How Efficient Is the Market, Really? Challenging the Chicago Hypotheses

In 2008 Warren Buffett issued a public challenge to the industry he most despised: hedge funds. Charging its clients 2% of assets under management plus 20% of any profits, Buffett wagered none of them could beat the annual return of the S&P 500. That bet was accepted, and ten years later the token wager of one million dollars was duly paid to the charity of Buffett’s choice.

Below is a graph depicting the results of the participating funds against the returns of an S&P 500 Index:

Time to Go Back to That 70s Show

Unless you are living under a rock, you know by now that current times are nowhere near economic stability. In fact, there has not been such “stability” (regardless of what politicians and central bankers say) since the ending of the Bretton Woods agreement in 1971. What did ending the Bretton Woods agreement mean to the world? Since I am no expert on the topic, I suggest reading this article by the CATO Institute.

Fran Rodriguez

Fran Rodriguez is from Madrid, Spain, and is currently majoring in Finance at Grace College and Theological Sem

James Murphy, CFA FRM BA MBS BL is an experienced financial services professional with over 25 years of experience in