Studying the Climate Doesn’t Make You an Expert on Economics and Politics

In response to the Trump administration’s announcement that it was pulling out of the Paris Climate Accord, some of his critics declared that anyone who likes “science” would have supported the accord. 

Not surprisingly, Neil deGrasse Tyson rushed to declare that Trump supported the withdrawal because his administration “never learned what Science is or how and why it works.” 

Gold vs. Fluctuating Fiat Exchange Rates

Scarcely more than a year since it was signed, the Smithsonian Agreement, the “greatest monetary agreement in the history of the world” (in the words of President Nixon) lay in shambles. And so the world vibrates, with increasing intensity, between fixed and fluctuating exchange rates, with each system providing only a different set of ills. We apparently live in a world of perpetual international monetary crises.

Will the Crazy Global Debt Bubble Ever End?

We’ve been playing two games to mask insolvency: one is to pay the costs of rampant debt today by borrowing even more from future earnings, and the second is to create wealth out of thin air via asset bubbles.

The two games are connected: asset bubbles require leverage and credit. Prices for homes, stocks, bonds, bat guano futures, etc. can only be pushed to the stratosphere if buyers have access to credit and can borrow to buy more of the bubbling assets.

If credit dries up, asset bubbles pop: no expansion of debt, no asset bubble.

Why Do Half-Measures Work for Markets, But Not for Socialism?

Socialists have attempted many times to put their ideology into action. Socialism has been applied in the Soviet Union, Cuba, China (before Deng), North Korea, and by many other less-famous regimes.

In each case, the result has been economic impoverishment and political authoritarianism.

But the die-hard socialists refuse to give up. “Don’t judge communism based on these results, “ we’re told. “Socialism has simply never really been tried.”

Beyond the Failure to Hit 2% Inflation

The Fed’s economists are always coming up with deranged new ideas and when they fail to reach their goals the first time, they double down. In the recent decade they picked the completely arbitrary inflation growth rate of 2% (as calculated by the misleading PCE) and stated that for the economy to be on a strong trajectory, 2% inflation was a necessity. And of course, they directed all their stimulus toward Wall Street and capital markets (including housing) which has seen substantial gains since the crisis, but neither are calculated in the PCE.