Mises Wire

Karl Popper: Critique, Science, and the Fragility of Freedom

Error correction

“We are all fallible; progress consists in discovering our errors and correcting them.”—Karl Popper

“Human action is always rational: not because it is perfect, but because it seeks improvement.”—Ludwig von Mises

“The curious task of economics is to show men how little they know about what they imagine they can design.”—Friedrich Hayek

Karl Popper belongs to that rare lineage of thinkers whose brilliance lies not in offering final answers but in reminding us, gently (and at times fiercely), that final answers do not exist. Born in Vienna, formed in the same intellectual atmosphere that shaped Mises and Hayek, Popper matured in a century overshadowed by epistemic hubris and political catastrophes. His work does not resemble a grand system; it resembles a lantern carried through the night, illuminating errors, dangers, and illusions that quietly surround all attempts at central planning.

The point of departure is the same philosophical wound first opened by Hume centuries earlier. In the Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding, the fragility of induction is laid bare: no logical bridge guarantees that the future will resemble the past. Popper did not attempt to repair that wound; he transformed it into an epistemology. A scientific theory can never be verified, only refuted. It stands not because it is confirmed, but because it has not yet been defeated.

This epistemology becomes his sharpest weapon against the modern seduction of scientism—the belief that mathematical models and statistical predictions can replace judgment, experience, and dispersed knowledge. In The Poverty of Historicism, Popper exposes the temptation to turn history into destiny; he sees in Plato, Hegel, and Marx not masters of reason but architects of intellectual cages built upon the dangerous promise of historical prophecy.

Placed beside the Austrian School, Popper’s affinities with Hayek become immediately visible. Both reject centralized knowledge and both understand social life as an unending confrontation with uncertainty. Hayek described the market as a discovery process, beautifully articulated in Competition as a Discovery Procedure. Popper described science as an open process of error correction. Their convergence is unmistakable: truth cannot exist without the possibility of error, and order cannot emerge without freedom.

The relationship between Popper and Mises is more tense yet deeply revealing. Popper distrusted praxeology because it is not falsifiable; Mises rejected that objection because economics, in his view, is not an empirical science but a logical one, grounded in the axiom that man acts. This tension becomes clear when reading Human Action alongside Conjectures and Refutations. Despite methodological disagreements, both thinkers oppose the same intellectual enemy: social engineering, central planning, and the illusion of expert infallibility.

This moral foundation becomes luminous in The Open Society and Its Enemies, Popper’s most enduring political work. There he argues that free societies depend on institutions that welcome criticism, limit power, and recognize the fallibility of all authorities. The true enemy of open society is dogmatism, whether political, scientific, ideological, or technocratic.

If Popper’s warnings sounded urgent in the twentieth century, they sound prophetic today. We live in an age increasingly ruled by credentialed priesthoods, algorithmic predictions, and bureaucratic certainties masquerading as science. Models speak as oracles; experts speak as if unbound by fallibility. In this climate, Popper becomes indispensable once more.

Read alongside Hayek and Mises, Popper reveals something precious: freedom is not merely a political value, but an epistemological necessity. Only liberty allows societies to correct errors. Only liberty permits dispersed information to become knowledge. And only liberty protects humanity from those who believe they know enough to shape the world for everyone else.

In an era marked by new technocracies, new dogmas, and new forms of censorship—often cloaked in the language of science—Popper’s voice cuts through with unexpected clarity. Truth belongs to no institution. Science belongs to no hierarchy. History belongs to no prophet. Truth is an open road, and freedom is the space in which that road can continue to be walked.

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