U.S. Economy

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Alex J. Pollock

Prices are an intersection of human expectations, actions, hopes and fears. I like to ask audiences, “How much can the price of an asset change?” My proposed answer: “More than you think.”

Hans Bader

Federal budget deficits are increasing, but the Biden administration shows no signs of restraining its spending. This is not going to end well.

Daniel Lacalle

For decades, central banks have encouraged ever larger mountains of debt. But now the debtors face big problems as interest rates rise. Families and small business will pay the price.  

Ryan McMaken

The Fed is winging it, but most on the FOMC believe only two more rate hikes are in the works, and then it's back to flooding the market with easy money. 

Mark Thornton

Economists like Paul Krugman have claimed that practice of austerity in government would damage the US economy. As Mark Thornton points out, the opposite is true: austerity works.

Jeff Deist

Only Father Time helps us cut through the policy nonsense and understand interest rates conceptually.