Chapter 4—Prices and Consumption (continued)

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Chapter 4—Prices and
Consumption (continued)
5.
The Marginal Utility of Money
A. The Consumer
We have not yet explained one very important problem: the ranking of
money on the various individual value scales. We know that the ranking
of units of goods on these scales is determined by the relative ranking
of the marginal utilities of the units. In the case of barter, it was
clear that the relative rankings were the result of people’s
evaluations of the marginal importance of the direct uses of the
various goods. In the case of a monetary economy, however, the direct
use-value of the money commodity is overshadowed by its exchange-value.
In chapter 1, section 5, on the law of marginal utility, we saw that
the marginal utility of a unit of a good is determined in the following
way: (1) if the unit is in the possession of the actor, the marginal
utility of the unit is equal to the ranked value he places on the least
important end, or use, that he would have to give up
on losing the unit; or (2) if the unit is not yet in his possession,
the marginal utility of adding
the unit is equal to the value of the most important end that the unit
could serve. On this basis, a man allocates his stock of various units
of a good to his most important uses first, and his less important uses
in succession, while he gives up his least
important uses first. Now we saw in chapter 3 how every man allocates
his stock of money among the various uses. The money commodity has
numerous different uses, and the number of uses multiplies the more
highly developed and advanced the money economy, division of
labor, and the capital structure. Decisions concerning
numerous consumer goods, numerous investment projects, consumption at
present versus expected increased returns in the future, and
addition to cash balance, must all be made. We say that each
individual allocates each unit of the money commodity to its
most important use first, then to the next most important use, etc.,
thus determining the allocation of money in each possible use and line
of spending. The least important use is given up first, as with any
other commodity.
We are not interested here in exploring all aspects of the
analysis of the marginal utility of money, particularly the
cash-balance decision, which must be left for later treatment.
We are interested here in the marginal utility of money as relevant to
consumption decisions. Every man is a consumer, and therefore the
analysis applies to everyone taking part in the nexus of
monetary exchange.
Each succeeding unit that the consumer allocates among
different lines of spending, he wishes to allocate to the most
highly valued use that it can serve. His psychic revenue
is the marginal utility—the value of the most important use
that will be served. His psychic cost is the next
most important use that must be forgone—the use that must be
sacrificed in order to attain the most important end. The highest
ranked utility forgone, therefore, is
defined as the cost of any action.
The utility a person derives or expects to derive from an act of
exchange is the marginal utility of adding the good purchased, i.e.,
the most important use for the units to be acquired. The utility that
he forgoes is the highest utility that he could have derived from the
units of the good that he gives up in the exchange. When he is
a consumer purchasing a good, his marginal utility of addition is the
most highly valued use to which he could put the units of the good;
this is the psychic revenue that he expects from the exchange.
On the other hand, what he forgoes is the use of the units of money
that he “sells” or gives up. His cost,
then, is the value of the most important use to which he could have put
the money.
Every man strives in
action to achieve a psychic revenue greater than his psychic cost, and
thereby a psychic profit; this is true of the consumer’s
purchases as well. Error is revealed when his choice proves to be
mistaken, and he realizes that he would have done better to have
pursued the other, forgone course of action.
Now, as the consumer adds to his purchases of a good, the marginal
utility which the added good has for him must diminish,
in accordance with the law of marginal utility. On the other hand, as
he gives up units of a good in sale, the marginal utility that this
good has for him becomes greater, in accordance with the same law.
Eventually, he must cease purchasing the good, because the
marginal utility of the good forgone becomes greater than the marginal
utility of the good purchased. This is clearly true of direct goods,
but what of money?
It is obvious that money is not only a useful good, but one of the most
useful in a money economy. It is used as a medium in practically every
exchange. We have seen that one of a man’s most important
activities is the allocation of his money stock to various desired
uses. It is obvious, therefore, that money obeys the law of
marginal utility, just as any other commodity does. Money is
a commodity divisible into homogeneous units. Indeed, one of the
reasons the commodity is picked as money is its ready divisibility into
relatively small homogeneous units. The first unit of money will be
allocated to its most important and valued use to an individual; the
second unit will be allocated to its second most valued use, etc. Any
unit of money that must be given up will be surrendered at the
sacrifice of the least highly valued use previously being served or
which would have been served. Therefore, it is true of money, as of any
other commodity, that as its stock increases, its marginal
utility declines; and that as its stock declines, its marginal utility
to the person increases.
Its marginal utility of addition is equal to the rank of the most
highly valued end the monetary unit can attain; and its marginal
utility is equal in value to the most highly valued end that
would have to be sacrificed if the unit were surrendered.
What are the various ends that money can serve? They are: (a)
the nonmonetary uses of the money commodity (such as the use of gold
for ornament); (b) expenditure on the many different
kinds of consumers’ goods; (c) investment
in various alternative combinations of factors of production; and (d)
additions to the cash balance. Each of these broad categories of uses
encompasses a large number of types and quantities of goods, and each
particular alternative is ranked on the individual’s
value scale. It is clear what the uses of consumption goods are: they
provide immediate satisfaction for the individual’s
desires and are thus immediately ranked on his value scale. It
is also clear that when money is used for nonmonetary purposes, it
becomes a direct consumers’ good itself instead of a medium
of exchange. Investment, which will be further discussed
below, aims at a greater level of future consumption through investing
in capital goods at present.
What
is the usefulness of keeping or adding to a cash balance? This question
will be explored in later chapters, but here we may state that the
desire to keep a cash balance stems from fundamental uncertainty
as to the right time for making purchases, whether of capital
or of consumers’ goods. Also important are a basic uncertainty
about the individual’s own future value scale and the desire
to keep cash on hand to satisfy any changes that might occur.
Uncertainty, indeed, is a fundamental feature of all human action, and
uncertainty about changing prices and changing value scales are aspects
of this basic uncertainty. If an individual, for example, anticipates a
rise in the purchasing power of the monetary unit in the near future,
he will tend to postpone his purchases toward that day and add now to
his cash balance. On the other hand, if he anticipates a fall in
purchasing power, he will tend to buy more at present and draw down his
cash balance. An example of general uncertainty is an
individual’s typical desire to keep a certain amount of cash
on hand “in case of a rainy day” or an emergency
that will require an unanticipated expenditure of funds in some
direction. His “feeling safer” in such a case
demonstrates that money’s only value is not simply when it
makes exchanges; because of its very marketability, its mere possession
in the hands of an individual performs a service for that person.
That money in one’s cash balance is performing a service
demonstrates the fallacy in the distinction that some writers
make between “circulating” money and money in
“idle hoards.” In the first place, all money is always
in someone’s cash balance. It is never
“moving” in some mysterious
“circulation.” It is in A’s cash balance,
and then when A buys eggs from B, it is shifted to
B’s cash balance. Secondly, regardless of the length of time
any given unit of money is in one person’s cash balance, it
is performing a service to him, and is therefore never in an
“idle hoard.”
What is the marginal utility and the cost involved in any act of
consumption exchange? When a consumer spends five grains of gold on a
dozen eggs, this means that he anticipates that the most valuable use
for the five grains of gold is to acquire the dozen eggs. This is his
marginal utility of addition of the five grains. This utility is his
anticipated psychic revenue from the exchange. What, then, is the
“opportunity cost” or, simply, the
“cost,” of the exchange, i.e., the next best
alternative forgone? This is the most valuable use that he could have
made with the five grains of gold. This could be any one of the
following alternatives, whichever is the highest on his value
scale: (a) expenditure on some other
consumers’ good; (b) use of the money
commodity for purposes of direct consumption; (c)
expenditure on some line of investment in factors of production to
increase future monetary income and consumption; (d)
addition to his cash balance. It should be noted that since
this cost refers to a decision on a marginal unit, of whatever size,
this is also the “marginal cost” of the decision.
This cost is subjective and is ranked on the individual’s
value scale.
The nature of the cost, or utility forgone, of a decision to spend
money on a particular consumers’ good, is clear in the case
where the cost is the value that could have been derived from another
act of consumption. When the cost is forgone investment, then what is
forgone is expected future increases in consumption, expressed in terms
of the individual’s rate of time preference, which will be
further explored below. At any rate, when an individual buys a
particular good, such as eggs, the more he continues to buy,
the lower will be the marginal utility of addition that each successive
unit has for him. This, of course, is in accordance with the
law of marginal utility. On the other hand, the more money he spends on
eggs, the greater will be the marginal utility forgone in whatever is
the next best good—e.g., butter. Thus, the more he spends on
eggs, the less will be his marginal utility derived from eggs, and the
greater will be his marginal cost of buying eggs, i.e., the value that
he must forgo. Eventually, the latter becomes greater than the former.
When this happens and the marginal cost of purchasing eggs becomes
greater than the marginal utility of addition of the commodity, he
switches his purchases to butter, and the same process continues. With
any stock of money, a man’s consumption expenditures come
first, and expenditures on each good follow the same law. In some
cases, the marginal cost of consumption on a consumers’ good
becomes investment in some line, and the man may invest some
money in factors of production. This investment continues until the
marginal cost of such investment, in terms of forgone
consumption or cash balance, is greater than the present value
of the expected return. Sometimes, the most highly valued use is an
addition to one’s cash balance, and this continues until the
marginal utility derived from this use is less than the
marginal cost in some other line. In this way, a man’s
monetary stock is allocated among all the most highly valued
uses.
And in this way, individual demand schedules are constructed for every
consumers’ good, and market-demand schedules are determined
as the summation of the individual demand schedules on the
market. Given the stocks of all the consumers’ goods (this given
will be analyzed in succeeding chapters), their market prices are
thereby determined.
It might be thought, and many writers have assumed, that money has here
performed the function of measuring and rendering comparable
the utilities of the different individuals. It has, however, done
nothing of the sort. The marginal utility of money differs from person
to person, just as does the marginal utility of any other good. The
fact that an ounce of money can buy various goods on the market and
that such opportunities may be open to all does not give us any
information about the ways in which various people will rank these
different combinations of goods. There is no measuring or
comparability in the field of values or ranks. Money permits
only prices to be comparable, by
establishing money prices for every good.
It might seem that the process of ranking and comparing on value scales
by each individual has established and determined the prices of
consumers’ goods without any need for further analysis. The
problem, however, is not nearly so simple. Neglect or evasion of the
difficulties involved has plagued economics for many years. Under a
system of barter, there would be no analytic difficulty. All the
possible consumers’ goods would be ranked and compared by
each individual, the demand schedules of each in terms of the other
would be established, etc. Relative utilities would establish
individual demand schedules, and these would be summed up to yield
market-demand schedules. But, in the monetary economy, a grave analytic
difficulty arises.
To determine the price of a good, we analyze the marketdemand
schedule for the good; this in turn depends on the individual
demand schedules; these in their turn are determined by the
individuals’ value rankings of units of the good and units of
money as given by the various alternative uses of money; yet
the latter alternatives depend in turn on given prices of the other
goods. A hypothetical demand for eggs must assume as given
some money price for butter, clothes, etc. But how, then, can
value scales and utilities be used to explain the formation of money
prices, when these value scales and utilities themselves depend upon
the existence of money prices?
B.
The Money Regression
It is obvious that this vitally important problem of circularity
(X depends on Y, while Y
depends on X) exists not only in regard to
decisions by consumers but also in regard to any exchange decision in
the money economy. Thus, let us consider the seller
of the stock of a consumers’ good. At a given offered money
price, he must decide whether to sell the units of his stock or whether
to hold on to them. His eagerness to sell in exchange for
acquiring money is due to the use that the money would have for him.
The money would be employed in its most important uses for him, and
this will determine his evaluation of the money—or its
marginal utility of addition. But the marginal
utility of addition of money to the seller of the stock is
based on its already being money and its ready
command of other goods that the seller will
buy—consumers’ goods and factors of
production alike. The seller’s marginal utility therefore
also depends on the previous existence of money prices for the various
goods in the economy.
Similarly, for the laborer, landowner, investor, or owner of a capital
good: in selling his services or goods, money has a marginal
utility of addition, which is a necessary prior condition to his
decision to sell the goods and therefore a determinant in his supply
curve of the good for money. And yet this marginal utility always
depends on there being a previous array of money prices in existence.
The seller of any good or service for money, therefore, ranks the
marginal utility of the money that he will obtain against the marginal
utility of holding on to the good or service. Whoever spends money to
buy any good or service ranks the marginal utility which keeping the
money has for him against the marginal utility of acquiring the good.
These value scales of the various buyers and sellers determine the
individual supply-demand schedules and hence all money prices;
yet, in order to rank money and goods on his value scale, money must already
have a marginal utility for each person, and this marginal utility must
be based on the fact of pre-existing money prices of the various goods.
The solution of this crucial problem of circularity has been provided
by Professor Ludwig von Mises, in his notable theory of the money
regression.
The theory of money
regression may be explained by examining the period of time that is
being considered in each part of our analysis. Let us define a
“day” as the period of time just sufficient to
determine the market prices of every good in the society. On day X,
then, the money price of each good is determined by the interactions of
the supply and demand schedules of money and the good by the buyers and
sellers on that day. Each buyer and seller ranks money and the given
good in accordance with the relative marginal utility of the two to
him. Therefore, a money price at the end of
day X is determined by the marginal utilities of
money and the good as they existed at the beginning
of day X. But the marginal utility of money is
based, as we have seen above, on a previously
existing array of money prices. Money is demanded and
considered useful because of its already existing
money prices. Therefore, the price of a good on day X
is determined by the marginal utility of the good on day X
and the marginal utility of money on day X, which
last in turn depends on the prices of goods on day X
– 1.
The economic analysis of money prices is therefore not
circular. If prices today depend on the marginal utility of
money today, the latter is dependent on money prices yesterday.
Thus, in every money price in any day, there is contained a time
component, so that this price is partially
determined by the money prices of yesterday. This does not
mean specifically that the price of eggs today is partially determined
by the price of eggs yesterday, the price of butter today by
that of yesterday, etc. On the contrary, the time component essential
to each specific price today is the general array
of yesterday’s money prices for all goods, and, of course,
the subsequent evaluation of the monetary unit by the individuals in
the society. If we consider the general array of
today’s prices, however, an essential time component in their
determination is the general array of yesterday’s prices.
This time component is purely on the money side of the
determining factors. In a society of barter, there
is no time component in the prices of any given day. When
horses are being exchanged against fish, the individuals in the market
decide on the relative marginal utilities solely on the basis of the
direct uses of the commodities. These direct uses are immediate and do
not require any previously existing prices on the market. Therefore,
the marginal utilities of direct goods, such as horses and fish, have
no previous time components. And, therefore, there is no
problem of circularity in a system of barter. In such a
society, if all previous markets and knowledge of previous prices were
somehow wiped out, there would, of course, be an initial
period of confusion while each individual consulted his value scales
and tried to estimate those of others, but there would be no great
difficulty in speedily re-establishing the exchange markets. The case
is different in a monetary economy. Since the marginal utility
of the money commodity depends on previously existing money prices, a
wiping out of existing markets and knowledge of money prices would
render impossible the direct re-establishment of a money
economy. The economy would be wrecked and thrown back into a highly
primitive state of barter, after which a money economy could only
slowly be re-established as it had been before.
Now the question may be raised: Granted that there is no circularity in
the determination of money prices, does not the fact that the causes
partially regress backward in time simply push the
unexplained components back further without end? If today’s
prices are partly determined by yesterday’s prices, and
yesterday’s by those of the day before yesterday, etc., is
not the regression simply pushed back infinitely, and part of the
determination of prices thus left unexplained?
The answer is that the regression is not infinite, and the clue to its
stopping point is the distinction just made between conditions
in a money economy and conditions in a state of barter. We remember
that the utility of money consists of two major
elements: the utility of the money as a medium of exchange, and the
utility of the money commodity in its direct, commodity use (such as
the use of gold for ornaments). In the modern economy, after the money
commodity has fully developed as a medium of exchange, its use as a
medium tends greatly to overshadow its direct use in consumption. The
demand for gold as money far exceeds its demand as jewelry. However,
the latter use and demand continue to exist and to exert some
influence on the total demand for the money commodity.
In any day in the money economy, the marginal utility of gold and
therefore the demand for it enter into the determination of every money
price. The marginal utility of gold and the demand for it today depend
on the array of money prices existing yesterday, which in turn
depended on the marginal utility of gold and the demand for it
yesterday, etc. Now, as we regress backwards in time, we must
eventually arrive at the original point when people first began to use
gold as a medium of exchange. Let us consider the first
day on which people passed from the system of pure barter and began to
use gold as a medium of exchange. On that day, the money price, or
rather, the gold price, of every other good depended partially on the
marginal utility of gold. This marginal utility had a time
component, namely, the previous array of gold
prices, which had been determined in barter. In other words, when gold
first began to be used as a medium of exchange, its marginal utility
for use in that capacity depended on the existing previous array of
gold prices established through barter. But if we
regress one day further to the last day of barter,
the gold prices of various goods on that day, like all other prices,
had no time components. They were determined, as
were all other barter prices, solely by the marginal utility of gold
and of the other goods on that day, and the marginal utility of gold,
since it was used only for direct consumption, had no
temporal component.
The determination of money prices (gold prices) is therefore completely
explained, with no circularity and no infinite regression. The
demand for gold enters into every gold price, and today’s
demand for gold, in so far as it is for use as a medium of
exchange, has a time component, being based on
yesterday’s array of gold prices. This time component
regresses until the last day of barter, the day before gold began to be
used as a medium of exchange. On that day, gold had no utility in that
use; the demand for gold was solely for direct use, and
consequently, the determination of the gold prices, for that
day and for all previous days, had no temporal component whatever.
The causal-temporal pattern of the regression may be portrayed as in
the diagram in Figure 38. Consecutive days are numbered 1, 2, 3, etc.,
and, for each period, arrows depict the underlying causal factors
determining the gold prices of goods on the market. For each period of
time, the gold prices of goods are fundamentally determined by the
relative marginal utilities of gold and other goods on individual value
scales, and the marginal utilities of gold are based on the gold prices
during the preceding period. This temporal component, depicted by an
arrow, continues backward until the period of barter, when
gold is used only for direct consumption or production purposes and not
as a medium of exchange. At that point there is no temporal dependence
on preceding gold prices, and the temporal arrow disappears.
In this diagram, a system of barter prevails on days 1, 2, and 3, and
gold is used as a medium of exchange on day 4 and thereafter.

One of the important achievements of the regression theory is its
establishment of the fact that money must arise in
the manner described in chapter 3, i.e., it must develop out of a
commodity already in demand for direct use, the commodity then being
used as a more and more general medium of exchange. Demand for
a good as a medium of exchange must be predicated
on a previously existing array of prices in terms of other goods. A
medium of exchange can therefore originate only
according to our previous description and the foregoing diagram; it can
arise only out of a commodity previously used directly in a
barter situation, and therefore having had an array of prices
in terms of other goods. Money must develop out of a
commodity with a previously existing purchasing power, such as
gold and silver had. It cannot be created out of thin air by
any sudden “social compact” or edict of government.
On the other hand, it does not follow from this
analysis that if an extant money were to lose its direct uses, it could
no longer be used as money. Thus, if gold, after being established as
money, were suddenly to lose its value in ornaments or industrial uses,
it would not necessarily lose its character as a money. Once a medium
of exchange has been established as a money, money prices continue to
be set. If on day X gold loses its direct uses,
there will still be previously existing money prices that had been
established on day X – 1, and these
prices form the basis for the marginal utility of gold on day X.
Similarly, the money prices thereby determined on day X
form the basis for the marginal utility of money on day X
+ 1. From X on, gold could be demanded for
its exchange value alone, and not at all for its direct use. Therefore,
while it is absolutely necessary that a money originate
as a commodity with direct uses, it is not absolutely necessary that
the direct uses continue after the money has been established.
The money prices of consumers’ goods have now been
completely explained in terms of individual value scales, and
these value scales have been explained up to the point of the content
of the subjective use-valuations of each good. Economics is not
concerned with the specific content of these ends, but with the
explanation of various phenomena of action based on any
given ends, and therefore its task in this sphere is fully accomplished
by tracing these phenomena back to subjective valuations of useful
goods.
C.
Utility and Costs
We may sum up the utility and cost considerations in decisions
of buyers and sellers of consumers’ goods—or,
rather, of potential buyers and sellers (cf. chapter 2, pp.
190f.)—as follows:

In
cases where neither cost item is present, the sale is costless.
The
aim of the actor is always to achieve a psychic profit from an action
by having his marginal revenue exceed his marginal cost. Only after the
decision has been made, the action taken, and the consequences
assessed, can the actor know if his decision was correct, i.e., if his
psychic revenue really did exceed his cost. It is possible that his
cost may prove to have been greater than his revenue and that therefore
he lost on the exchange.
It is convenient to distinguish the two vantage points by which an
actor judges his action as ex ante and ex
post. Ex ante is his position when he
must decide on a course of action; it is the relevant and
dominant consideration for human action. It is the actor considering
his alternative courses and the consequences of each. Ex post
is his recorded observation of the results of his past action. It is
the judging of his past actions and their results. Ex ante,
then, he will always take the most advantageous course of action, and
will always have a psychic profit, with revenue exceeding cost. Ex
post, he may have profited or lost from a course of action.
Revenue may or may not have exceeded cost, depending on how good an
entrepreneur he has been in making his original action. It is clear
that his ex post judgments are mainly useful to him
in the weighing of his ex ante considerations for
future action.
Suppose that an ultimate consumer buys a product and then finds he was
mistaken in this purchase and the good has little or no value to him.
Thus, a man might buy a cake and find that he does not like it at all. Ex
ante the (expected) utility of the cake was greater
than the marginal utility of the money forgone in purchasing it; ex
post he finds that he was in error and that if he had it to
do over again, he would not have bought the cake. The purchase was the
consumer’s responsibility, and he must bear the loss as well
as the gain from his voluntary transaction. Of course, no one
can relive the past, but he can use this knowledge, for example, to
avoid purchasing such a cake again. It should be obvious that the cake,
once purchased, may have little or no value even though the man
originally paid several grains of gold for it. The cost
of the cake was the forgone marginal utility of the three
grains of gold paid for it. But this cost incurred in the past
cannot confer any value on the cake now. This would
seem obvious, and yet economics has always suffered from neglect of
this truth, particularly during the nineteenth century, in the
form of various “cost” theories of value. These
cost theories asserted that the value of goods is conferred by the
costs or sacrifices incurred in their acquisition in the past. On the
contrary, it is clear that value can be conferred on a good only by
individuals’ desires to use it directly in the present
or in the present expectation of selling to such individuals in the future.
We may modify the buyer summary above by considering the case in which
the buyer is not an ultimate consumer, but rather a speculative buyer
anticipating a future price rise. In that case, a higher revenue for
him will be the marginal utility of holding for anticipated future sale
at a higher price, which he considers net of the cost of storage.
D.
Planning and the Range of Choice
It should be evident that the establishment of money tremendously
broadens the range of choice open to everybody. The range of
alternative uses that can be satisfied by units of money is far wider
than the number of uses to which individual goods can be put. Horses or
houses can be allocated to several uses, raw materials to many areas of
production, but money can be allocated in expenditure on every
single type of exchangeable good in the society, whether a tangible
commodity or an intangible service, a consumers’ or
a capital or a natural good, or claims to these goods. Money serves
greatly to expand the range of choice; and it itself becomes a key means
to be allocated to the most highly valued of alternative ends.
It might be worthwhile to consider at this point what each person does
in action. He is always engaged in allocating means to the most highly
valued of his alternative ends, as ranked on his value scale. His
actions in general, and his actions in exchange in
particular, are always the result of certain expectations on his part,
expectations of the most satisfactory course that he could follow. He
always follows the route that he expects will yield
him the most highly ranked available end at a certain future time
(which might in some cases be so near as to be almost
immediate) and therefore a psychic profit from the action. If
he proves to have acted erroneously, so that another course of action
would have yielded him a greater psychic revenue, then he has incurred
a loss. Ex ante he appraises his situation, present
and prospective future, chooses among his valuations, tries to achieve
the highest ones according to his “know-how,” and
then chooses courses of action on the basis of these plans.
Plans are his decisions concerning future action, based on his
ranking of ends and on his assumed knowledge of how to attain the ends.
Every individual, therefore, is constantly engaged in planning.
This planning may range from an impressive investment in a new steel
plant to a small boy’s decision to spend two cents on candy,
but it is planning nevertheless.
It is erroneous,
therefore, to assert that a free market society is
“unplanned”; on the contrary, each individual plans
for himself.
But does not “chaos” result from the fact that
individual plans do not seem to be co-ordinated? On the contrary, the
exchange system, in the first place, co-ordinates individual plans by
benefiting both parties to every exchange.
In the second place, the bulk of the present volume is devoted to an
explanation and analysis of the principles and order that determine the
various exchange phenomena in a monetary economy: prices, output,
expenditures, etc. Far from being chaotic, the structure of the
monetary economy presents an intricate, systematic picture and is
deducible from the basic existence of human action and indirect
exchange.
See chapter 2 above, p. 161.
For a further discussion of this
point, see Appendix A below, on “The Diminishing Marginal
Utility of Money.”
It is true that
he
who considers acquiring or giving away money is, of course, first of
all interested in its future purchasing power and the future structure
of prices. But he cannot form a judgment about the future purchasing
power of money otherwise than by looking at its configuration
in the immediate past. (Mises, Human Action, p. 407)
See Mises,
Theory of Money and Credit, pp. 97–123,
and Human Action, pp. 405–08. Also
see Schumpeter, History of Economic Analysis,
p. 1090. This problem obstructed the development of economic
science until Mises provided the solution. Failure to solve it led many
economists to despair of ever constructing a satisfactory
economic analysis of money prices. They were led to abandon fundamental
analysis of money prices and to separate completely the prices
of goods from their money components. In this fallacious course, they
assumed that individual prices are determined wholly as in barter,
without money components, while the supply of and the demand for money
determined an imaginary figment called the “general price
level.” Economists began to specialize separately in the
“theory of price,” which completely abstracted from
money in its real functions, and a “theory of
money,” which abstracted from individual prices and dealt
solely with a mythical “price level.” The former
were solely preoccupied with a particular price and its
determinants; the latter solely with the “economy as a
whole” without relation to the individual
components—called
“microeconomics” and
“macroeconomics” respectively. Actually, such
fallacious premises led inevitably to erroneous conclusions. It is
certainly legitimate and necessary for economics, in working out an
analysis of reality, to isolate different segments for concentration as
the analysis proceeds; but it is not legitimate to falsify reality in
this separation, so that the final analysis does not present a
correct picture of the individual parts and their interrelations.
As we regress in time and approach
the original days of barter, the exchange use in the demand
for gold becomes relatively weaker as compared to the direct
use of gold, until finally, on the last day of barter, it dies out
altogether, the time component dying out with it.
It should be noted that the
crucial stopping point of the regression is not the
cessation of the use of gold as “money,” but the
cessation of its use as a medium of exchange. It is
clear that the concept of a “general” medium of
exchange (money) is not important here. As long as gold is used as a
medium of exchange, gold prices will continue to have temporal
components. It is true, of course, that for a commodity used as a limited
medium of exchange only a limited array of prices has to be taken into
account in considering its utility.
Professor Patinkin criticizes
Mises for allegedly basing the regression theorem on the view that the
marginal utility of money refers to the marginal utility of the goods
for which money is exchanged rather than the marginal utility of
holding money, and charges Mises with inconsistently holding
the latter view in part of his Theory of Money and Credit.
In fact, Mises’ concept of the marginal utility of money does
refer to the utility of holding money, and
Mises’ point about the regression theorem is a different one,
namely, that the marginal utility-to-hold is in itself based on the
prior fact that money can exchange for goods, i.e., on the prior money
prices of goods. Hence, it becomes necessary to break out of this
circularity—by means of the regression theorem. In
short, the prices of goods have to exist in order
to have a marginal utility of money to hold.
In his own theory, Patinkin very feebly tries to justify circularity,
by saying that in analyzing the market (market
“experiment”) he begins with utility, and in
analyzing utility he begins with prices (individual
“experiment”), but the fact remains that
he is caught inextricably in a circular trap, which a methodology of
cause-and-effect (in contrast to a mathematical type of mutual
determination) would quickly reveal. Don Patinkin, Money,
Interest, and Prices (Evanston, Ill.: Row, Peterson &
Co., 1956), pp. 71–72, 414.
As Wicksteed states:
“Efforts are regulated by anticipated values, but values are
not controlled by antecedent efforts,” and
The
value of what you have got is not affected by the value of what you
have relinquished or forgone in order to get it. But the measure of the
advantages you are willing to forgo in order to get a thing is
determined by the value that you expect it to have when you have got
it. (Wicksteed, Common Sense of
Political Economy, I, 93 and 89)
We shall see below, in
chapter 11, that money is unique in not conferring any general
benefit through an increase in the supply once money has been
established on the market.
“Planning”
does not necessarily mean that the man has pondered long and hard over
a decision and subsequent action. He might have made his decision
almost instantaneously. Yet this is still planned action. Since all
action is purposive rather than reflexive, there must always, before an
action, have been a decision to act as well as valuations. Therefore,
there is always planning.
Economics “must at any
rate include and imply a study of the way in which members of . . .
society will spontaneously administer their own resources and the
relations into which they will spontaneously enter with each
other.” Wicksteed, Common Sense of Political Economy,
I, 15–16.