Who Benefits From the Fed?

As we review the Fed’s operations in 2012 we see the usual outcomes. The banking sector has benefited from its operations (unusually so, thanks to the continued interest on reserve policy) and the government has received a free lunch by having a ready buyer for its ever-increasing debt.

Henry Manne on His Intellectual Influences

Henry Manne is a brilliant and original scholar who made important contributions to the literatures on takeovers, insider trading, higher education, and other fields and is a key figure in the modern law-and-economics movement. His contributions were featured in a session of the 2010 Austrian Scholars Conference. Henry has given an interview to the Securities and Exchange Commission Historical Society as part of its oral history project.

Whence the Housing Bubble?

I have recently written that there are certain key indexes and ratios derived from Austrian business cycle theory that help us discern the development of bubbles in various sectors. As Mises wrote: “Only theory, business cycle theory, permits us to detect the wavy outline of a cycle in the tangled confusion of events.”

Chinese Real Estate Bubble on 60 Minutes

Here is the link to a Bloomberg story that contains a link to the “60 Minutes” story. We have been following the story of this bubble for a while but nothing makes something “real” as when it turns up on “60 Minutes.” Economist Stephen Roach says that the ghost cities will someday be “thriving metropolitan areas.”

He may well be right, but the key question is what will happen between now and then.

The Greek Bank Run

Euros secretly airlifted to keep Greek banks afloat

We are told that the worst is over in Greece. They have even achieved a balance in their primary budget. Not bad considering the US federal budget deficit is almost $7 trillion when you consider the value of entitlement obligations accrued in 2012 (over $1 trillion based on current spending and revenue).

Let’s Look a Little More Closely at What Bernanke Told Congress

In Congressional testimony last week, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke slipped several things in that no one much noticed. He said that the Fed might eventually choose to exit from its current monetary expansion binge, not by selling US government securities, but by letting them mature. He also said that the Fed might possibly keep interest or principal payments for itself.