PART FOUR: MONETARY RECONSTRUCTION
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CHAPTER 21
The Principle of Sound Money
1 The Classical Idea of Sound Money
The principle of sound money
that guided nineteenth-century monetary doctrines and policies was a product of
classical political economy. It was an essential part of the liberal program as
developed by eighteenth-century social philosophy and propagated in the
following century by the most influential political parties of Europe and
America.
The liberal doctrine sees in the market economy the best, even
the only possible, system of economic organization of society. Private ownership
of the means of production tends to shift control of production to the hands of
those best fitted for this job and thus to secure for all members of society the
fullest possible satisfaction of their needs. It assigns to the consumers the
power to choose those purveyors who supply them in the cheapest way with the
articles they are most urgently asking for and thus subjects the entrepreneurs
and the owners of the means of production, namely, the capitalists and the
landowners, to the sovereignty of the buying public. It makes nations and their
citizens free and provides ample sustenance for a steadily increasing
population.
As a system of peaceful cooperation under the division of
labor, the market economy could not work without an institution warranting to
its members protection against domestic gangsters and external foes. Violent
aggression can be thwarted only by armed resistance and repression. Society
needs an apparatus of defense, a state, a government, a police power. Its
undisturbed functioning must be safeguarded by continuous preparedness to repel
aggressors. But then a new danger springs up. How keep under control the men
entrusted with the handling of the government apparatus lest they turn their
weapons against those whom they were expected to serve? The main political
problem is how to prevent the rulers from becoming despots and enslaving the
citizenry. Defense of the individual's liberty against the encroachment of
tyrannical governments is the essential theme of the history of Western
civilization. The characteristic feature of the Occident is its peoples' pursuit
of liberty, a concern unknown to Orientals. All the marvelous achievements of
Western civilization are fruits grown on the tree of liberty.
It is impossible to grasp the meaning of the idea of sound money if one does not
realize that it was devised as an instrument for the protection of civil
liberties against despotic inroads on the part of governments. Ideologically it
belongs in the same class with political constitutions and bills of rights. The
demand for constitutional guarantees and for bills of rights was a reaction
against arbitrary rule and the nonobservance of old customs by kings. The
postulate of sound money was first brought up as a response to the princely
practice of debasing the coinage. It was later carefully elaborated and
perfected in the age which—through the experience of the American continental
currency, the paper money of the French Revolution and the British restriction
period—had learned what a government can do to a nation's currency
system.
Modern cryptodespotism, which arrogates to itself the name of
liberalism, finds fault with the negativity of the concept of freedom. The
censure is spurious as it refers merely to the grammatical form of the idea and
does not comprehend that all civil rights can be as well defined in affirmative
as in negative terms. They are negative as they are designed to obviate an evil,
namely omnipotence of the police power, and to prevent the state from becoming
totalitarian. They are affirmative as they are designed to preserve the smooth
operation of the system of private property, the only social system that has
brought about what is called civilization.
Thus the sound-money principle
has two aspects. It is affirmative in approving the market's choice of a
commonly used medium of exchange. It is negative in obstructing the government's
propensity to meddle with the currency system.
The sound-money principle
was derived not so much from the Classical economists' analysis of the market
phenomena as from their interpretation of historical experience. It was an
experience that could be perceived by a much larger public than the narrow
circles of those conversant with economic theory. Hence the sound-money idea
became one of the most popular points of the liberal program. Friends and foes
of liberalism considered it one of the essential postulates of a liberal
policy.
Sound money meant a metallic standard. Standard coins should be in
fact a definite quantity of the standard metal as precisely determined by the
law of the country. Only standard coins should have unlimited legal-tender
quality. Token coins and all kinds of moneylike paper should be, on presentation
and without delay, redeemed in lawful standard money.
So far there was
unanimity among the supporters of sound money. But then the battle of the
standards arose. The defeat of those favoring silver and the unfeasibility of
bimetallism eventually made the sound-money principle mean the gold standard. At
the end of the nineteenth century there was all over the world unanimity among
businessmen and statesmen with regard to the indispensability of the gold
standard. Countries which were under a fiat-money system or under the silver
standard considered adoption of the gold standard the foremost goal of their
economic policy. Those who disputed the eminence of the gold standard were
dismissed as cranks by the representatives of the official doctrine—professors,
bankers, statesmen, editors of the great newspapers and magazines.
It was a serious blunder of the supporters of sound money to adopt such tactics. There
is no use in dealing in a summary way with any ideology however foolish and
contradictory it may appear Even a manifestly erroneous doctrine should be
refuted by careful analysis and the unmasking of the fallacies implied. A sound
doctrine can win only by exploding the delusions of its adversaries.
The
essential principles of the sound-money doctrine were and are impregnable. But
their scientific support in the last decades of the nineteenth century was
rather shaky. The attempts to demonstrate their reasonableness from the point of
view of the Classical value theory were not very convincing and made no sense at
all when this value concept had to be discarded. But the champions of the new
value theory for almost half a century restricted their studies to the problems
of direct exchange and left the treatment of money and banking to routinists
unfamiliar with economics. There were treatises on catallactics which dealt only
incidentally and cursorily with monetary matters, and there were books on
currency and banking which did not even attempt to integrate their subject into
the structure of a catallactic system. [1] Finally the idea evolved that the
modern doctrine of value, the subjectivist or marginal utility doctrine, is
unable to explain the problems of money's purchasing power. [2]
It is easy
to comprehend how under such circumstances even the least tenable objections
raised by the advocates of inflationism remained unanswered. The gold standard
lost popularity because for a very long time no serious attempts were made to
demonstrate its merits and to explode the tenets of its adversaries.
2 The Virtues and Alleged Shortcomings of the Gold Standard
The excellence of the gold standard is to be seen in the fact that it renders the determination of
the monetary unit's purchasing power independent of the policies of governments
and political parties. Furthermore, it prevents rulers from eluding the
financial and budgetary prerogatives of the representative assemblies.
Parliamentary control of finances works only if the government is not in a
position to provide for unauthorized expenditures by increasing the circulating
amount of fiat money. Viewed in this light, the gold standard appears as an
indispensable implement of the body of constitutional guarantees that make the
system of representative government function.
When in the 'fifties of the nineteenth century gold
production increased considerably in California and Australia, people attacked
the gold standard as inflationary. In those days Michel Chevalier, in his book
Probable Depreciation of Gold, recommended the abandonment of the gold standard,
and Béranger dealt with the same subject in one of his poems. But later these
criticisms subsided. The gold standard was no longer denounced as inflationary
but on the contrary as deflationary. Even the most fanatical champions of
inflation like to disguise their true intentions by declaring that they merely
want to offset the contractionist pressure which the allegedly insufficient
supply of gold tends to produce.
Yet it is clear that over the last
generations there has prevailed a tendency of all commodity prices and wage
rates to rise. We may neglect dealing with the economic effects of a general
tendency of money prices and money wages to drop. [3] For there is no doubt that
what we have experienced over the last hundred years was just the opposite,
namely, a secular tendency toward a drop in the monetary unit's purchasing
power, which was only temporarily interrupted by the aftermath of the breakdown
of a boom intentionally created by credit expansion. Gold became cheaper in
terms of commodities, not dearer. What the foes of the gold standard are asking
for is not to reverse a prevailing tendency in the determination of prices, but
to intensify very considerably the already prevailing upward trend of prices and
wages. They simply want to lower the monetary unit's purchasing power at an
accelerated pace.
Such a policy of radical inflationism is, of course,
extremely popular. But its popularity is to a great extent due to a
misapprehension of its effects. What people are really asking for is a rise in
the prices of those commodities and services they are selling while the prices
of those commodities and services which they are buying remain unchanged. The
potato grower aims at higher prices for potatoes. He does not long for a rise in
other prices. He is injured if these other prices rise sooner or in greater
proportion than the price of potatoes. If a politician addressing a meeting
declares that the government should adopt a policy which makes prices rise, his
hearers are likely to applaud. Yet each of them is thinking of a different price
rise.
From time immemorial inflation has been recommended as a means to
alleviate the burdens of poor worthy debtors at the expense of rich harsh
creditors. However, under capitalism the typical debtors are not the poor but
the well-to-do owners of real estate, of firms, and of common stock, people who
have borrowed from banks, savings banks, insurance companies, and bondholders.
The typical creditors are not the rich but people of modest means who own bonds
and savings accounts or have taken out insurance policies. If the common man
supports anticreditor measures, he does it because he ignores the fact that he
himself is a creditor. The idea that millionaires are the victims of an
easy-money policy is an atavistic remnant.
For the naive mind there is
something miraculous in the issuance of fiat money. A magic word spoken by the
government creates out of nothing a thing which can be exchanged against any
merchandise a man would like to get. How pale is the art of sorcerers, witches,
and conjurors when compared with that of the government's Treasury Department!
The government, professors tell us, "can raise all the money it needs by
printing it." [4] Taxes for revenue, announced a chairman of the Federal Reserve
Bank of New York, are "obsolete." [5] How wonderful! And how malicious and
misanthropic are those stubborn supporters of outdated economic orthodoxy who
ask governments to balance their budgets by covering all expenditures out of tax
revenue!
These enthusiasts do not see that the working of inflation is
conditioned by the ignorance of the public and that inflation ceases to work as
soon as the many become aware of its effects upon the monetary unit's purchasing
power. In normal times, that is in periods in which the government does not
tamper with the monetary standard, people do not bother about monetary problems.
Quite naively they take it for granted that the monetary unit's purchasing power
is "stable." They pay attention to changes occurring in the money prices of the
various commodities. They know very well that the exchange ratios between
different commodities vary. But they are not conscious of the fact that the
exchange ratio between money on the one side and all commodities and services on
the other side is variable too. When the inevitable consequences of inflation
appear and prices soar, they think that commodities are becoming dearer and fail
to see that money is getting cheaper. In the early stages of an inflation only a
few people discern what is going on, manage their business affairs in accordance
with this insight, and deliberately aim at reaping inflation gains. The
overwhelming majority are too dull to grasp a correct interpretation of the
situation. They go on in the routine they acquired in noninflationary periods.
Filled with indignation, they attack those who are quicker to apprehend the real
causes of the agitation of the market as "profiteers" and lay the blame for
their own plight on them. This ignorance of the public is the indispensable
basis of the inflationary policy. Inflation works as long as the housewife
thinks: "I need a new frying pan badly. But prices are too high today; I shall
wait until they drop again." It comes to an abrupt end when people discover that
the inflation will continue, that it causes the rise in prices, and that
therefore prices will skyrocket infinitely. The critical stage begins when the
housewife thinks: "I don't need a new frying pan today; I may need one in a year
or two. But I'll buy it today because it will be much more expensive later."
Then the catastrophic end of the inflation is close. In its last stage the
housewife thinks: "I don't need another table; I shall never need one. But it's
wiser to buy a table than keep these scraps of paper that the government calls
money, one minute longer."
Let us leave the problem of whether or not it
is advisable to base a system of government finance upon the intentional
deception of the immense majority of the citizenry. It is enough to stress the
point that such a policy of deceit is self-defeating. Here the famous dictum of
Lincoln holds true: You can't fool all of the people all of the time. Eventually
the masses come to understand the schemes of their rulers. Then the cleverly
concocted plans of inflation collapse. Whatever compliant government economists
may have said, inflationism is not a monetary policy that can be considered as
an alternative to a sound-money policy. It is at best a temporary expedient. The
main problem of an inflationary policy is how to stop it before the masses have
seen through their rulers' artifices. It is a display of considerable naivety to
recommend openly a monetary system that can work only if its essential features
are ignored by the public.
The index-number method is a very crude and
imperfect means of "measuring" changes occurring in the monetary unit's
purchasing power. As there are in the field of social affairs no constant
relations between magnitudes, no measurement is possible and economics can never
become quantitative. [6] But the index-number method, notwithstanding its
inadequacy, plays an important role in the process which in the course of an
inflationary movement makes the people inflation-conscious. Once the use of
index numbers becomes common, the government is forced to slow down the pace of
the inflation and to make the people believe that the inflationary policy is
merely a temporary expedient for the duration of a passing emergency, one that
will be stopped before long. While government economists still praise the
superiority of inflation as a lasting scheme of monetary management, governments
are compelled to exercise restraint in its application.
It is permissible
to call a policy of intentional inflation dishonest as the effects sought by its
application can be attained only if the government succeeds in deceiving the
greater part of the people about the consequences of its policy. Many of the
champions of interventionist policies will not scruple greatly about such
cheating; in their eyes what the government does can never be wrong. But their
lofty moral indifference is at a loss to oppose an objection to the economist's
argument against inflation. In the economist's eyes the main issue is not that
inflation is morally reprehensible but that it cannot work except when resorted
to with great restraint and even then only for a limited period. Hence resort to
inflation cannot be considered seriously as an alternative to a permanent
standard such as the gold standard is.
The proinflationist propaganda
emphasizes nowadays the alleged fact that the gold standard collapsed and that
it will never be tried again: nations are no longer willing to comply with the
rules of the gold-standard game and to bear all the costs which the preservation
of the gold standard requires.
First of all there is need to remember that
the gold standard did not collapse. Governments abolished it in order to pave
the way for inflation. The whole grim apparatus of oppression and
coercion—policemen, customs guards, penal courts, prisons, in some countries
even executioners—had to be put into action in order to destroy the gold
standard. Solemn pledges were broken, retroactive laws were promulgated,
provisions of constitutions and bills of rights were openly defied. And hosts of
servile writers praised what the governments had done and hailed the dawn of the
fiat-money millennium.
The most remarkable thing about this allegedly new
monetary policy, however, is its complete failure. True, it substituted fiat
money in the domestic markets for sound money and favored the material interests
of some individuals and groups of individuals at the expense of others. It
furthermore contributed considerably to the disintegration of the international
division of labor. But it did not succeed in eliminating gold from its position
as the international or world standard. If you glance at the financial page of
any newspaper you discover at once that gold is still the world's money and not
the variegated products of the divers government printing offices. These scraps
of paper are the more appreciated the more stable their price is in terms of an
ounce of gold. Whoever today dares to hint at the possibility that nations may
return to a domestic gold standard is cried down as a lunatic. This terrorism
may still go on for some time. But the position of gold as the world's standard
is impregnable. The policy of "going off the gold standard" did not relieve a
country's monetary authorities from the necessity of taking into account the
monetary unit's price in terms of gold.
What those authors who speak about
the rules of the gold-standard game have in mind is not clear. Of course, it is
obvious that the gold standard cannot function satisfactorily if to buy or to
sell or to hold gold is illegal, and hosts of judges, constables, and informers
are busily enforcing the law. But the gold standard is not a game; it is a
market phenomenon and as such a social institution. Its preservation does not
depend on the observation of some specific rules. It requires nothing else than
that the government abstain from deliberately sabotaging it. To refer to this
condition as a rule of an alleged game is no more reasonable than to declare
that the pres ervation of Paul's life depends on compliance with the rules of
the Paul's-life game because Paul must die if somebody stabs him to
death.
What all the enemies of the gold standard spurn as its main vice is
precisely the same thing that in the eyes of the advocates of the gold standard
is its main virtue, namely, its incompatibility with a policy of credit
expansion. The nucleus of all the effusions of the antigold authors and
politicians is the expansionist fallacy.
The expansionist doctrine does
not realize that interest, that is, the discount of future goods as against
present goods, is an originary category of human valuation, actual in any kind
of human action and independent of any social institutions. The expansionists do
not grasp the fact that there never were and there never can be human beings who
attach to an apple available in a year or in a hundred years the same value they
attach to an apple available now. In their opinion interest is an impediment to
the expansion of production and consequently to human welfare that unjustified
institutions have created in order to favor the selfish concerns of money
lenders. Interest, they say, is the price people must pay for borrowing. Its
height therefore depends on the magnitude of the supply of money. If laws did
not artificially restrict the creation of additional money, the rate of interest
would drop, ultimately even to zero. The "contractionist" pressure would
disappear, there would no longer be a shortage of capital, and it would become
possible to execute many business projects which the "restrictionism" of the
gold standard obstructs. What is needed to make everyone prosperous is simply to
defy "the rules of the gold-standard game," the observance of which is the main
source of all our economic ills.
These absurd doctrines greatly impressed
ignorant politicians and demagogues when they were blended with nationalist
slogans. What prevents our country from fully enjoying the advantages of a
low-interest-rate policy, says the economic isolationist, is its adherence to
the gold standard. Our central bank is forced to keep its rate of discount at a
height that corresponds to conditions on the international money market and to
the discount rates of foreign central banks. Otherwise "speculators" would
withdraw funds from our country for short-term investment abroad and the
resulting outflow of gold would make the gold reserves of our central bank drop
below the legal ratio. If our central bank were not obliged to redeem its
banknotes in gold, no such withdrawal of gold could occur and there would be no
necessity for it to adjust the height of the money rate to the situation of the
international money market, dominated by the world-embracing gold
monopoly.
The most amazing fact about this argument is that it was raised
precisely in debtor countries for which the operation of the international money
and capital market meant an inflow of foreign funds and consequently the
appearance of a tendency toward a drop in interest rates. It was popular in
Germany and still more in Austria in the 1870s and 80s, but it was hardly ever
seriously mentioned in those years in England or in the Netherlands, whose banks
and bankers lent amply to Germany and Austria. It was advanced in England only
after World War I, when Great Britain's position as the world's banking center
had been lost.
Of course, the argument itself is untenable. The inevitable
eventual failure of any attempt at credit expansion is not caused by the
international intertwinement of the lending business. It is the outcome of the
fact that it is impossible to substitute fiat money and a bank's circulation
credit for nonexisting capital goods. Credit expansion initially can produce a
boom. But such a boom is bound to end in a slump, in a depression. What bring
about the recurrence of periods of economic crises are precisely the reiterated
attempts of governments and banks supervised by them to expand credit in order
to make business good by cheap interest rates. [7]
3 The Full-Employment Doctrine
The inflationist or expansionist doctrine is presented in several
varieties. But its essential content remains always the same.
The oldest
and most naive version is that of the allegedly insufficient supply of money.
Business is bad, says the grocer, because my customers or prospective customers
do not have enough money to expand their purchases. So far he is right. But when
he adds that what is needed to render his business more prosperous is to
increase the quantity of money in circulation, he is mistaken. What he really
has in mind is an increase of the amount of money in the pockets of his
customers and prospective customers while the amount of money in the hands of
other people remains unchanged. He asks for a specific kind of inflation;
namely, an inflation in which the additional new money first flows into the cash
holdings of a definite group of people, his customers, and thus permits him to
reap inflation gains. Of course, everybody who advocates inflation does it
because he infers that he will belong to those who are favored by the fact that
the prices of the commodities and services they sell will rise at an earlier
date and to a higher point than the prices of those commodities and services
they buy. Nobody advocates an inflation in which he would be on the losing
side.
This spurious grocer philosophy was once and for all exploded by
Adam Smith and Jean-Baptiste Say. In our day it has been revived by Lord Keynes,
and under the name of full-employment policy is one of the basic policies of all
governments which are not entirely subject to the Soviets. Yet Keynes was at a
loss to advance a tenable argument against Say's law. Nor have his disciples or
the hosts of economists, pseudo and other, in the offices of the various
governments, the United Nations, and divers other national or international
bureaus done any better. The fallacies implied in the Keynesian full-employment
doctrine are, in a new attire, essentially the same errors which Smith and Say
long since demolished.
Wage rates are a market phenomenon, are the prices
paid for a definite quantity of labor of a definite quality. If a man cannot
sell his labor at the price he would like to get for it, he must lower the price
he is asking for it or else he remains unemployed. If the government or labor
unions fix wage rates at a higher point than the potential rate of the
unhampered labor market and if they enforce their minimum-price decree by
compulsion and coercion, a part of those who want to find jobs remain
unemployed. Such institutional unemployment is the inevitable result of the
methods applied by present-day self-styled progressive governments. It is the
real outcome of measures falsely labeled prolabor. There is only one efficacious
way toward a rise in real wage rates and an improvement of the standard of
living of the wage earners: to increase the per-head quota of capital invested.
This is what laissez-faire capitalism brings about to the extent that its
operation is not sabotaged by government and labor unions.
We do not need
to investigate whether the politicians of our age are aware of these facts. In
most universities it is not good form to mention them to the students. Books
that are skeptical with regard to the official doctrines are not widely bought
by the libraries or used in courses, and consequently publishers are afraid to
publish them. Newspapers seldom criticize the popular creed because they fear a
boycott on the part of the unions. Thus politicians may be utterly sincere in
believing that they have won "social gains" for the "people" and that the spread
of unemployment is one of the evils inherent in capitalism and is in no way
caused by the policies of which they are boasting. However this may be, it is
obvious that the reputation and the prestige of the men who are now ruling the
countries outside the Soviet bloc and of their professorial and journalistic
allies are so inseparably tied up with the "progressive" doctrine that they must
cling to it. If they do not want to forsake their political ambitions, they must
stubbornly deny that their own policy tends to make mass unemployment a
permanent phenomenon and must try to put on capitalism the blame for the
undesired effects of their procedures.
The most characteristic feature of
the full-employment doctrine is that it does not provide information about the
way in which wage rates are determined on the market. To discuss the height of
wage rates is taboo for the "progressives." When they deal with unemployment,
they do not refer to wage rates. As they see it, the height of wage rates has
nothing to do with unemployment and must never be mentioned in connection with
it.
If there are unemployed, says the progressive doctrine, the government
must increase the amount of money in circulation until full employment is
reached. It is, they say, a serious mistake to call inflation an increase in the
quantity of money in circulation effected under these conditions. It is just
"full-employment policy."
We may refrain from frowning upon this
terminological oddity of the doctrine. The main point is that every increase in
the quantity of money in circulation brings about a tendency of prices and wages
to rise. If, in spite of the rise of commodity prices, wage rates do not rise at
all or if their rise lags sufficiently behind the rise in commodity prices, the
number of people unemployed on account of the height of wage rates will drop.
But it will drop merely because such a configuration of commodity prices and
wage rates means a drop in real wage rates. In order to attain this result it
would not have been necessary to embark upon increasing the amount of money in
circulation. A reduction in the height of the minimum-wage rates enforced by the
government or union pressure would have achieved the same effect without at the
same time starting all the other consequences of an inflation.
It is a
fact that in some countries in the 1930s, recourse to inflation was not
immediately followed by a rise in the height of money wage rates as fixed by the
governments or unions, that this was tantamount to a drop in real wage rates,
and that consequently the number of unemployed decreased. But this was merely a
passing phenomenon. When in 1936 Lord Keynes declared that a movement of
employers to revise money-wage bargains downward would be much more strongly
resisted than a gradual and "automatic" lowering of real wage rates as a result
of rising prices,[8] he had already been outdated and refuted by the march of
events. The masses had already begun to see through the artifices of inflation.
Problems of purchasing power and index numbers became an important issue in the
unions' dealings with wage rates. The full-employment argument in favor of
inflation was already behind the times at the very moment when Keynes and his
followers proclaimed it as the fundamental principle of progressive economic
policies.
4 The Emergency Argument in Favor of Inflation
All the economic arguments in favor of inflation are untenable. The fallacies have long
since been exploded in an irrefutable way.
There is, however, a political
argument in favor of inflation that requires special analysis. This political
argument is only rarely resorted to in books, articles, and political speeches.
It does not lend itself to such public treatment. But the underlying idea plays
an important role in the thinking of statesmen and historians.
Its supporters fully accept all the teachings of the sound-money doctrine. They do
not share the errors of the inflationist quacks. They realize that inflationism
is a self-defeating policy which must inevitably lead to an economic cataclysm
and that all its allegedly beneficial effects are, even from the point of view
of the authors of the inflationary policy, more undesirable than the evils which
were to be cured by inflation. In full awareness of all this, however, they
still believe that there are emergencies which peremptorily require or at least
justify recourse to inflation. A nation, they say, can be menaced by evils which
are incomparably more disastrous than the effects of inflation. If it is
possible to avoid the total annihilation of a nation's freedom and culture by a
temporary abandonment of sound money, no reasonable objection can be raised
against such a procedure. It would simply mean preferring a smaller evil to a
greater one.
In order to appraise correctly the weight of this emergency
argument in favor of inflation, there is need to realize that inflation does not
add anything to a nation's power of resistance, either to its material resources
or to its spiritual and moral strength. Whether there is inflation or not, the
material equipment required by the armed forces must be provided out of the
available means by restricting consumption for nonvital purposes, by
intensifying production in order to increase output, and by consuming a part of
the capital previously accumulated. All these things can be done if the majority
of citizens are firmly resolved to offer resistance to the best of their
abilities and are prepared to make such sacrifices for the sake of preserving
their independence and culture. Then the legislature will adopt fiscal methods
which warrant the achievement of these goals. They will attain what is called
economic mobilization or a defense economy without tampering with the monetary
system. The great emergency can be dealt with without recourse to
inflation.
But the situation those advocating emergency inflation have in
mind is of a quite different character. Its characteristic feature is an
irreconcilable antagonism between the opinions of the government and those of
the majority of the people. The government, in this regard supported by only a
minority of the people, believes that there exists an emergency that
necessitates a considerable increase in public expenditure and a corresponding
austerity in private households. But the majority of the people disagree. They
do not believe that conditions are so bad as the government depicts them or they
think that the preservation of the values endangered is not worth the sacrifices
they would have to make. There is no need to raise the question whether the
government's or the majority's opinion is right. Perhaps the government is
right. However, we deal not with the substance of the conflict but with the
methods chosen by the rulers for its solution. They reject the democratic way of
persuading the majority. They arrogate to themselves the power and the moral
right to circumvent the will of the people. They are eager to win its
cooperation by deceiving the public about the costs involved in the measures
suggested. While seemingly complying with the constitutional procedures of
representative government, their conduct is in effect not that of elected
officeholders but that of guardians of the people. The elected executive no
longer deems himself the people's mandatory; he turns into a führer.
The emergency that brings about inflation is this: the people or the majority of the
people are not prepared to defray the costs incurred by their rulers' policies.
They support these policies only to the extent that they believe their conduct
does not burden themselves. They vote, for instance, only for such taxes as are
to be paid by other people, namely, the rich, because they think that these
taxes do not impair their own material well-being. The reaction of the
government to this attitude of the nation is, at least sometimes, directed by
the sincere wish to serve what it believes to be the true interests of the
people in the best possible way. But if the government resorts for this purpose
to inflation, it is employing methods which are contrary to the principles of
representative government, although formally it may have fully complied with the
letter of the constitution. It is taking advantage of the masses' ignorance, it
is cheating the voters instead of trying to convince them.
It is not just
an accident that in our age inflation has become the accepted method of monetary
management. Inflation is the fiscal complement of statism and arbitrary
government. It is a cog in the complex of policies and institutions which
gradually lead toward totalitarianism.
Western liberty cannot hold its
ground against the onslaughts of Oriental slavery if the peoples do not realize
what is at stake and are not ready to make the greatest sacrifices for the
ideals of their civilization. Recourse to inflation may provide the government
with the funds which it could neither collect by taxation nor borrow from the
savings of the public because the people and its parliamentary representatives
objected. Spending the newly created fiat money, the government can buy the
equipment the armed forces need. But a nation reluctant to make the material
sacrifices necessary for victory will never display the requisite mental energy.
What warrants success in a fight for freedom and civilization is not merely
material equipment but first of all the spirit that animates those handling the
weapons. This heroic spirit cannot be bought by
inflation.
[1] See Mises, Human Action
(New Haven: Yale University Press, 1949), pp. 204-6.
[2] See pp. 117-123 above.
[3] About this problem, see Human
Action, pp. 463-68.
[4] See A. B. Lerner, The Economics
of Control (New York, 1944), pp. 307-8.
[5] See B. Ruml, "Taxes for Revenue Are
Obsolete," American Affairs 8 (1946): 35-36.
[6] See pp. 187-194 above;
Human Action, pp. 55-57, 347-49.
[7] Part 3 of this book is entirely
devoted to the exposition of the trade-cycle theory, the doctrine that is
called the monetary-or circulation-credit theory, sometimes also the Austrian
theory. See also Human Action, pp. 535-83, 787-94.
[8] See Keynes, The General Theory
of Employment, Interest and Money (London, 1936), p. 264.
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