Business Cycles
The Role of Shadow Banking in the Business Cycle
This article examines the impact of shadow banking on credit expansion and the business cycle.
The Great Gatsby and the Fed
Updating Robert Higgs’s “Gross Domestic Private Product”
Can Technology Prevent a Recession?
A Mathematical Version of Garrison’s Model
We develop a mathematical framework of Garrison's model and apply it to increase in savings, secular growth, and Austrian business cycle theory.
End Game for the Global Economy
Central banks never recovered and "normalized" their balance sheets after the 2008 crisis. That means the current system is very fragile.
There Are Two Types of Credit — One of Them Leads to Booms and Busts
Mises made a distinction between credit that is backed by savings, and credit that is not. The second type plays a key role in the boom-bust cycle.
Will China Trigger the Next Global Recession?
China has many problems, but it also has a high savings rate, a limited welfare state, and a rising middle class.
Video: Joseph Salerno Explains the Benefits of Deflation
Joseph Salerno spoke on "Why Falling Prices Are Good for Business" at Ramapo College in New Jersey on October 4.