Booms and Busts

The COVID-19 depression will expose the Las Vegas convention center bubble for what it is: a massive malinvestment.

The COVID-19 depression will expose the Las Vegas convention center bubble for what it is: a massive malinvestment.

Wouldn’t you feel great knowing that your stock picking is fully insured by the Fed? Billionaires and wealthy hedge fund managers know the feeling.

From New York to London to Brussels to Tokyo, central banks in the last two weeks have embraced a wide variety of extraordinary inflationary measures to prop up insolvent banks and governments.

The coronavirus crisis has unleashed two types of bankruptcies that are very different, have different causes, and should require different solutions.

The Fed's portfolio is now 35 percent larger from the time the Fed promised to "taper" back its portfolio and "normalize." It is increasingly clear that there will not be any normalization. Ever.

This year, as in 2006, the real estate industry is in denial about the state of the economy.

Contrary to Fed assumptions, we are not presently facing a problem of liquidity vis-à-vis Great Recession; we are confronted, instead, with a serious shortage of quality collateral.

With each passing recession, the Fed finds it harder to refuel the last bubble, but the market moves on to the new bubble as the Fed keeps interest rates artificially low.

Central banks have created a brittle economy without real savings and without much room to maneuver. Central banks now want more of the same in a bid to fix what they broke.