Growth Trends Measured by GDP and Gross Output

US real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose at a 0.5% annualized in Q1 after a 1.4% increase in Q4. This was below the 0.7% median projection in a Bloomberg survey.

Non-residential fixed investment fell 5.9% annualized, the biggest decline since the Q2 2009.

The yearly growth rate of GDP eased to 1.9% in Q1 from 2% in the previous quarter.

A declining trend in the momentum growth of AMS (our monetary measure for the US) since October 2011 continues to undermine various bubble activities and hence the growth rate of GDP.

Keynes’s Critique of Econometrics Is Surprisingly Good

In a recent article we had a brief look at Ragnar Frisch’s (1895–1973) vision of econometric model building. As mentioned, Frisch was the first economist chosen over Mises to win the Nobel Prize in 1969. In fact, there was a second one in the same year. Frisch won the prize jointly with Dutchman Jan Tinbergen (1903–1994), who applied Frischian econometrics for the first time in large-scale macro models by the end of the 1930s.

Amazon = $3 Trillion?

Let us see how close this venture capitalist comes to putting a $3 trillion price tag on Amazon at its all-time high stock price. Amazon stock is now valued at $670 per share and is valued around $200 billion. He believes it will be worth $3 trillion in ten years time. That should be easy to achieve with hyperinflation.

How Taxation Kills Entrepreneurship

A popular fallacy considers entrepreneurial profit a reward for risk-taking. It looks upon the entrepreneur as a gambler who invests in a lottery after having weighed the favorable chances of winning a prize against the unfavorable chances of losing his stake. This opinion manifests itself most clearly in the description of stock-exchange transactions as a sort of gambling. From the point of view of this widespread fable, the evil caused by confiscatory taxation is that it disarranges the ratio between the favorable and the unfavorable chances in the lottery.