Business Cycles

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Frank Shostak

A recession is defined by negative economic activity over several months with an accompanying decline in GDP. However, given the actual makeup of GDP, it is inaccurate to directly tie recessions to GDP at all.

Dale Steinreich

William Nordhaus coined the term “Political Business Cycle” a half-century ago. The idea was that government authorities, particularly the central bank, would manipulate the economy to correspond with election cycles, a practice that continues to this day.

Frank Shostak

Carl Menger wrote, “All things are subject to the law of cause and effect.” Unfortunately, modern academic economists all too often confuse correlation of economic phenomena with causality.

Connor O'Keeffe

While President Trump‘s tariffs certainly are causing economic harm, they alone could not cause a recession had there not already been years of artificial credit expansion.

Ulrich Fromy

Böhm-Bawerk shows us that the study of human action and the economy in general goes beyond the simple paradigm of the financial and monetary world. Economics is built into all human experience.

Jorge Besada

One of the unique features of Austrian economics is a coherent and consistent theory of business cycles. To understand business cycles, one must understand the role that interest rates play in the economy.