Business Cycles

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The "We've Created Millions of Jobs" Myth

U.S. EconomyBusiness Cycles

Blog03/15/2016Ryan McMaken

Job growth in the United States is weaker than one might believe based on the "we've created millions of jobs" mantra.

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The Container Ship Curse?

Booms and BustsGlobal EconomyBusiness Cycles

Blog03/04/2016Mark Thornton

The world's largest container ship just entered a US port. Just in time for record low levels in the Baltic Dry Shipping Index, which is a measure of how much ships can charge.

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Is the Fed Flashing A Recession Sign?

Booms and BustsThe FedBusiness Cycles

Blog02/19/2016Mark Thornton

This little known chart is the Fed's attempt to anticipate a recession in the US economy. The reading from last November is only 3.84%, but that is higher than all but 3 months when a recession did not immediately proceed.

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Dark Clouds over Auburn

Booms and BustsThe FedBusiness CyclesCapital and Interest TheoryMoney and Banking

Blog02/15/2016Mark Thornton

I have lived in Auburn, Alabama, for more than three decades and have never seen a Super Sized Construction Crane. Last week, two were erected in the middle of town.

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Did the NY Fed Plagiarize Rothbard?

Booms and BustsBusiness Cycles

Blog02/11/2016Jonathan Newman

Rothbard's book is considered the standard on the subject of the 1819 crisis, yet the NY Fed authors seem reluctant to speak his name.

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Janet Yellen Strikes Downbeat Tone on Economy, Claims Fed Won't Go Negative

Booms and BustsThe FedBusiness Cycles

Blog02/10/2016Ryan McMaken

Even the Fed, which has for years been describing the economy as "expanding at a moderate pace," and which a few months back was saying it was "hawkish," has, through Janet Yellen's testimony today, been forced to admit that a rate cut may again be on the horizon.