Predicting Recession
The Shiller CAPE ratio has only been higher once in 150 years. The Buffett indicator is 2.5 standard deviations above trend. 40% of the S&P 500 is in just ten stocks. Wall Street sees nothing wrong.
The Shiller CAPE ratio has only been higher once in 150 years. The Buffett indicator is 2.5 standard deviations above trend. 40% of the S&P 500 is in just ten stocks. Wall Street sees nothing wrong.
Bob argues that many Austro-libertarians (himself included) have been too quick to dismiss the Trump administration's foreign and economic policy as mere incompetence or corruption, without grasping the strategic logic behind it.
Even if peace breaks out tomorrow, the economic damage is done.
War in the Persian Gulf doesn’t just mean pricier gas. It can snap hidden supply chains that keep modern life running, from fertilizer and copper to plumbing repairs.
Bob sits down with macro researcher Luke Gromen of Forest for the Trees to discuss the cascading supply chain consequences of a closed Strait of Hormuz.
What looks like market strength may be a delayed reckoning. Mark Thornton explains the signals, the Fed’s playbook, and where the next bust is likely to hit first.
War should be good for gold, so why is it falling while oil climbs? Mark Thornton explains.
On this episode of Power & Market, Ryan, Connor, and Tho look at the economic fallout from the war in Iran. How has Iran been able to control the Strait of Hormuz? How might central bankers react? And draft talk out of Washington? Tune in to hear about this and more, as well as a preview of next week's Libertarian Scholars Conference and Austrian Economics Research Conference.
Trump has brought the US into war with Iran. Ryan, Tho, and Connor talk about the initial execution, the domestic fallout, the global costs, and what may come next.
Great Britain’s economy clearly is underperforming from what it could be. Unfortunately, the damage is self-inflicted and change is not likely in the future, especially with a socialist government.