Can Seasonal Adjustments Help Us Understand the Economy?

According to mainstream thinking, economic slumps are caused by various shocks. This means that these slumps are caused by unexpected events, which by implication are not known beforehand.

Obviously if reasons behind various shocks cannot be established beforehand it makes sense to look at various symptoms of the emerging economic slump. Based on these symptoms the economic doctors could decide on the medicine required either to fix the economy or to prevent it from collapsing into an economic slump.

What Insurance Companies’ Response to Hurricane Florence Can Teach Us About the Business Cycle

Hurricane Florence has left a huge swath of devastated communities in its wake. Some estimates predict more than 750,000 homes in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia will sustain flood and wind damage, with reconstruction costs of up to $170 billion possible.

For most, dealing with their insurance company to reimburse part of their damage repair costs will be a vital part of the process.

Money Supply Growth Moves Sideways as Growth Rate Swings Back to 5-Month High

Money supply growth rose in August, rising to the highest rate recorded since March of this year. Overall, money-supply growth remains well below the growth rates experienced from 2009 to 2016, and has fluctuated very little since March.

In August, year-over-year growth in the money supply was at 4.8 percent. That was up from July’s growth rate of 4.1 percent, and was also up from August 2017’s rate of 4.2 percent.