China on the Edge of Recession
The last time China hit a recession, in 2008, Beijing dumped massive stimulus into the economy. This time, China's debt — over $50 trillion — has grown to the point it can't afford it.
The last time China hit a recession, in 2008, Beijing dumped massive stimulus into the economy. This time, China's debt — over $50 trillion — has grown to the point it can't afford it.
Mainstream economists speak of GDP as though it is the economy itself, however, GDP is not a good measure of economic reality. Instead, it presents a distorted picture of genuine economic activity and leads to mistaken conclusions about the economy.
Mainstream economists speak of GDP as though it is the economy itself, however, GDP is not a good measure of economic reality. Instead, it presents a distorted picture of genuine economic activity and leads to mistaken conclusions about the economy.
The total number of employed persons has fallen by 66,000 since August of 2023. Moreover, the new job growth is almost all in part-time jobs.
Keynesian economists have no good explanation for stagflation, rising rates of both inflation and unemployment. However, the Austrian School has long pointed out that sustained inflation has a predictable pattern that leads ultimately to stagflation.
Supporters of the new California minimum wage law for fast-food restaurants claim it will bolster economic opportunity for lower-income people. It actually will be a wealth transfer from the poor to the rich.
California’s draconian fast-food minimum wage law is bad enough, but it turns out a company can avoid the trouble if it has ties to the governor.
California’s draconian fast-food minimum wage law is bad enough, but it turns out a company can avoid the trouble if it has ties to the governor.
According to mainstream economists, the question of whether increasing the minimum wage also increases unemployment is empirical. However, the logic of economic analysis says otherwise.
The canary in the coal mine, is the consumer in our current economic period. We can still hear it, but it is growing weaker.