Oblivious Economists and Entrepreneurship

Several weeks ago the Southern Economics Association held its 78th annual meeting. At the close of the Presidential Address several hundred economists made their way to the escalators. There were two running upwards, but for some reason everyone was packing into the nearest one, the more distant of the two being six inches further left. In Austrian terminology the empty escalator represented an unexploited opportunity for gain. None of these mainstream economists were alert enough to recognize that they could get to where they were going faster by taking one step to the left.

Hamilton’s Counterfeit Capitalism

When history confirms that hands-off is the only effective and humane approach to a bust, and to prosperity generally, while hands-on brings ruination, why do governments today consider every option but free markets? Look back to the founding and the baneful influence of Alexander Hamilton. His influence has been highly detrimental to the majority who live outside the rarefied reality of national politics.

The End of the US Piano Industry

Today the highest-price good that people buy besides their houses is their car, and this reality leads people to believe that we can’t possibly let the American car industry die. Between 1870 and 1930, the biggest-ticket item on every household budget besides the house itself was its piano. The entire American piano industry rose up, conquered all, and went away, as Japan, Korea, and China took up the task. There was no great calamity.

Evidence that the Fed Caused the Housing Boom

In this forum I have argued that Alan Greenspan’s low-interest-rate policy after the dot-com bust and 9/11 attacks sowed the seeds for our current recession and the housing bubble. I have also criticized the alternate theory that a foreign “savings glut” was the true culprit, rather than the Fed. In the present article, I want to deal with a few empirical objections to the case against Greenspan.

Economic Crisis and Paradigm Shift

The current global financial crisis, described in an incomplete manner as the “subprime crisis,” has shown, however, that neoclassical theories are not only descriptively false, but also completely incapable of predicting events. In contrast, the Austrian School’s theories, as I will show, not only maintain their realistic approach but also have an important predictive power.