PART TWO: THE VALUE OF MONEY
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CHAPTER 10
The Exchange Ratio Between Money of Different Kinds
1 The Twofold Possibility of the Coexistence of Different Kinds of Money
The existence of an exchange ratio between two sorts
of money is dependent upon both being used side by side, at the same time, by
the same economic agents, as common media of exchange. We could perhaps conceive
of two economic areas, not connected in any other way, being linked together
only by the fact that each exchanged the commodity it used for money against
that used for money by the other, in order then to use the acquired monetary
commodity otherwise than as money. But this would not be a case of an exchange
ratio between different kinds of money simply arising from their monetary
employment. If we wish successfully to conduct our investigation as an
investigation into the theory of money, then even in the present chapter we must
disregard the nonmonetary uses of the material of which commodity money is made;
or, at least, take account of them only where this is necessary for the complete
clarification of all the processes connected with our problem. Now the assertion
that, apart from the effects of the industrial use of the monetary material, an
exchange ratio can be established between two sorts of money only when both are
used as money simultaneously and side by side, is not the usual view. That is to
say, prevailing opinion distinguishes two cases: that in which two or more
domestic kinds of money exist side by side in the parallel standard, and that in
which the money in exclusive use at home is of a kind different from the money
used abroad. Both cases are dealt with separately, although there is no
theoretical difference between them as far as the determination of the exchange
ratio between the two sorts of money is concerned.
If a gold-standard
country and a silver-standard country have business relations with each other
and constitute a unitary market for certain economic goods, then it is obviously
incorrect to say that the common medium of exchange consists of gold only for
the inhabitants of the gold-standard country, and of silver only for those of
the silver-standard country. On the contrary, from the economic point of view
both metals must be regarded as money for each area. Until 1873, gold was just
as much a medium of exchange for the German buyer of English commodities as
silver was for the English buyer of German commodities. The German farmer who
wished to exchange corn for English steel goods could not do so without the
instrumentality of both gold and silver. Exceptional cases might arise, where a
German sold in England for gold and bought again with gold, or where an
Englishman sold in Germany for silver and bought with silver; but this merely
demonstrates more clearly still the monetary characteristic of both metals for
the inhabitants of both areas. Whether the case is one of an exchange through
the instrumentality of money used once or used more than once, the only
important point is that the existence of international trade relations results
in the consequence that the money of each of the single areas concerned is money
also for all the other areas.
It is true that there are important
differences between that money which plays the chief part in domestic trade, is
the instrument of most exchanges, predominates in the dealings between consumers
and sellers of consumption goods, and in loan transactions, and is recognized by
the law as legal tender, and that money which is employed in relatively few
transactions, is hardly ever used by consumers in their purchases, does not
function as an instrument of loan operations, and is not legal tender. In
popular opinion, the former money only is domestic money, the latter foreign
money. Although we cannot accept this if we do not want to close the way to an
understanding of the problem that occupies us, we must nevertheless emphasize
that it has great significance in other connections. We shall have to come back
to it in the chapter which deals with the social effects of fluctuations in the
objective exchange value of money.
2 The Static or Natural Exchange Ratio Between Different Kinds of
Money
For the exchange ratio between two or
more kinds of money, whether they are employed side by side in the same country
(the parallel standard) or constitute what is popularly called foreign money and
domestic money, it is the exchange ratio between individual economic goods and
the individual kinds of money that is decisive. The different kinds of money are
exchanged in a ratio corresponding to the exchange ratios existing between each
of them and the other economic goods. If 1 kg. of gold is exchanged for m kg. of
a particular sort of commodity, and 1 kg. of silver for m/15 1/2 kg. of the same
sort of commodity, then the exchange ratio between gold and silver will be
established at 15 1/2. If some disturbance tends to alter this ratio between the
two sorts of money, which we shall call the static or natural ratio, then
automatic forces will be set in motion that will tend to reestablish
it. [1]
Let us consider the case of two countries each of which carries on
its domestic trade with the aid of one sort of money only, which is different
from that used in the other country. If the inhabitants of two areas with
different currencies who have previously exchanged their commodities directly
without the intervention of money begin to make use of money in the transaction
of their business, they will base the exchange ratio between the two kinds of
money on the exchange ratio between each kind of money and the commodities. Let
us assume that a gold-standard country and a silver-standard country had
exchanged cloth directly for wheat on such terms that one meter of cloth was
given for one bushel of wheat. Let the price of cloth in the country of its
origin be one gram of gold per meter; that of wheat, 15 grams of silver per
bushel. If international trade is now put on a monetary basis, then the price of
gold in terms of silver must be established at 15. If it were established
higher, say at 16, then indirect exchange through the instrumentality of money
would be disadvantageous from the point of view of the owners of the wheat as
compared with direct exchange; in indirect exchange for a bushel of wheat they
would obtain only fifteen-sixteenths of a meter of cloth as against a whole
meter in direct exchange. The same disadvantage would arise for the owners of
the cloth if the price of gold was established at anything lower, say at 14
grams of silver. This, of course, does not imply that the exchange ratios
between the different kinds of money have actually developed in this manner. It
is to be understood as a logical, not a historical, explanation. Of the two
precious metals gold and silver it must especially be remarked that their
reciprocal exchange ratios have slowly developed with the development of their
monetary position.
If no other relations than those of barter exist
between the inhabitants of two areas, then balances in favor of one party or the
other cannot arise. The objective exchange values of the quantities of
commodities and services surrendered by each of the contracting parties must be
equal, whether present goods or future goods are involved. Each constitutes the
price of the other. This fact is not altered in any way if the exchange no
longer proceeds directly but indirectly through the intermediaryship of one or
more common media of exchange. The surplus of the balance of payments that is
not settled by the consignment of goods and services but by the transmission of
money was long regarded merely as a consequence of the state of international
trade. It is one of the great achievements of Classical political economy to
have exposed the fundamental error involved in this view. It demonstrated that
international movements of money are not consequences of the state of trade;
that they constitute not the effect, but the cause, of a favorable or
unfavorable trade balance. The precious metals are distributed among individuals
and hence among nations according to the extent and intensity of their demands
for money. No individual and no nation need fear at any time to have less money
than it needs. Government measures designed to regulate the international
government of money in order to ensure that the community shall have the amount
it needs, are just as unnecessary and inappropriate as, say intervention to
ensure a sufficiency or corn or iron or the like. This argument dealt the
Mercantilist theory its death blow. [2]
Nevertheless statesmen are still
greatly exercised by the problem of the international distribution of money. For
hundreds of years, the Midas theory, systematized by Mercantilism, has been the
rule followed by governments in taking measures of commercial policy. In spite
of Hume, Smith, and Ricardo, it still dominates men's minds more than would be
expected. Phoenixlike, it rises again and again from its own ashes. And indeed
it would hardly be possible to overcome it with objective argument; for it
numbers its disciples among that great host of the half-educated who are proof
against any argument, however simple, if it threatens to rob them of
longcherished illusions that have become too dear to part with. It is only
regrettable that these lay opinions not only predominate in discussions of
economic policy on the part of legislators, the press—even the technical
journals—and businessmen, but still occupy much space even in scientific
literature. The blame for this must again be laid to the account of obscure
notions concerning the nature of fiduciary media and their significance as
regards the determination of prices. The reasons which, first in England and
then in all other countries, were urged in favor of the limitation of the
fiduciary note issue have never been understood by modern writers, who know them
only at secondhand or thirdhand. That they in general plead for their retention,
or only demand such modifications as leave the principle untouched, merely
expresses their reluctance to replace an institution which on the whole has
indubitably justified itself by a system whose effects they, to whom the
phenomena of the market constitute an insoluble riddle, are naturally least of
all able to foresee. When these writers seek for a motive in present-day banking
policy, they can find none but that characterized by the slogan, "Protection of
the national stock of the precious metals." We can pass the more lightly over
these views in the present place since we shall have further opportunity in part
three to discuss the true meaning of the bank laws that limit the note
issue.
Money does not flow to the place where the rate of interest is
highest; neither is it true that it is the richest nations that attract money to
themselves. The proposition is as true of money as of every other economic good,
that its distribution among individual economic agents depends on its marginal
utility. Let us first completely abstract from all geographical and political
concepts, such as country and state, and imagine a state of affairs in which
money and commodities are completely mobile within a unitary market area. Let us
further assume that all payments, other than those cancelled out by offsetting
or mutual balancing of claims, are made by transferring money, and not by the
cession of fiduciary media; that is to say, that uncovered notes and deposits
are unknown. This supposition, again, is similar to that of the "purely metallic
currency" of the English Currency School, although with the help of our precise
concept of fiduciary media we are able to avoid the obscurities and shortcomings
of their point of view. In a state of affairs corresponding to these
suppositions of ours, all economic goods, including of course money, tend to be
distributed in such a way that a position of equilibrium between individuals is
reached, when no further act of exchange that any individual could undertake
would bring him any gain, any increase of subjective value. In such a position
of equilibrium, the total stock of money, just like the total stocks of
commodities, is distributed among individuals according to the intensity with
which they are able to express their demand for it in the market. Every
displacement of the forces affecting the exchange ratio between money and other
economic goods brings about a corresponding change in this distribution, until a
new position of equilibrium is reached. This is true of individuals, but it is
also true of all the individuals in a given area taken together. For the goods
possessed and the goods demanded by a nation are only the sums of the goods
possessed and the goods demanded by all the economic agents, private as well as
public, which make up the nation, among which the state as such admittedly
occupies an important position, but a very far from dominant one.
Trade
balances are not causes but merely concomitants of move ments of money. For if
we look beneath the veil with which the forms of monetary transactions conceal
the nature of exchanges of goods, then it is clear that, even in international
trade, commodities are exchanged for commodities, through the instrumentality of
money. Just as the single individual does, so also all the individuals in an
economic community taken together, wish in the last analysis to acquire not
money, but other economic goods. If the state of the balance of payments is such
that movements of money would have to occur from one country to the other,
independently of any altered estimation of money on the part of their respective
inhabitants, then operations are induced which reestablish equilibrium. Those
persons who receive more money than they need will hasten to spend the surplus
again as soon as possible, whether they buy production goods or consumption
goods. On the other hand, those persons whose stock of money falls below the
amount they need will be obliged to increase their stock of money, either by
restricting their purchases or by disposing of commodities in their possession.
The price variations, in the markets of the countries in question, that occur
for these reasons, give rise to transactions which must always reestablish the
equilibrium of the balance of payments. A credit or debit balance of payments
that is not dependent upon an alteration in the conditions of demand for money
can only be transient. [3]
Thus international movements of money, so far as
they are not of a transient nature and consequently soon rendered ineffective by
movements in the contrary direction, are always called forth by variations in
the demand for money. Now it follows from this that a country in which fiduciary
media are not employed is never in danger of losing its stock of money to other
countries. Shortage of money and superabundance of money can no more be a
permanent experience for a nation than for an individual. Ultimately they are
spread out uniformly among all economic agents using the same economic good as
common medium of exchange, and naturally their effects on the objective exchange
value of money which bring about the adjustment between the stock of money and
the demand for it are finally uniform for all economic agents. Measures of
economic policy which aim at increasing the quantity of money circulating in a
country could be successful so far as the money circulates in other countries
also, only if they brought about a displacement in relative demands for money.
Nothing is fundamentally altered in all this by the employment of fiduciary
media. So far as there remains a demand for money in the narrower sense despite
the use of fiduciary media, it will express itself in the same way.
There
are many gaps in the Classical doctrine of international trade. It was built up
at a time when international exchange relations were largely limited to dealings
in present goods. No wonder, then, that its chief reference was to such goods or
that it left out of account the possibility of an international exchange of
services, and of present goods for future goods. It remained for a later
generation to undertake the expansion and correction here necessary, a task that
was all the easier since all that was wanted was a consistent expansion of the
same doctrine to cover these phenomena as well. The classical doctrine had
further restricted itself to that part of the problem presented by international
metallic money. The treatment with which credit money had to be content was not
satisfactory, and this shortcoming has not been entirely remedied yet. The
problem has been regarded too much from the point of view of the technique of
the monetary system and too little from that of the theory of exchange of goods.
If the latter point of view had been adopted, it would have been impossible to
avoid commencing the investigation with the proposition that the balance of
trade between two areas with different currencies must always be in equilibrium,
without the emergence of a balance needing to be corrected by the transport of
money. [4] If we take a gold-standard and a silver-standard country as an
example, then there still remains the possibility that the money of the one
country will be put to a nonmonetary use in the other. Such a possibility must
naturally be ruled out of account. The relations between two countries with fiat
money would be the best example to take; if we merely make our example more
general by supposing that metallic money may be in use, then only the monetary
use of the metallic money must be considered. It is then immediately clear that
goods and services can only be paid for with other goods and services; that in
the last analysis there can be no question of payment in
money.
[1] The theory put forward above, which
comes from Ricardo, is advocated with particular forcefulness nowadays by
Cassel, who uses the name purchasing-power parity for the static exchange
ratio. See Cassel, Money and Foreign Exchange After 1914 (London, 1922),
p. 181 f.
[2] See Senior, Three Lectures on
the Transmission of the Precious Metals from Country to Country and the
Mercantile Theory of Wealth (London, 1828), pp. 5 ff.
[3] See Ricardo, "Principles of Political
Economy and Taxation," in Works, ed. McCulloch, 2d ed. (London, 1852),
pp. 213 ff.; Hertzka, Das Wesen des Geldes (Leipzig, 1887), pp. 42 ff.;
Kinley, Money (New York, 1909), pp. 78 ff.; Wieser, "Der Geldwert und
seine Veränderungen," Schriften des Vereins für Sozialpolitik 132:
530 ff.
[4] Transitory displacements are
possible, if foreign money is acquired in the speculative anticipation of its
appreciating.
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