NBER’s Golden Dilemma

NBER has just published a paper, “The Golden Dilemma.” by Claude B. Erb and Campbell R. Harvey. The paper examines several issues regarding the use of gold in financial portfolios. It finds that many of the arguments for owning gold are questionable. For example they find that gold is not a good inflation hedge in the short run (several years) because it does not correlate well with the Consumer Price Index. However, they find that it is good to have during hyperinflation.

NBER Working Paper No. 18706

 

Is Violence a Disease?

A few years ago an economist colleague of mine debated a professor from our university’s school of public health on gun violence and gun control. My colleague walked through the empirical evidence on the effects of gun control laws on crime, accidental injury, and other social ills, citing well-known studies by economists and legal scholars such as John Lott, John Donahue, Gary Kleck, Ian Ayres, etc. As Circle Bastiat readers probably know, the empirical social science evidence, while not conclusive, suggests that stronger gun control leads to increased rates of gun violence.

The Fed and the Dirty Dozen

Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher in a recent speech called for an end of the “too big to fail doctrine.” He identified the dozen largest US banks (which represent almost 70% of all banking assets) as a continuing threat to the American public. He basically admitted that all the layers of bank regulation, including Dodd-Frank, are both overly complex and unlikely to succeed in preventing future bank bailouts.