Systemic Appraisal Optimism and Austrian Business Cycle Theory
Volume 15, Number 4 (Winter 2012)
Austrian business cycle theory (ABCT) has focused on the effect of interest rates set below the natural rate, leading to unwarranted attempts by businessmen to make more elaborate roundabout structures than can be completed by the available foregone consumption. This distorting effect is the main theme of the Austrian capital-based theory of the trade cycle.