Fiscal Stimulus or Fiscal Depressant?

The “fiscal multiplier” is one of the basic building blocks of Keynesian economics and the centerpiece of modern macroeconomic analysis of the effects of fiscal policy. Contrary to the impression given by Paul Krugman and other proponents of fiscal stimulus, however, there is no clear consensus among economists regarding the size of the multipliers that are used to estimate the amount of additional income created by an additional dollar of government spending (or tax cuts).

“Fool’s Gold” Standards

In a recent Mises Daily, “A Golden Opportunity,” Patrick Barron and Godfrey Bloom make the case for Germany to withdraw from the monetary union combined with a strong argument that “a golden Deutsche Mark is possible and desirable.” This recommendation may be a step in the right direction, but it leaves Germany with a central bank and a discretionary monetary policy: “The Bundesbank would be responsible for monetary policy just as it was before Germany joined the EMU.” They conclude,

Available: QJAE vol. 15, no. 3 (Butos, Prusa and Ryska, Zahringer, Lindemans, Howden, Bylund, Kaza, Polleit)