Notes in the Margin

Politico: Support for the war among all Republicans remains solid, even among non-MAGA GOP. Republicans only oppose wars when a Democrat is president. 

"I don’t think $150 is out of the question in another month…You start talking about June, I’ll give you $180.”

At this point, the term "MAGA" is synonymous with "Trump supporter." All critics of Trump have already left the MAGA camp. 

On average, respondents forecast 1.8 rate cuts this year, a more dovish outlook than the Fed futures market, which has priced in only one cut.

"Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby."

The February 2026 strike on Iran has raised serious questions about both the credibility and sustainability of US leadership in the region.

Paul Ehrlich, the leading false prophet of inevitable environmental doom and author of the infamous The Population Bomb, has died at age 93.

"77 percent of [Republicans] support the war, on average. But that’s exactly what we’d expect for almost any Trump policy."

"Wright's use of the word "unlikely" was a veiled concession that a spike to $200 was possible, though he repeated that the price jump would be weeks not months."

Growth in gross domestic product was down sharply from 4.4% in last year’s Q3 and 3.8% in Q2. The fourth-quarter number was half the govt’s first estimate of 1.4%