Business Cycles

Despite what critics of the ABCT say, entrepreneurs can't easily avoid the effects of Fed intervention.

James Grant writes in the New York Times today, on cue as

August 2 saw Matthew Beller’s Daily Article “The Coming Second Life Business Cycle,” wh

Recorded at Mises University 2007.

We have today a hybrid of two forms of banking — loan banking (non-inflationary) and deposit banking (inflationary if not 100% reserve holdings).  The cause of booms is the credit expansion by central banks that is not backed by pools of private savings.

The following thoughts on the current economic and financial environment formed part of a recent commentary sent to our firm’s clients.

And, perhaps, it also explains why a careful analysis of the time structure of production (not in terms of an "average" period of production) is a necessary basis for a satisfactory analysis of the trade cycle.

So — even if the current cycle is about to turn — it will surely complete the revolution and move upwards once again and possibly faster than we might expect, thanks to the benign self-interest of the millions of new Asian and East European entrants into our complex, highly interconnected, global economy.

Joseph T. Salerno (2003) argues economic growth has occurred in periods of deflation. The Austrian School’s broad understanding of deflation is underscored by the four definitions offered by Salerno.

It is not surprising that Mises was strongly opposed to the idea that central banks should impose "low" interest rates during a recession in order to keep the economy going.