition of voluntary contracts, entrepreneurship is severely repressed and misdirected as its social functions are encroached upon by coercion and bureaucracy. Within the framework of the central plan, entrepreneurship takes on a peripheral role. Instead of being the driving force behind social production it becomes the means of coping with the contradictory and impossible demands of the plan. And yet, the ability of entrepreneurship to satisfy its social functions cannot be eradicated, a fact partially responsible for the economies of communist countries continuing to limp along year after year, providing their long-suffering citizens a meager standard of living.15
By eliminating private property and voluntary exchange, socialism eliminates money and money prices, and thus economic calculation and with it rational production. The planners not only cannot determine the relative scarcities, i.e., social value, of consumer goods, they have no meaningful way to choose among the various production techniques available to create the (socially) arbitrary list of consumer goods they have selected. They cannot rationally arrange a division of labor, lacking as they do information, incentives, and a calculational process. Under such conditions it becomes extremely difficult, if not impossible, for the planners to exhibit entrepreneurship even if one assumed that they had comparative advantage in it.16 Encompassed within the “single factory” that the economy becomes under socialism, the amount and accuracy of entrepreneurial insight are greatly diminished, severely hampering the social functions only entrepreneurs in the performance of their social functions.
Being planned from the top, the structure of production in a socialist economy must be simple and rigid vis-à-vis a capitalist economy since every production process in every stage of production must be written down and coordinated by the small group of planners.17 This process parallels what a specialized entrepreneur does within his business firm in planning internal operations, which illustrates why such a plan must be almost infinitely more simple than the entire free market production structure encompassing, as it does, all the insight and plans of every entrepreneur across all businesses. Socialism formally taps the entrepreneurial skill of only the central planners while capitalism formally provides a channel for the entrepreneurial insight and energy of everyone, either in a specialized role or generally, i.e., in every action.
The absence of private property and voluntary contract also nearly eliminates the ability of (potential) entrepreneurs, within the “single factory,” to assume the uncertainty of social production by becoming residual claimants. They are thus, unable to fulfill their social role in production or provide a testing ground to discover who has comparative advantage as specialized entrepreneurs. Instead, those involved in the process of production from the higher stage capital goods through to the lower stage capital goods and finally to the consumer goods become creatures of the bureaucracy. The central planners and bureaucrats issue orders, backed by coercion, to achieve production goals and thus, must rely on bureaucratic management, instead of profit and loss management, for fulfillment of the plan.
Mises defines bureaucratic management as, “the method applied in the conduct of administrative affairs the result of which has no cash value on the market,” or “management of affairs which cannot be checked by economic calculation.”18 Lacking the method of economic calculation, bureaucrats cannot exhibit entrepreneurship to any significant degree. Mises says:
Bureaucratic management is management bound to comply with detailed rules and regulations fixed by the authority of a superior body. The task of the bureaucrat is to perform what these rules and regulations order him to do. His discretion to act according to his own best conviction is seriously restricted by them.19
Bureaucracy places so many fetters on producers that most entrepreneurial activity is done illegally, some to nominally fulfill the plan, some to subvert it.20 Mises concludes:
Socialism, that is, full government control of all economic activities, is impracticable because a socialist community would lack the indispensable intellectual instrument of economic planning and designing: economic calculation. The very idea of central planning by the state is self-contradictory. A socialist central board of production management will be helpless in the face of the problems to be solved. It will never know whether the projects considered are advantageous or whether their performance would not bring about a waste of the means available. Socialism must result in complete chaos.21
No country in history has ever fully adopted socialism since it would mean swift death for its population. Instead, socialist countries play at central planning, overlooking widespread violations of the plan and using prices on international markets to engage in calculation.22
A Policy of Desocialization Accounting for Entrepreneurship
To provide for the full expression of the creative energies of entrepreneurs, the former communist countries must fully desocialize their economies by privatizing all property and removing the fetters of government intervention.23, 24 Complete desocialization requires putting full ownership (control of use in action including voluntary contract) of labor, land, and capital into the hands of individuals. With labor, this is relatively simple. Since each person naturally owns his labor it requires only that government interventions restricting the use of labor be abolished, allowing each person to freely contract and associate with others. Self-ownership and freedom of contract are necessary prerequisites of a completely entrepreneurial economy because entrepreneurship is an individual phenomenon and can only be expressed socially, by individuals, in the less-than-fully predictable process of earning profit and avoiding loss. Entrepreneurship cannot be centrally planned, either in specific decisions or personnel.
The initial ownership of land and capital is not as easily implemented but theoretically should follow the principle of homesteading since it in turn is derived from the principle of each person owning his labor. The application of homesteading to existing unjustly owned, i.e., state owned, property is a syndicalist strategy; that is, land to the farmers and capital to the workers.25 The labor of those who have worked the land under the collective ownership system gives them sufficient claim to the land to supersede the claims of others, save those who could demonstrably justify, i.e., by homesteading or contract, their ownership prior to state confiscation. Each parcel of land should be returned to those peasant farmers who worked it under collectivization. Likewise the ownership of capital should initially be given to those who worked in the various state-owned factories.26
Privatizing property would significantly reduce the size of government, eliminating state production and provision of goods and the massive bureaucracy necessary to operate the state apparatus. In its place, specialized entrepreneurs would emerge as those who render the greatest returns to the initial owners of land and capital as these owners sought out investment in entrepreneurial ventures. This voluntary method of capitalizing the specialized entrepreneurs is the only one consistent with the property ownership and freedom of all individuals. Simultaneously, it elicits the greatest quantity and quality of social entrepreneurship.27
The privatizing of socialist production centers should be done by creating ownership shares and distributing them to the workers at each center. Alternative schemes for privatizing these centers have either economic or ethical defects or both. For example, having a national auction where the state sells all state-owned property is grossly unjust: akin to having slaves pay their masters for the “privilege” of their freedom. Since the state is an illegitimate confiscator of property it has no just claim to sell or even use the property it has appropriated. If anything, justice demands that state officials compensate the populace for the decades of virtual enslavement under their communist regimes. A national lottery to give away all state property cannot satisfy the demands of justice either. By what right can those who have not attached their labor to the capital and land make a superior claim to those who have? There is no justice in a random distribution of previously homesteaded and then expropriated property. Finally, a scheme to inventory all state property and issue equal ownership shares to each person fails on both economic and ethical grounds. Justice demands that ownership of capital and land be objectively identified with those who transformed this property with their labor, and economic ownership requires that the individual be able to sell his shares or liquidate them in specific pieces or limited aggregates of property. This ability is the counterpart to that of entrepreneurs who in creating new business firms could issue and initially sell shares only in their own firms. If they cannot do this they do not fully own their firms. These private shares would quickly out-compete the inefficient collective ownership shares, which would eventually be divided into economically meaningful sub-components, like shares for each private business firm, or become worthless.28
Essential to the justice and economic success of such privatization would be free trade in these shares. The newly born stock market would quickly expand as emerging specialized entrepreneurs form new businesses and begin, with free capital markets in general, to correctly channel savings into the structure of production and across the structure to various processes for creation of the necessary capital goods without government intervention injecting irrationality into the process.
Money must also be returned to the market by state decrees to end monetary inflation immediately, to make the official currency redeemable in gold (at a rate appropriate to allow redemption of the entire stock of fiat paper for the state’s gold stock), and to allow entrepreneurs to freely produce money within the framework of property rights. Returning money to the market is necessary to meaningful economic calculation without which rational social production cannot occur. Allowing the state to maintain control of money, even partial, insures the distortion of entrepreneurial activity as the state uses this power to control spending and capital flows.29
Privatization should be instituted simultaneously with a complete dismantling of all forms of government intervention into the ensuing pattern of voluntary exchange and division of labor. This is a necessary condition of permitting private property ownership and of opening the channels for entrepreneurial activity in social production. With no more interference into the contractual conditions of private individuals, e.g., no price controls or occupational licensing, government would be further scaled back, releasing more bureaucrats into the productive private sector.
Finally, the process of desocialization should be done instantly, following the historic example of the German economic “miracle” begun by Ludwig Erhard on June 24, 1948.30 Halfway measures will not work since they create secondary problems and the ensuing political pressure to renew controls.31
No better example of this principle exists than the tragic plight of the people of the former East Germany who may miss this historic chance for freedom by their apparent acceptance of the West German welfare state instead of a free market.32 The results so far have been massive transfers of wealth from west to east caused by the artificial overvaluation of the East German mark; unjust property ownership caused by the sale of state assets and the preference in these sales to the politically connected; unemployment caused by the adoption of unemployment “insurance” and minimum wages; inefficient allocation of capital caused by acceptance of social security; inefficiencies and wealth destruction caused by implementation of a West-German-style tax structure and controls interfering with free domestic and international trade. Such a welfare-statist beginning does not bode well for the freedom and prosperity of the German people.
The East Germans would have been far better off traveling a course of complete privatization, not only for themselves, but for the irresistible pressure thereby put on the West German state to follow them down the privatization path. Unfortunately, they, like most people, have a dearth of principled, courageous, and knowledgeable statesmen who would take the initially, politically difficult path. Instead they are led by politicians willing to import the disastrous welfare-statist policies and politicians of West Germany.33
Entrepreneurship has no direct role in bringing about the program of desocialization. However, entrepreneurial activity has played a crucial indirect part by subverting the centrally planned system, illustrating to people the benefits of freedom. Those in the political system with the courage to desocialize will face their biggest obstacle in the bureaucracy, entrenched as it is in the status quo. Overcoming this obstacle will be a most difficult political problem; those who will take the unpopular course of instant desocialization are not political entrepreneurs but statesmen to whom their countrymen would owe a great debt of gratitude.34
Conclusions
Entrepreneurship is the driving force behind improving the ability of all people to attain their ends in cooperation with one another. The future condition of mankind depends on the channels provided within a social system for the functioning of entrepreneurship. To have the greatest amount of entrepreneurship of the highest quality, a social system must be based on the private ownership of property and individual liberty. Only then can the free market emerge incorporating the talents of everyone in a voluntary, cooperative edifice of exchange and production coordinated by entrepreneurship which is made possible by economic calculation. A rare moment in history has come, allowing countries of the world to institute the free market, and thus ensure the prosperity and gratitude of their progeny.
Jeffrey M. Herbener is assistant professor of economics at Washington and Jefferson College.
The Review of Austrian Economics, Vol. 6, No. 1 (1992): 79–93
ISSN: 0889–3047
- 1Historical Statistics of the United States, part 1 (Washington, D.C.: 1975), series D-86 for unemployment rates and series F-32 for gross national product. Throughout this article, the standard data series for unemployment rates are used, with recognition that there has been a challenge to the validity of those data during the Great Depression years. See Michael R. Darby, “Three-and-a-Half Million U.S. Employees Have been Mislaid: Or An Explanation of Unemployment, 1934–1941,” Journal of Political Economy 84, 1976.
- 2A.C. Pigou, Industrial Fluctuations, 1st ed. (London: Macmillan, 1927), p. 176.
- 3A.C. Pigou, Theory of Unemployment (London: Macmillan, 1933), p. 252. Pigou makes his arguments in a variety of other places. For example, see his “Real and Money Wage Rates in Relation to Unemployment,” Economic Journal 47, 1937, and “Money Wages in Relation to Unemployment,” Economic Journal 48, 1938.
- 4It is perhaps something of an exaggeration to ascribe this position entirely to Pigou. A number of other economists espoused similar views. Recognizing that the list is incomplete, we cite a few, beginning with Jacob Viner, Balanced Deflation, Inflation, or more Depression (Minneapolis, Minn.: University of Minnesota Press, 1933), especially pp. 12–13. See also W.H. Beveridge, Causes and Cures of Unemployment (London: Longmans, Green and Co., 1931), p. 25, and Unemployment, A Problem of Industry (London: Longmans, Green and Co., 1930), chapter 16; Wilford I. King, The Causes of Economic Fluctuations (New York: Ronald Press Co., 1938), chapter 8; and Lionel Robbins, The Great Depression (New York: Macmillan, 1934).
- 5John A. Hobson, The Economics of Unemployment (New York: Macmillan, 1923), p. 84.
- 6W.T. Foster and W. Catchings, Profits (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1925) and Business Without a Buyer (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1927); and C.H. Douglas, Credit-Power and Democracy (London: C. Palmer, 1920) and Warning Democracy (London: C.M. Grieve, 1931). A more recent interpretation of the Great Depression with underconsumptionist overtones in John Kenneth Galbraith, The Great Crash, 1929 (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1976).
- 7Murray N. Rothbard, America’s Great Depression (Princeton, N.J.: Van Nostrand, 1963), p. 45.
- 8Henry Ford, The New York Times, November 22, 1929, p. 2.
- 9The New York Times, November 22, 1929, p. 1. It is interesting to note that Hoover’s inclinations toward underconsumptionism were recognized and, of course, approved, by trade unionists. Witness a statement by the AFL’s John P. Frey in 1929 relating to a public works scheme of Hoover’s. In effect, Frey argued that the president was in agreement with the AFL’s position that depressions were the result of underconsumption and low wages. See Joseph Dorfman, The Economic Mind in American Civilization (New York: Viking Press, 1959), vol. 4, pp. 349–50. See also Ronald Radosh, “The Development of the Corporate Ideology of American Labor Leaders, 1914–1933” (doctoral dissertation in history, University of Wisconsin, 1967).
- 10Rothbard, America’s Great Depression, chapter 8. Not to be ignored is the fact that ideas such as those that enamored Hoover were not as unorthodox among professional economists as sometimes claimed. See J. Ronnie Davis, The New Economists and the Old Economists (Ames, Iowa: Iowa State University Press, 1971). Davis presents an interesting array of statements by economists and other academics relating to the issue of the impact of wage reductions on the economy (pp. 94–99).
- 11John M. Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (London: Macmillan, 1936).
- 12Abba P. Lerner, “Mr. Keynes’ ‘General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money,’” International Labor Review 34, 1936. See also W.B. Reddaway, “The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money,” Economic Record 12, 1936. A systematic description of the thought of this time is contained in Lawrence R. Klein, The Keynesian Revolution (New York: Macmillan, 1947). For a taxonomic description of the various views of the aggregate demand schedule for labor, see Sidney Weintraub, “A Macroeconomic Approach to the Theory of Wages,” American Economic Review 46, 1956.
- 13Paul M. Sweezy, personal letter to John B. Shelley, dated February 11, 1977, cited in Dana C. Hewins and John B. Shelley, “Sweezy’s Kink: Macro Foundations of a Micro Theory,” Economic Inquiry 17, 1979.
- 14For a description of the various dimensions of the Keynesian critique of classical economics, see Alvin H. Hansen, A Guide to Keynes (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1953). More recent appraisals and restatements of the total thrust of Keynesianism are Abba P. Lerner, “From ‘The Treatise on Money’ to ‘The General Theory,’” Journal of Economic Literature 12, 1974; and Hyman P. Minsky, John Maynard Keynes (New York: Columbia University Press, 1975).
- 15Peter Temin, Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? (New York: Norton, 1976), p. 140. Temin also attempts to demonstrate that the Great Depression was brought on by an autonomous shift in the consumption function. That view has been challenged (successfully, we think) by Thomas Mayer, “Consumption in the Great Depression,” Journal of Political Economy 86, 1978.
- 16Keynes, The General Theory. In chapter 2, Keynes is very explicit. In reference to the principle that real wages and employment are systematically related, he says, “I am not disputing this vital fact which the classical economists have (rightly) asserted as indefeasible.”
- 17Ludwig von Mises, The Theory of Money and Credit (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1953). Permission granted by Mrs. Margit von Mises. Quotes from 1981 Liberty Classics, Indianapolis, edition.
- 18Milton Friedman, “The Role of Monetary Policy,” American Economic Review 58, 1968.
- 19In particular, see Jerome Stein, Monetarist, Keynesian, and New Classical Economics (Cambridge, United Kingdom: B. Blackwell, 1982).
- 20The key assumptions are constant returns to scale and neutral disembodied technical progress.
- 21The underlying statistical models are moderately complex. They are described briefly in the statistical appendix. The logic and structure of the models are more fully developed in Lowell Gallaway and Richard Vedder, The “Natural” Rate of Unemployment, staff study, Subcommittee on Monetary and Fiscal Policy, Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States (Washington, D.C.: 1982).
- 22Federal Reserve Bulletin, various issues.
- 23Historical Statistics, series D-86.
- 24The productivity-adjusted real wage rate on a quarterly basis is calculated by dividing the manufacturing wage bill by the product of Federal Reserve Board (not the wage bill) and the index of average labor productivity (not total output) should be used. However, converting the wage bill and the index of industrial production to wage rate and productivity measures involves dividing both of them by the same quantity of labor (L). Since L appears in both the numerator and denominator of the expression for the adjusted real wage rate, it cancels out and can be ignored.
- 25As calculated from Historical Statistics, series D-688.
- 26Ibid,, series D-683 and D-688.
- 27Ibid., series D-724 and Paul A. David and Peter Solar, “A Bicentenary Contribution to the History of the Cost of Living in America” in Paul Uselding, ed., Research in Economic History, vol. 2 (Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press, 1977), pp. 59–60.
- 28Broadus Mitchell, Depression Decade, vol. 9, The Economic History of the United States (New York: Rinehart, 1947), p. 84; and Arthur Schlesinger, Jr., The Age of Roosevelt: The Crisis of the Old Order, 1919–1933 (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1957), p. 249. Interestingly, though, some observers of the period disagree with this assessment. For example, Leo Wolman, Wages in Relation to Economic Recovery (Chicago: 1931) notes, “[I]t is indeed impossible to recall any past depression of similar intensity and duration in which the wages of prosperity were maintained as long as they have been during the depression of 1930–1931.” Similarly, Don Lescohier, “Working Conditions,” vol. 3, History of Labor in the United States, 1896–1932, John R. Commons and Associates, eds. (New York: Macmillan, 1935) states:
- 29Historic Statistics, series D-802, D-813, D-818, and D-824, respectively.
- 30Robbins, The Great Depression, p. 224.
- 31Geoffrey H. Moore, ed., Business Cycle Indicators, vol. 2, Basic Data on Cyclical Indicators (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1961), p. 129.
- 32Benjamin M. Anderson, Economics and the Public Welfare (New York: Van Nostrand, 1949), p. 72.
- 33Historical Statistics, series D-839.
- 34Anderson, Economics, p. 220.