Interview with Israel M. Kirzner
Interview with Israel M. Kirzner
The Austrian Economics Newsletter
|
Spring 1997
Volume 17, Number 1
Between Mises and Keynes
An Interview with Israel M. Kirzner
No living economist is as closely identified with the Austrian School as Israel M.
Kirzner, professor of economics at New York University, a leader of the generation of Austrians
after Mises and Hayek, and an adjunct scholar of the Mises Institute. He wrote his dissertation
under Mises, later published as The Economic Point of View (1960), and broke new
theoretical
ground in his Competition and Entrepreneurship (1973). Kirzner is author of seven
additional
books, his newest on capital and interest from Edward Elgar (1997), and dozens of articles,
including several in the Austrian Economics Newsletter and The Review of
Austrian Economics. He
was interviewed in his office at NYU following the weekly Austrian Colloquium.
AEN: You were Mises's assistant for some years.
KIRZNER: Yes, and in addition to attending his weekly lectures, I spent
time in his office
downtown being available for his students. He used to read my manuscripts, and I was honored
to have him write the introduction to The Economic Point of View (1960).
Otherwise, he didn't
comment very much on my work, and we didn't have extensive discussions on the details.It was
not easy to discuss matters of theory with Mises. He was always gracious, polite, and kind, but at
the same time reserved. There was also a bit of a language barrier. He spoke English perfectly,
but I think he still thought in German.I would never claim that my interpretations of
Mises were
given his personal approval. Most of what I understood of Mises was attained from diligently
studying and thinking about passages in Human Action again and
again.
AEN: Any other insights on Mises the man?
KIRZNER: He was a man of great integrity. I remember an episode after
completing my
master's degree in 1955. I was studying with Mises and was strongly under his influence. But I
also applied for fellowships at other schools. I received an offer from Johns Hopkins. I went to
ask Mises's advice on whether I should go. Even though he had very few students, he told me to
accept the offer. He pointed out that Fritz Machlup teaches there, and that Johns Hopkins is a
prestigious school. As it happens, I did not take his advice, but this says something about his
concern for his students' interests. It was an extraordinary gesture on his part.
AEN: How were you first attracted to Mises?
KIRZNER: At first, I did not know who he was. But as I was looking
around for programs and
professors, I did happen to notice that Mises seemed to have more books than
anyone else. I
found that impressive, so began my studies with him. Eventually I was hooked.
AEN: Did you know you were getting involved in a school of thought that
most of the profession
regarded as old-fashioned?
KIRZNER: Not at first. But I eventually came to realize that the
mainstream of the profession
was headed in a different direction. In 1954, there was no Austrian movement. There was no
Austrian School. There was Mises, and there was Hayek. They must have been seen as the last of
their generation, and not too much of a threat.
Now, I don't regard my choice as heroic by any means. True, I was isolated as far as the
profession was concerned. But I received my PhD, taught at New York University, did my work,
and published my books. I was content with this, and had no great difficulties. Gradually, as the
sixties wore on, I began to think I had an idea that might even have an impact on the profession.
Indeed, Competition and Entrepreneurship interested some reviewers at the
University of
Chicago Press, which pleased me very much.
AEN: When you look at the Austrian School today, what do you think?
KIRZNER: Its sheer size is very pleasing, of course. To some extent, the
fact that the profession
at large has moved even further along in the technical-mathematical direction created an opening
for the Austrian School among younger scholars. They began to see the sterility and aridity of the
way the mainstream has gone. The Austrian School appears as a whole different way of
approaching the discipline. And today, there is room out there for Austrians in the
profession--however, not yet at the top of the profession.
AEN: In today's colloquium, and in your writings, you seem to be
increasingly occupying what's
sometimes called Austrian "middle ground."
KIRZNER: No question. This has been true ever since people have begun
to take more extreme
positions on the question of the uses of the equilibrium construct in economics. When they began
to deny its relevance altogether, I began to realize that my position is not as extreme as theirs.
The phrase "middle ground" was first used by Roger Garrison to describe a theoretical position
that neither entirely spurns nor fully embraces a construct like equilibrium that is most often
associated with neoclassical economic thought.
AEN: Is it excessive subjectivism that troubles you?
KIRZNER: I wouldn't say so. The argument that says we can't use
equilibrium constructs at all
is not a valid use of subjectivism. It takes economic theory in an entirely different direction.
AEN: What is the middle ground on the question of equilibrium?
KIRZNER: The two extremes, simply stated, are "equilibrium always"
and "equilibrium never."
The "equilibrium always" view is the strict neoclassical/Chicago perspective which never
permits us to consider a world in which everything is not completely adjusted. The other extreme
is one in which there are no systematic, overriding tendencies that could lead to regularity. I don't
think an Austrian economist can be satisfied with either of these positions.
Austrian economics cannot be "equilibrium always," but neither can it be "anything goes."
As
Mises used to say, it was the great contribution of the classical economists to enunciate the
concept of economic law. There are, indeed, systematic consequences to our actions. If one
accepts that economics is the study of those systematic consequences, one cannot live with a
perspective that sees the world as so open-ended that anything is possible. That's why I would
disagree with the characterization of economics as essentially the study of the unfolding of an
uncertain future.
AEN: Is Professor Mario Rizzo correct that Austrians must think in terms
of non-equilibrium
"real time" as versus some static variant?
KIRZNER: I think it is highly useful to think in non-equilibrium terms, to
be open to the
possibility of change and surprise. You certainly cannot do good economics without
understanding the role of surprise. But if one pursues this to the point where the surprises tend to
overwhelm the regularities, then I don't believe you have a science that reflects existing realities.
AEN: There's an impression out there that you believe entrepreneurship is
always equilibrating.
Is this a mischaracterization of your position?
KIRZNER: Yes. Entrepreneurship is not always equilibrating. The
equilibrating features of the
real world ought to be ascribed to entrepreneurship; it doesn't follow that all entrepreneurship is
always equilibrating. Entrepreneurs make losses, and losses are not equilibrating.
The idea I reject is this: there is successful entrepreneurship, there is unsuccessful
entrepreneurship, and it's a toss-up which is going to outweigh which in the end. That was Frank
Knight's position, by the way, and I think that is a mistake.
The fundamental Misesian insight into human action is that it involves a tendency to be right
rather than to be wrong. People have an interest in being right. They do not have an interest in
being wrong. This definitely, distinctively weights the tendency of human action in the direction
of being right.
This does not guarantee "equilibration always." And certainly a permanent equilibrium is out
of
the question. It would be incorrect even to imply that in any given time period, the
changes we
observe are necessarily equilibrating. But there are tendencies which tend to overwhelm
disequilibrating forces in the market, most of the time.
AEN: Are there times when disequilibrium is a sure thing?
KIRZNER: Much depends on the nature of the exogenous changes we are
experiencing. In a
world in which change is of such a volatility that entrepreneurial activity and action are
continually frustrated, we will find continual non-equilibration. There are historical
circumstances in which chaos, violence, and uprisings do indeed overwhelm orderliness and
evolution. Perhaps we can even point to such occasions. For equilibrium to be the regular
tendency, we do need, empirically, a certain environment of stability.
AEN: Can you give an example of such volatility?
KIRZNER: Suppose people's tastes change every day,
drastically. Sometimes they like the
temperature inside to be 32 degrees; other times, they like it very hot. Sometimes people eat three
times a day; sometimes only one. Sometimes they like to wear shoes; other times, they insist on
going barefoot. Suppose that technology were to change drastically and in
unexpected ways. This
is extreme volatility. In these times, we have no guarantee whatsoever that a market theory can
really provide a systematic understanding of change. In such a world there would be so little that
is stable, I don't believe an economic theory would be of much help.
AEN: In these times, does economic law cease to exist?
KIRZNER: Not at all. It only becomes more difficult to take account of
the pattern of change.
For example, we can always predict that an increase in demand will increase the price. But under
extreme volatility, demand changes and wobbles so quickly that the forces that would otherwise
cause prices to rise will be swamped temporarily by forces that cause them to fall. We can't rule
it out. But economic law still continues to be the underlying reality.
AEN: Do you regard Joseph Schumpeter's theory of entrepreneurship as
an Austrian theory?
KIRZNER: There's a good deal of controversy about that. There was
personal tension between
Mises and Schumpeter, and most of what we would currently identify as key Austrian features
were not accepted by Schumpeter. Walrasianism did dominate his thinking.
Yet I have defended Schumpeter as an Austrian in a very special way. He never really bought
into the neoclassical view of "equilibrium always." Certainly his emphasis on the entrepreneur is
consistent with that. He never forgot the lessons he learned from Austrians, even if he
tried to
forget them. The Austrian revival owes something to Schumpeter.
AEN: What is the relationship between his theory and yours?
KIRZNER: Let me recognize that in my 1973 book I was perhaps
overeager to draw a
distinction between Schumpeter and myself. In later writings I have pulled back somewhat from
that. I have recognized that you can subsume the Schumpeterian entrepreneur under my own
theory, if you like.
For Schumpeter, the entrepreneur was a disrupter. He breaks an existing, evenly-rotating
system.
Paul Samuelson has a metaphor for Schumpeter's view of the world. He said it's like a violin
string. You pluck it, it vibrates, and finally settles down. I would say that Schumpeter saw the
entrepreneur as the person who is doing the plucking from a taut position, generating the change.
All the vibrations are attributed to his action.
Originally, I emphasized the other side of the issue. The entrepreneur generates a tendency to
restore the evenly-rotating system to a new level or a new pattern. But it is the restoration, not the
disruption, that is brought about by the entrepreneur.
AEN: How would his, and your, theory apply to a specific technological
change?
KIRZNER: Imagine Victorian England, where everything is calm and
still, with horse carriages
and trains carrying people here and there. Along comes the entrepreneur who invents the
automobile. The stillness is utterly shattered. People lose jobs and physical resources are shifted
to new lines of production. All of this is to be ascribed to the entrepreneur in Schumpeter's view.
In one sense this is correct. But my 1973 book emphasizes a different point. We have to
recognize that when the entrepreneur discovers the automobile, he is not simply disrupting the
calm. He is identifying what was in fact waiting to be introduced. Technological knowledge was
being misapplied. Resources were being wasted on trains, carriages, and bicycles, when, in fact,
what was waiting to be put together was this new gadget called the automobile. A person who
recognizes this is responding to a preexisting, gaping hole in the market.
Of course, the role of the entrepreneur can be understood as disrupting in a very
down-to-earth
sense. People had jobs and their jobs are destroyed. People had careers, and they are now gone.
Granted. But what appear to be disruptions aren't disruptions at all. They are simply the revealing
of misallocations that were there before.
Very often people object. "You say entrepreneurship is coordinating, but surely an
entrepreneur
who discovers new ways of doing things is putting people out of work and disrupting people's
expectations."
Yes, he is, but in a more fundamental sense, he is correcting an already existing
discoordination.
He is redirecting resources that are already misplaced. People do not have to go on for years and
years behaving in ways that are socially inefficient. The person who abruptly draws their
attention to this inefficiency is assisting in the process of economic coordination. However, this
does not reduce, in any way, the importance of Schumpeter's focus on the innovation of the
entrepreneur. Nothing I have said should be interpreted to do so.
AEN: What do you mean in saying something is "waiting" to be
discovered?
KIRZNER: Philosophically, people have objected to that. I do not mean to
convey the idea that
the future is a rolled-up tapestry, and we need only to be patient as the picture progressively
unrolls itself before our eyes. In fact, the future may be a void. There may be nothing around the
corner or in the tapestry. The future has to be created. Philosophically, all this may be so. But it
doesn't matter for the sake of the metaphor I have chosen.
Ex post we have to recognize that when an innovator has discovered something
new, that
something was metaphorically waiting to be discovered. But from an everyday point-of-view,
when a new gadget is invented, we all say, gee, I can see we needed that. It was just
waiting to be
discovered.
AEN: Consumer demand was there, resources were there, and the
technology was there. . .
KIRZNER: Yes, so there was no reason why it wasn't being done. The
entrepreneur is alert to
this reality, to the profit opportunity it represents, and responds creatively to it.
AEN: Some have said your careful definition of the "pure" entrepreneur is
excessively abstracted
from that of the capitalist, and that in this respect your theory departs from Mises.
KIRZNER: I know that Murray Rothbard and Joe Salerno have suggested
this, but I don't think
it is correct. Frankly, I've always thought I picked up the idea of the "pure entrepreneur" from
Mises. I've written a comment on this view in a book edited by Bruce Caldwell and Stephen
Boehm [Austrian Economics: Tensions and New Directions, Boston: Kluwer, 1992].
I argue that
it depends on your analytical purposes. We recognize that in the real world the pure entrepreneur
never exists. A pure laborer never exists. A pure capitalist never exists. Yet it remains highly
useful to speak of the pure entrepreneur.
AEN: In theory, then, if not in reality.
KIRZNER: Yes, but I have no difficulty in recognizing the theoretical
meaning of the pure
entrepreneur. The more difficult question is: can you have a capitalist who is not an
entrepreneur? In a world of uncertainty, I don't believe so. If there is no pure capitalist, because
every capitalist must also be an entrepreneur, then what does one gain by talking about the pure
entrepreneur? It helps us to understand the precise nature of his contribution to the process of
economic change.
Let's assume that all the uncertainty in the world is subsumed within the entrepreneur, and
nobody else has any element of uncertainty. The actions of everyone else are not human actions;
they are the movements of robots. Neither the laborers, nor the capitalists, nor the consumers are
entrepreneurs. They are Robbinsian maximizers. In this world, the pure entrepreneur buys
resources at prices which are known to the resource sellers, sells them at prices which are known
to the buyers, and he's the one who sees the difference between the two.
In the real world, of course, no one performs a purely non-entrepreneurial function. The
consumer is an entrepreneur, the capitalist is, and the laborer is too. They are all taking risks,
taking leaps. They are all forgoing some opportunities for others. Granted. But that doesn't by
itself preclude us from talking about the central entrepreneurial function of being alert to new
opportunities, of discovering something that others have not seen.
AEN: And this understanding is consistent with your 1973 book?
KIRZNER: I don't believe I've made substantial revisions. I've made
revisions from my earlier
books. My Economic Point of View [1960], Market Theory and the Price
System [1963], and
Essay on Capital [1966] were not informed by the entrepreneurial insights, which I
only gained
later.
AEN: Market Theory and the Price System is said to have
made a contribution to the Austrian
view of efficiency.
KIRZNER: I sweated a great deal over that book. I put a tremendous
amount of thought into
trying to translate Misesian economics, as I understood it then, into terms that would be
understandable to the profession at large and usable at the undergraduate level. It wasn't easy. It
is probably the winner in a contest over having sold the least copies.
AEN: Do you regard your entrepreneurial insight as a bridge between the
Austrian and
neoclassical worlds?
KIRZNER: The word "bridge" is a diplomatic word. I've been accused of
turning Austrian
economics into a footnote of neoclassical economics. I think that is incorrect. But I would accept
the word "bridge." It is a bridge in the best sense of the term.
Neoclassical economics in its modern version is an "equilibrium always" theory. It didn't
used to
be that way. Frank M. Machovec has written a book in which he points out that the great
neoclassical thinkers from 1880 to 1930 did not really believe in a world built on equilibrium
theory. They thought about the price system as a competitive process. It's the modern version of
neoclassical economics that has been Walrasian--and Machovec goes further to argue that not
even Walras believed in "equilibrium" always. I don't think I would go that far, but I see his
main point.
The idea of the entrepreneur enables us to see how there might conceivably be an
equilibrium
system, or why an equilibrium system might be of any interest to us. Even if we deny that
equilibrium is ever attained, we can look at neoclassical theory and understand it in relationship
with Austrian theory.
When Mises talked about the evenly rotating economy as a model against which to
understand
equilibrating processes, he is doing exactly what should be done. We can understand market
process theory by contrasting it with equilibrium states. How can a contrast be a
bridge? It can
by drawing attention to the role of equilibrium models in understanding the process. But I
strongly disagree with those who have said that this theory of the entrepreneur merely restores
neoclassical economics to its pristine glory.
AEN: But if a neoclassical economist told his class about Kirzner's theory
of entrepreneurship,
that would be an improvement.
KIRZNER: Certainly, given today's rigid environment. Once, however, I
gave a talk on the
Austrian view of the market process, and the late Abba Lerner was there. He said that what I was
calling the Austrian view is precisely what he had been taught in school and had long accepted.
I'm sure it's true. The perfectly competitive model was never dominant in neoclassical
economics until E.H. Chamberlin and Joan Robinson brought us imperfect competition. Then,
they retroactively attributed perfect competition to those that preceded them.
AEN: Prior to this, Mises even thought of himself as within the
mainstream of thought.
KIRZNER: That's right. There's a passage which I've often quoted from a
1932 piece where
Mises is saying that all modern schools of economics are basically saying the same thing. That is
very revealing. What did he mean? He was noting that all schools have abandoned the German
historical school. In short, vis-a-vis the common enemy, they are all saying the same
thing.
Later on, the differences between the schools--Walrasian, Marshallian, Austrian--began to
widen. Think of them like three parallel runners who start off close to each other but move
progressively further apart as they proceed. By the time I came to study under Mises in 1957, I
don't believe he would have subscribed to the view that all schools taught the same thing.
AEN: What in particular changed Mises's mind?
KIRZNER: I've made the argument, in The Review of Austrian
Economics, that it was partly a
result of the socialist calculation debate in the 1930s. This debate exposed deep differences
between Austrians and others in the very conception of what the market is and how it works. I
think it's true of Hayek too.
AEN: Congratulations on the new edition of An Essay on
Capital, along with two additional
essays, just out from Edward Elgar. How did that earlier book come about?
KIRZNER: When I wrote An Essay on Capital in 1966, I
didn't believe I was breaking any new
ground. After completing my 1963 book, I spent several years hoping to write a history of capital
theory since the 1880s. I found myself getting deeper and deeper in what I found to be an endless
muddle of ideas, confusion of purposes, and definitional ambiguities. I finally gave up. I found
instead that it would be useful for me to write down in clear and simple terms a summary of what
I got out of my research, in light of the Misesian framework.
AEN: Can you summarize the argument of this work?
KIRZNER: Usually, people look at capital as objects, usually highly
valued objects. That tempts
us to think that physical capital is itself the source of the flow of income. The view of capital I
present relates directly to the purposes of individuals. I insist that Austrians see capital as the
intermediate form in which plans are brought about.
I like to use the metaphor of the half-baked cake in an oven. This is a desk, and the person
who
made it was planning that I would use it to write on, put papers on, and so on. By itself, the desk
is a half-baked cake, just as are cars, buildings, and machines.
It goes back to Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk's view of inchoate output. We must look at
capital, not
in objective terms, but as representing the plans of individuals and their forecasts of the future.
There are overlapping, multi-period plans, of course, so that new cakes are going into the oven
before old ones come out.
AEN: It is said sometimes that Hayek should not have spent so much time
writing the treatise on
capital that appeared in 1941.
KIRZNER: He expected that book to be followed by a subsequent
volume, I believe. He stuck it
out, and produced a very difficult book that is largely ignored today. I have some criticisms of
that book too, and it is good that he moved on, but it was an honest and grand effort.
AEN: In those early years, did you have a goal of doing more
macro-oriented work?
KIRZNER: No. I have never really seen myself as a macroeconomist. Of
course I've taught
macro for many years, yet I felt I never understood Keynesian economics. It assumes
that
decision making doesn't matter. All that matters are the relationships between totals. While I
often pointed out what seemed to me gaping holes, I had no great desire to counter this with a
separate macroeconomic theory of some sort.
AEN: You've never thought of providing a systematic critique of the
Austrian business cycle
theory, for instance?
KIRZNER: No, I've never had too much interest in the Austrian business
cycle theory. I've
never felt that the Hayekian business cycle theory was essentially Austrian. In fact, Mises, who
was the originator of this whole idea in 1912, didn't see it as particularly Austrian either. There
are passages where he notes that people call it the Austrian theory, but he says it's not really
Austrian. It goes back to the Currency School and Knut Wicksell. It's certainly not historically
Austrian. Further, I would claim that, as developed by Hayek, there are many aspects of it that
are
non-Austrian. I don't believe that to be an Austrian you have to buy into the Hayekian view of
business cycles.
AEN: Are there any aspects of Hayek's business cycle theory that you
regard as Austrian?
KIRZNER: I recently wrote a paper to accompany the facsimile German
edition of Prices and
Production. I identified what seemed to me to be elements of Hayek's later work on
coordination, miscoordination, and knowledge. I argued that the germs of his later ideas can be
traced to this volume, especially his description of the upswing stage of the cycle. This is a phase
during which some decisions are out of sync with other decisions. Current investors are making
decisions which anticipate the decisions of others down the road, which are in fact not there.
Leaving the exact mechanism aside, that is the kind of thing Hayek taught us to look for in
analyzing the market process. In that respect, it's Austrian.
AEN: And the rest of the theory?
KIRZNER: Otherwise, the Austrian theory of the business cycle is a
macro theory. It's an
equilibrium theory. And it treats capital in an objective sense rather than a subjective sense. It
treats time as somehow embedded in the capital goods themselves. So I've always had a certain
reserve about that particular theory, however brilliant it may be. I think the way Hayek developed
it was not quite consistent with the way Mises laid it out in 1912.
AEN: Do you accept the idea that interest-rate manipulation by the central
bank can cause
distortions in the structure of production?
KIRZNER: Certainly the Austrian cycle theory showed brilliantly how
this can happen. But it's
one thing to develop a theory which could explain a downturn. It's quite another to claim that
historically every downturn is to be attributed to that particular theory. That does not necessarily
follow. If one were asked, does this theory necessarily explain each and every cycle, I would say
no.
Mises used to poke fun at those who criticize the Austrian theory of the business cycle as
being
too simple. He said that still doesn't tell what's wrong with it. That's correct, as far as it goes.
Perhaps many market aberrations are of this kind. But that can only be a question of historical
understanding. We must be able to look at every case to see just what is happening.
AEN: Should Austrians insist that the scope of Austrian theory be limited
to only praxeologically
valid theorems?
KIRZNER: No, I'm not saying that Austrian economics should not deal
with applications of
praxeology. But it's one thing to explain what must necessarily follow under certain assumptions.
It's another to take this and claim, without justification, that this therefore is the
explanation for a
particular empirical phenomenon. There's a danger in doing that.
AEN: In recent years, you've written about the implications of
entrepreneurial discovery for
matters of ethics and justice, and particularly the idea of "finders keepers."
KIRZNER: Let me be clear. Finders keepers is not necessarily my
preferred ethical teaching. I
am not proclaiming it should be followed. I'm not an ethicist; I'm an economist. I'm merely
suggesting ways that people's own ethical conceptions can be applied to economic categories. I
picked up the phrase "finders keepers" from Murray Rothbard, who got it from a book by Henry
Oliver. I then linked the finders-keepers ethic to the idea of entrepreneurial discovery, which I
discuss as a new kind of finding.
By "finding," I do not mean that someone is walking along the street and sees something in
the
gutter. I mean finding a new way of producing something, coming up with a new gadget,
discovering some way of meeting an unmet need. Once you broaden the concept of finding, the
finders-keepers ethic becomes immediately relevant. A theory of justice that considers the role of
entrepreneurship will have a place for the finders-keepers ethic, an ethic that would not come
into play in an equilibrium view of markets.
AEN: What is the most direct application of this concept?
KIRZNER: To the morality and justice of profits. People have great
difficulty with justifying
how someone can pocket money that is over and above what it costs to produce it. If someone
buys something for $10, and sells it for $17, why does he get to keep the $7? It seems to many
people that it's pure luck that you can sell it for a higher price, and the products of luck should
probably belong to all mankind. Or it might seem to be a fraud or a con job.
Those are the obvious ethical problems. But those problems appear only insofar as we
assume
that everyone begins with potentially full and equal knowledge. In that case, this $7 profit might
represent an attempt to deceive. But if people lack knowledge that someone else has, does taking
advantage of that constitute fraud? I don't take a position qua ethicist. I am simply pointing out
that the finders-keepers ethic may throw light on this problem. The entrepreneur, after all, found
value in something.
AEN: And this is different from merely paying for expertise?
KIRZNER: I don't believe in defenses of profit that say we have to pay for
people's know-how
and skills. These items will have their own independent price on the market. Pure entrepreneurial
profit rises above all of these costs, and it needs a separate defense. It is not a payment for
something for which a price can be established; the entrepreneur is paid for
overcoming
ignorance through alertness. A person might say, you have no right to cash in on somebody else's
ignorance. Now is everybody who makes a pure profit cashing in on somebody else's ignorance?
In fact, yes. Full and equal knowledge is not a reality. If people could not cash in on other
people's ignorance, there would be no such thing as pure profit.
AEN: Among the items integral or incidental to Austrian economics,
where does the pure-time-preference theory of interest stand?
KIRZNER: I can imagine an Austrian economist who might not fully
accept this theory of the
origination of interest. I myself have never understood exactly what Mises meant by giving pure
time preference an a priori basis. When I say I don't understand it, I mean literally
that, and not
that it's wrong. It is a very difficult chapter in Mises.
The pure-time-preference theory I've written about is not based on a priori
reasoning. I've
merely concluded that time preference is a reasonably universal empirical phenomenon. I ask my
students: do you know anybody who is indifferent between receiving a paycheck now and
receiving it in ten years? The answer is no. To me, that is enough to provide the basis of the
theory.
AEN: You don't rule out the possible existence of negative rate of time
preference?
KIRZNER: I would be surprised, but I don't rule it out apodictically. If
there is a tax on bank
balances that is sufficiently high, it would pay people to lend money at negative interest,
provided the interest is less than the tax rate. Is that negative time preference? Probably not, but
it
does show that a positive rate of time preference can coexist with a negative rate of interest. That
seems to be what Mises is denying, so my theory cannot claim to present the Misesian view.
AEN: Is it right to say you have adopted a Misesian rather than
Rothbardian view of monopoly?
KIRZNER: That is correct. Mises had a view of monopoly in which he
said that under certain
exceptional circumstances, the pattern of resource ownership may fly in the face of the interest of
consumers.
Ordinarily, the ownership of a resource provides value to its owner only to the extent he is
prepared to put that resource to use in the service of the consuming public. The only possible
exception is where the entire supply of a scarce resource, for which there are no substitutes,
happens to be in the hands of a single seller. It may indeed be the case that the
interests of the
resource owner may be counter to that of consumers. In other words, the resource owner may
discover an advantage in producing less of a product for consumers than consumers themselves
desire.
This is a possible conflict of interest, and, for Mises, an extraordinary phenomenon. Here we
see
Mises's integrity. He was willing to recognize that it's not always true that a private-property
system conduces to the well-being of the consuming public. He didn't think it was an important
case, but he did draw attention to it. He did not use this exceptional case to argue for
controls
over monopolies.
I too think this point is interesting. I don't believe it is empirically important. It doesn't
provide
justification for monopoly regulation, or breaking companies, or anything like that. It simply
points to a theoretical implication of certain patterns of resource ownership.
Others have disagreed. Rothbard used to say you can never really know if a producer is
storing
up resources in order to gain more profits or whether his doing so is even contrary to the interest
of consumers. That's true. You never will know. But the theoretical possibility is still there.
AEN: A recent controversy has centered on the attempt to
"de-homogenize" Mises and Hayek.
Do you think this debate has been constructive?
KIRZNER: The short answer is no. Most definitely no. Such thinkers as
complex as Mises and
Hayek are not going to be identical at every point. There were differences between them, and
these differences should be studied, developed, and their roots identified. Certainly. But for what
I believe to be the major agenda of Austrian economics, the points of commonality between
Mises and Hayek are far, far more important than what I consider to be the marginal differences.
To draw a division between them is a major mistake, and possibly a tragic one.
AEN: Why do you say tragic?
KIRZNER: Tragic from the standpoint of the influence of Austrian
economics on the profession
in general. Moreover, if people believe they must choose between being Hayekians and being
Misesians, they are going to say, well, Hayek was the Nobel Prize winner, so he must have done
the better work; Mises will be neglected.
KIRZNER: How do you regard Ludwig Lachmann's contributions to the
Austrian School?
AEN: Lachmann played a vital role in the revival of Austrian economics.
He was a gadfly. He
kept us honest. He had a personal link with Mises and Hayek that nobody else had. He was a
bridge between the generations. He had deep respect for Mises and Hayek, even where he
disagreed with them. He showed young students that you could be a respected economist even if
you thought Mises was a great thinker.
Doctrinally, Lachmann was much closer to the extreme Shackelian position on choice,
uncertainty, and time, and went much further than I am willing to go. At the same time, he was a
circumspect scholar. He was careful to keep a lot of his ideas to himself. But I believe he was
trying to steer Austrian economics in a more subjectivist direction.
AEN: And Murray Rothbard?
KIRZNER: Rothbard was unquestionably a genius. His History of
Thought exemplifies his life-long ability to absorb an enormous amount of literature and
write clearly. He played an important
role in inspiring young scholars to take a careful look at the Austrian body of thought. Just as I
have had disagreements with Lachmann, I've had them with Rothbard, in matters of style and in
matters of substance. Some of his impact was deepened, and some of it qualified, by his
ideological work in libertarian political theory.
AEN: What about Frank Fetter of Princeton?
KIRZNER: Yes, he too made valuable contributions. Rothbard did a fine
job in drawing
together his essays on interest. I don't believe that Fetter can be considered an Austrian except in
this one narrow area, however.
AEN: What is your most overlooked contribution to Austrian economics?
KIRZNER: Chapter seven in my 1963 book, which I've often cited to
students and colleagues.
It's where I provide a scenario of the spread of knowledge in the market process, starting with a
non-equilibrium state and building to a systematic process of learning. It provides, I think, a very
useful framework.
AEN: Are you generally optimistic about the prospect for the Austrian
School?
KIRZNER: Austrians never make forecasts in their role as scientists, but I
will venture this.
There is work for us to do. There is a generation open to these ideas. The developments of the
last 20 years demonstrate this. So, yes, I am optimistic. That's a frame of mind, not a forecast.