Mises Wire

Fail: Quantitative Methods Presume That Human Action Is Reflexive

Philosophy and MethodologyPraxeology

Blog03/21/2020

Quantitative methods can't be applied to human action, which is purposeful and not a mere reflex. For this reason, mathematical formulas can only describe events, never explain them.

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No, Technology Shocks Aren't Behind Recurring Business Cycles

Business CyclesInterventionismOther Schools of Thought

Blog03/19/2020

Finn Kydland and Edward C. Prescott (KP), the 2004 Nobel laureates in economics think that technological shocks can explain 70 percent of economic fluctuations in postwar US data. Unfortunately their quantitative methods are simplistic and ignore the real problem: central banking.

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Japanization: 30 Years of Failed Economic "Stimulus"

Labor and WagesMonetary PolicyWorld History

Real wages in Japan have been declining thanks to decades of expansionary monetary and fiscal policies. Now "Japanization" increasingly looks like a fate that awaits Europe.

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The Fed Has Sufficient Tools—to Wreck the Economy

Booms and Busts

Blog03/17/2020

These famed "tools" of the central bank are nothing but cunning and arcane techniques for conjuring additional trillions of dollars out of thin air and pumping them into the global economy.

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The Coronavirus Won't Be the Cause of the Next Bust, but It Will Make It Worse

Booms and BustsMonetary Policy

Blog03/12/2020

Although shocks can disrupt the pace of economic activity, they have nothing to do with the phenomenon of recurrent boom-bust cycles. The cycle requires something more. A central bank, for instance.

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Will More Easy Money Strengthen the Ailing Economy?

Booms and BustsMoney and Banks

Blog03/11/2020

Lower interest rates won't make an economy grow. What matters is real savings.

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Why Medicare for All Would Require Huge Tax Increases

Blog03/11/2020

Medicare for All advocates claim they are increasing access to medical services. But the plan mostly just increases demand without increasing supply. The "solution" comes later with price caps, tax hikes, and shortages. 

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Why Sweden’s Negative Interest Rate Experiment Is a Failure

Blog03/09/2020

After years of negative rates, Sweden's central bank moves toward positive rates again. But this is setting the stage for an economic bust.

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