Jobs created (or lost) in the past month (or decade)

Reactions to the latest jobs report focused on the unexpectedly large increase in total employment. There was a large increase in private employment over the past month. This is good news. The ratio of Federal to private employees also declined last month. This relative decline in Federal employment is good news, public agencies are bloated, overstaffed (as seen in the next graph).

False Signals

If prices rise, it is assumed that the same monetary process must be at work; if the quantity of money increases, some kind of “boom” must be lurking. Even a large inflow of commodity money into a free market is thought to generate a mild or temporary version of the business cycle. Its apparent absence is attributed merely to the rarity of such inflows and the cost and slowness of mining, rather than to any fundamental difference in the underlying process.