Understanding the Causes of Lincoln’s War

In most debates over what caused any historical event to occur, the disputants tend to emphasize what they consider to be the most important causal factor, and minimize the influence of factors they consider to be less important. It is not so much that they dispute the relevance of contested factors in understanding the event comprehensively, but more that there is no agreement on the degree of importance that ought to be attached to those factors.

No Hire, No Fire: Unemployment Claims Reach the Highest Since 2018 (Ex Covid)

The “no hire, no-fire” job market continues. While we’re not yet seeing a trend toward widespread layoffs, it is increasingly difficult to get hired. As we saw earlier this month here in Power&Market, hires are becoming increasingly rare. And, while new layoffs may be moving sideways—and not swiftly rising—the number of people who remain unemployed for a significant period after a layoff is rising.