Business Cycles

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Mark Thornton

As the inevitable economic downturn becomes more evident, the Fed will attempt to stop deflation. But what this economy needs is a good dose of it.

Mihai Macovei

After following hyper-Keynesian policies for more than two decades, the Fed is about to create the conditions that Keynesians claimed were impossible: an inflationary recession.

Frank Shostak

In a free market, short-term and long-term rates would move toward convergence. Fed interference with interest rates ensures that won't happen.

Frank Shostak

This year's trio of Nobel winners in economics are short on actual economics and long on government intervention.

J.R. MacLeod

Conservatives have missed the point that it is not students particularly that are at fault for the student loan crises, but the entire bureaucratic economic-political system.

Frank Shostak

Paul Krugman recently argued that the Federal Reserve can engineer a "soft landing" for the economy as it tries to deal with inflation. Such a view ignores economic realities.

Frank Shostak

The "official" definition of a recession is a two-consecutive-quarter decline in GDP, but there are problems with GDP measurement in the first place.

Frank Shostak

Much is made of surveys determining consumer confidence in the economy. Expectations, however, must line up both with proper economic theories and the information at hand.