Man, Economy, and State with Power and Market by Murray
N. Rothbard

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Table of Contents
Chapter 1—Fundamentals of Human Action
(continued)
Analytically, there is little difference between working on
consumers’ goods, accumulating a stock of them, and then
working full time on the capital good, and working on the capital good
and consumer goods simultaneously. Other things being equal, however,
it is possible that one of the methods will prove more productive;
thus, it may be that the actor can complete the task in less time if he
works on it continuously. In that case, he will tend to choose the
former method. On the other hand, the berries might tend to
spoil
if accumulated, and this would lead him to choose the latter route. A
balance of the various factors on his value scale will result in his
decision.
Let us assume that Robinson has made his decision, and, after five
days, begins to use the stick. On the sixth day and
thereafter,
then, 500 berries a day will begin to pour forth, and he will harvest
the fruits of his investment in capital goods.
Crusoe can use his increased productivity to increase his
hours of leisure
as well as to increase his output of berries. Thus, he might decide to
cut his daily labor from 10 hours to eight. His output of berries will
then be increased, because of the stick, from 200 to 400 berries per
day, while Crusoe is able to increase his hours of leisure from 14 to
16 per day. Obviously, Crusoe can choose to take his increased
productivity in various combinations of increased output of
the
good itself and of increased leisure.
Even more important than its use in increasing output per unit of time
is the function of capital in enabling man to acquire goods
which
he could not at all obtain otherwise. A very short
period of
production enables Crusoe to produce leisure and at least some berries,
but without the aid of capital he cannot attain any
of his
other wants at all. To acquire meat he must have a bow and arrows, to
acquire fish he must have a pole or net, to acquire shelter he must
have logs of wood, or canvas, and an axe to cut the wood. To satisfy
any such wants, he must restrict his consumption and invest
his
labor in the production of capital goods. In other words, he must
embark on lengthier processes of production than had been
involved
in culling berries; he must take time out to produce the capital goods
themselves before he can use them to enjoy consumers’ goods.
In
each case, the decisions that he makes in embarking on capital
formation will be a result of weighing on his value scale the utility
of the expected increased productivity as against the disutility of his
time preference for present as compared to future satisfactions.
It is obvious that the factor which holds every man back from investing
more and more of his land and labor in capital goods is his time
preference for present goods. If man, other things being equal, did not
prefer satisfaction in the present to satisfaction in the
future,
he would never consume; he would invest all his time and labor in
increasing the production of future goods. But “never
consuming” is an absurdity, since consuming is the end of all
production. Therefore, at any given point in time, all men will have
invested in all the shorter periods of
production to satisfy the most urgently felt wants that their
knowledge of recipes allows; any further formation of capital
will go into longer processes of production.
Other things being equal (i.e., the relative urgency of wants to be
satisfied, and the actor’s knowledge of recipes),
any
further investment will be in a longer process of production than is
now under way.
Here it is important to realize that “a period of
production” does not involve only the amount of time spent on
making the actual capital good, but refers to the amount of
waiting-time from the start of producing the capital good until the consumers’
good
is produced. In the case of the stick and the berries, the two times
are identical, but this was so only because the stick was a first-order
capital good, i.e., it was but one stage removed from the output of
consumers’ goods. Let us take, for example, a more complex
case—the building by Crusoe of an axe in order to chop wood
to
produce a house for himself. Crusoe must decide whether or not
the
house he will gain will be worth the consumers’ goods forgone
in
the meantime. Let us say it will take Crusoe 50 hours to produce the
axe, and then a further 200 hours, with the help of the axe, to chop
and transport wood in order to build a house. The longer process of
production which Crusoe must decide upon is now a three-stage
one,
totaling 250 hours. First, labor and nature produce the axe, a
second-order capital good; second, labor, plus the axe, plus
nature-given elements, produces logs-of-wood, a first-order capital
good; finally, labor and the logs of wood combine to yield the desired
consumers’ good—a house. The length of the process
of
production is the entire length of time from the point at which an
actor must begin his labor to the point at which the
consumers’
good is yielded.
Again, it must be observed that, in considering the length of a process
of production, the actor is not interested in past history as
such. The length of a process of production for an actor is the waiting-time
from the point at which his action begins.
Thus, if Crusoe were lucky enough to find an axe in good
condition
left by some previous inhabitant, he would reckon his period
of
production at 200 hours instead of 250. The axe would be given to him
by his environment.
This example illustrates a fundamental truth about capital goods:
Capital is a way station along the road to the enjoyment of
consumers’ goods. He who possesses capital is that much further
advanced in time
on the road to the desired consumers’ good. Crusoe without
the
axe is 250 hours away from his desired house; Crusoe with the axe is
only 200 hours away. If the logs of wood had been piled up ready-made
on his arrival, he would be that much closer to his objective; and if
the house were there to begin with, he would achieve his desire
immediately. He would be further advanced toward his goal
without
the necessity of further restriction of consumption. Thus, the role of
capital is to advance men in time toward their objective in producing
consumers’ goods. This is true for both the case where new
consumers’ goods are being produced and the case where more
old goods
are being produced. Thus, in the previous case, without the stick,
Crusoe was 25 hours away from an output of 500 berries; with the stick,
he is only 10 hours away. In those cases where capital enables the
acquisition of new goods—of goods which could not be obtained
otherwise—it is an absolutely indispensable,
as well as convenient, way station toward the desired
consumers’ good.
It is evident that, for any formation of capital, there must be saving—a
restriction of the enjoyment of consumers’ goods in the
present—and the investment of the equivalent resources in the
production of capital goods. This enjoyment of consumers’
goods—the satisfaction of wants—is called consumption.
The saving might come about as a result of an increase in the available
supply of consumers’ goods, which the actor decides
to save
in part rather than consume fully. At any rate, consumption must
always be less than the amount that could be secured. Thus, if
the
harvest on the desert island improves, and Crusoe finds that he can
pick 240 berries in 10 hours without the aid of a stick, he may now
save 40 berries a day for five days, enabling him to invest
his
labor in a stick, without cutting back his berry consumption from the
original 200 berries. Saving involves the restriction of consumption
compared to the amount that could be consumed; it
does not always involve an actual reduction in the amount consumed over
the previous level of consumption.
All capital goods are perishable. Those few products
that are not perishable but permanent become, to all intents and
purposes, part of the land.
Otherwise, all capital goods are perishable, used up during
the
processes of production. We can therefore say that capital
goods,
during production, are transformed into their
products. With
some capital goods, this is physically quite evident. Thus, it is
obvious, for example, that when 100 pounds of bread-at-wholesale are
combined with other factors to produce 100 pounds of bread at
retail, the former factor is immediately and completely transformed
into the latter factor. The using up of capital goods is dramatically
clear. The whole of the capital good is used up in each
production-event. The other capital goods, however, are also used up,
but not as suddenly. A truck transporting bread may have a life of 15
years, amounting to, say, 3,000 of such conversions of bread
from
the wholesale to the retail stage. In this case, we may say that 1/3,000
of the truck is used up each time the production process occurs.
Similarly, a mill converting wheat into flour may have a useful life of
20 years, in which case we could say that l/20
of the mill
was used up in each year’s production of flour. Each
particular capital good has a different useful life and therefore a
different rate of being used up, or, as it is called, of depreciation.
Capital goods vary in the duration of their serviceableness.
Let us now return to Crusoe and the stick. Let us assume that the stick
will have a useful life of 10 days, and is so estimated by Crusoe,
after which it wears out, and Crusoe’s output reverts to its
previous level of 20 berries per hour. He is back where he started.
Crusoe is therefore faced with a choice, after his stick comes into
use. His “standard of living” (now, say, at 500
berries a
day plus 14 hours of leisure) has improved, and he will not like the
prospect of a reduction to 200 when the stick gives out. If he wishes
to maintain his standard of living intact, therefore, he must,
during the 10 days, work on building another stick, which can
be
used to replace the old one when it wears out. This act of building
another stick involves a further act of saving. In
order to
invest in a replacement for the stick, he must again
save—restrict his consumption as compared to the production
that
might be available. Thus, he will again have to save 10
hours’
worth of labor in berries (or leisure) and devote them to
investing in a good that is only indirectly serviceable for
future
production. Suppose that he does this by shifting one hour a
day
from his berry production to the labor of producing another stick. By
doing so, he restricts his berry consumption, for 10 days, to
450
a day. He has restricted consumption from his maximum,
although he
is still much better off than in his original, unaided state.
Thus, the capital structure is renewed at the end
of the 10 days, by saving and investing in a replacement. After that,
Crusoe is again
faced with the choice of taking his maximum production of 500
berries per day and finding himself back to a 200-per-day level at the
end of 10 more days, or of making a third act of
saving in order to provide for replacement of the second stick
when it wears out.
If Crusoe decides not to replace the first or the
second stick, and accepts a later drop in output to avoid undergoing
present saving, he is consuming capital.
In other words, he is electing to consume instead of to save and
maintain his capital structure and future rate of output. Consuming his
capital enables Crusoe to increase his consumption now
from 450
to 500 berries per day, but at some point in the future (here in 10
days), he will be forced to cut his consumption back to 200 berries. It
is clear that what has led Crusoe to consume capital is his time
preference, which in this case has led him to prefer more
present consumption to greater losses in future consumption.
Thus, any actor, at any point in time, has the choice of: (a)
adding to his capital structure, (b) maintaining his
capital intact, or (c) consuming his
capital. Choices (a) and (b)
involve acts of saving. The course adopted will depend on the
actor’s weighing his disutility of waiting, as determined by
his
time preference, against the utility to be provided in the future by
the increase in his intake of consumers’ goods.
At this point in the discussion of the wearing out and
replacement
of capital goods we may observe that a capital good rarely retains its
full “powers” to aid in production and then
suddenly lose
all its serviceability. In the words of Professor Benham,
“capital goods do not usually remain in perfect technical
condition and then suddenly collapse, like the wonderful
‘one-hoss shay.’”
Crusoe’s
berry output, instead of remaining 500 for 10 days and then falling
back to 200 on the 11th day, is likely to decline at some rate before
the stick becomes completely useless.
Another method of maintaining capital may now prove available.
Thus, Crusoe may find that, by spending a little time
repairing
the stick, breaking off weaker parts, etc., he may be able to prolong
its life and maintain his output of berries longer. In short, he may be
able to add to his capital structure via repairs.
Here again he will balance the added increase in future output
of
consumers’ goods against the present loss
in
consumers’ goods which he must endure by expending his labor
on
repairs. Making repairs therefore requires an independent act of saving
and a choice to save. It is entirely possible, for example, that Crusoe
will decide to replace the stick, and spend his labor on that purpose,
but will not consider it worthwhile to repair it. Which course he
decides to take depends on his valuation of the various alternative
outputs and his rate of time preference.
An actor’s decision on what objects to invest in will depend
on
the expected utility of the forthcoming consumers’ good, its
durability, and the length of his waiting-time. Thus, he may first
invest in a stick and then decide it would not be worthwhile to invest
in a second stick; instead, it would be better to begin building the
axe in order to obtain a house. Or he may first make a bow and arrows
with which to hunt game, and after that begin working on a
house.
Since the marginal utility of the stock of a good declines as the stock
increases, the more he has of the stock of one
consumers’
good, the more likely he will be to expend his new savings on
a
different consumers’ good, since the second good will now
have a
higher marginal utility of product to his invested labor and waiting,
and the marginal utility of the first will be lower.
If two consumers’ goods have the same expected marginal
utility in daily serviceability and have the same period of
waiting time, but one is more durable than the other, then the actor
will choose to invest in production of the former. On the other hand,
if the total serviceableness of two expected consumers’ goods
is
the same, and their length of period of production is the same, the less
durable good will be invested in, since its total
satisfactions
arrive earlier than the other. Also, in choosing between
investing
in one or the other of two consumers’ goods, the actor will,
other things being equal, choose that good with the shorter period of
production, as has been discussed above.
Any actor will continue to save and invest his resources in various
expected future consumers’ goods as long as the utility,
considered in the present, of the marginal product of each unit saved
and invested is greater than the utility of present
consumers’ goods which he could obtain by not
performing
that saving. The latter utility—of present
consumers’ goods
forgone—is the “disutility of waiting.”
Once the
latter becomes greater than the utility of obtaining more goods in the
future through saving, the actor will cease to save.
Allowing for the relative urgency of wants, man, as has been
demonstrated above, tends to invest first in those consumers’
goods with the shortest processes of production. Therefore, any given
saving will be invested either in maintaining the present capital
structure or in adding to it capital in more and more remote
stages of production, i.e., in longer processes of production. Thus,
any new saving (beyond maintaining the structure) will tend to lengthen
production processes and invest in higher and higher orders
of capital goods.
In a modern economy, the capital structure contains goods of almost
infinite remoteness from the eventual consumers’ goods. We
saw
above some of the stages involved in the production of a comparatively
very simple good like a ham sandwich. The laborer in an iron
mine
is far removed indeed from the ham sandwich in
Jones’
armchair.
It is evident that the problems of measurement that arose in previous
sections would be likely to pose a grave difficulty in saving and
investing. How do actors know when their capital structure is being
added to or consumed, when the types of capital goods and
consumers’ goods are numerous? Obviously, Crusoe knows when
he
has more or fewer berries, but how can a modern complex economy, with
innumerable capital goods and consumers’ goods, make such
decisions? The answer to this problem, which also rests on the
commensurability of different goods, will be discussed in later
chapters.
In observing the increased output made possible by the use of capital
goods, one may very easily come to attribute some sort of independent
productive power to capital and to say that three types of productive
forces enter into the production of consumers’ goods: labor,
nature, and capital. It would be easy to draw this conclusion, but
completely fallacious. Capital goods have no independent productive
power of their own; in the last analysis they are completely reducible
to labor and land, which produced them, and time. Capital goods are
“stored-up” labor, land, and time; they are
intermediate
way stations on the road to the eventual attainment of the
consumers’ goods into which they are transformed. At every
step
of the way, they must be worked on by labor, in conjunction with
nature, in order to continue the process of production. Capital is not
an independent productive factor like the other two. An
excellent
illustration of this truth has been provided by Böhm-Bawerk:
The
following
analogy will make it perfectly clear. A man throws a stone at another
man and kills him. Has the stone killed the man? If the question is put
without laying any special emphasis it may be answered without
hesitation in the affirmative. But how if the murderer, on his
trial, were to defend himself by saying that it was not he but the
stone that had killed the man? Taking the words in this sense, should
we still say that the stone had killed the man, and acquit the
murderer? Now it is with an emphasis like this that economists
inquire as to the independent productivity of capital. . . .
We
are not asking about dependent intermediate causes, but about ultimate
independent elements. The question is not whether capital
plays a
part in the bringing about of a productive result—such as the
stone does in the killing of the man—but whether, granted the
productive result, some part of it is due to capital so entirely and
peculiarly that it simply cannot be put to the credit of the
two
other recognized elementary factors, nature and labor.
Böhm-Bawerk
replies in the negative, pointing out that capital goods are purely way
stations in the process of production, worked on at every possible
stage by the forces of labor and land:
If,
today, by
allying my labor with natural powers, I make bricks out of clay, and
tomorrow, by allying my labor with natural gifts, I obtain lime, and
the day after that make mortar and so construct a wall, can it be said
of any part of the wall that I and the natural powers have not
made it? Again, before a lengthy piece of work, such as the building of
a house, is quite finished, it naturally must be at one time a fourth
finished, then a half finished, then three-quarters finished. What now
would be said if one were to describe these inevitable stages of the
work as independent requisites of house-building, and maintain that,
for the building of a house, we require, besides building
materials and labor, a quarter-finished house, a half-finished house, a
three-quarters finished house? In form perhaps it is less striking, but
in effect it is not a whit more correct, to elevate those intermediate
steps in the progress of the work, which outwardly take the shape of
capital, into an independent agent of production by the side of nature
and labor.
And
this holds
true regardless of how many stages are involved or how remote the
capital good is from the ultimate consumers’ good.
Since investment in capital goods involves looking toward the future,
one of the risks that an actor must always cope with is the uncertainty
of future conditions. Producing consumers’ goods directly
involves a very short period of production, so that the uncertainty
incurred is not nearly as great as the uncertainty of longer processes
of production, an uncertainty that becomes more and more important as
the period of production lengthens.
Suppose that Crusoe, while deciding on his investment in the stick,
believes that there is a good possibility of his finding a grove where
berries are in abundance, giving him an output of 50 or more berries
per hour without the aid of a stick, and also where the berries would
be so close as to render the stick useless. In that case, the more
likely he thinks are the chances of finding the grove, the less likely
he is to make the decision to invest in the stick, which would then be
of no help to him. The greater the doubt about the usefulness the stick
will have after it is ready, the less likelihood of investing in it,
and the more likelihood of either investing in another good or of
consuming instead of saving. We can consider that there is a sort of
“uncertainty discount” on the expected
future utility
of the investment that may be so large as to induce the actor
not
to make the investment. The uncertainty factor in this case works with
the time-preference factor to the disadvantage of the investment,
against which the actor balances the expected utility of future output.
On the other hand, uncertainty may work as an added spur to making the
investment. Thus, suppose that Crusoe believes that a blight may strike
the berries very shortly and that if this happens, his unaided
berry-output would dangerously decline. If the blight struck, Crusoe
would be in great need of the stick to even maintain his output at the
present low level. Thus, the possibility that the stick may be of even
greater use to him than he anticipates will add to the expected utility
of his investment, and the greater the chance of this possibility in
Crusoe’s view, the more likely he will be to invest in the
stick.
Thus, the uncertainty factor may work in either direction,
depending on the specific situation involved.
We may explain the entire act of deciding whether or not to perform an
act of capital formation as the balancing of relative utilities,
“discounted” by the actor’s rate of time
preference
and also by the uncertainty factor. Thus, first let us assume, for
purposes of simplification, that Crusoe, in making the stick,
forgoes 10 hours’ worth of present goods, i.e., 200 berries,
and
has acquired 1,500 berries three days later as a result of the
investment decision. If the 1,500 berries had been immediately
available, there would be no doubt that he would have given up 200
berries to acquire 1,500. Thus, 1,500 berries in the present might have
a rank of four on his value scale, while 200 berries have a rank of 11:

Now, how will Crusoe decide between 200 berries in the present and
1,500 berries three days from now? Since all choices have to be made on
one value scale, Crusoe must grade the utility of 1,500 berries three
days from now as against the utility of 200 berries now. If the former
is greater (higher on his value scale) he will make the decision to
save and invest in the stick. If the latter is greater, and his 200
berries forgone have a greater value than the expectation of
1,500
berries three days from now, then his time preference has conquered the
increased utility of stock, and he will not make the saving-investment
decision. Thus, the actor’s value scale may be:

In case (b) he will make the decision to invest; in
case (a) he will not. We can say that the value of
1,500 berries three days from now is the present value of the
future good. The expected future good is discounted by the
actor according to his rate of time preference.
The present value of his expected future good is compared to the
present value of the present good on the actor’s value scale,
and
the decision to save and invest is made accordingly. It is clear that
the higher the rate of discount, the lower the present value of the
future good will be, and the greater the likelihood of abstaining from
the investment. On the other hand, the lower the rate of discount, the
higher the present value of future goods will be on the
actor’s
value scale, and the greater the likelihood of its being greater than
the value of present goods forgone, and hence of his making
the
investment.
Thus, the investment decision will be determined by which is greater:
the present value of the future good or the present value of present
goods forgone. The present value of the future good, in turn, is
determined by the value that the future good would have if immediately
present (say, the “expected future value of the future
good”); and by the rate of time preference. The greater the
former, the greater will be the present value of the future good; the
greater the latter (the rate of discount of future compared to present
goods), the lower the present value.
At any point in time, an actor has a range of investment
decisions
open to him of varying potential utilities for the products that will
be provided.
He
also has a certain rate of time preference by which he will
discount these expected future utilities to their present value. How
much he will save and invest in any period will be determined by
comparing these present values with the value of the
consumers’
goods forgone in making the investment decision. As he makes one
investment decision after another, he will choose to allocate his
resources first to investments of highest present value, then
to
those of next highest, etc. As he continues investing (at any given
time), the present value of the future utilities will decline. On the
other hand, since he is giving up a larger and larger supply of
consumers’ goods in the present, the utility of the
consumers’ goods that he forgoes (leisure and others) will
increase—on the basis of the law of marginal utility. He will
cease saving and investing at the point at which the value of goods
forgone exceeds the present value of the future utilities to be
derived. This will determine an actor’s rate
of saving and investing at any time.
It is evident that the problem again arises: How can actors decide and
compare time-preference rates for innumerable possible goods
and
in a complex, modern economy? And here too, the answer for a complex
economy lies in establishing commensurability among all the
various commodities, present and future, as will be discussed in later
chapters.
Now, the uncertainty factors enter into the actor’s decision
in
one way or the other. The delicate procedure of weighing all the
various factors in the situation is a complex process that takes place
in the mind of every actor according to his understanding of the
situation. It is a decision depending purely on the individual
judgment, the subjective estimates, of each actor. The
“best” decision cannot be exactly, or
quantitatively,
decided upon in advance by objective methods. This process of forecasting
the future conditions that will occur during the course of his action
is one that must be engaged in by every actor. This necessity of
guessing the course of the relevant conditions and their possible
change during the forthcoming action is called the act of
entrepreneurship.
Thus, to some extent at least, every man is an entrepreneur.
Every
actor makes his estimate of the uncertainty situation with regard to
his forthcoming action.
The concepts of success or failure
in entrepreneurship are thus deducible from the existence of action.
The relatively successful entrepreneur is the one who has guessed
correctly the changes in conditions to take place during the action,
and has invested accordingly. He is the Crusoe who has decided not to
build the stick because his judgment tells him that he will soon find a
new grove of berries, which he then finds. On the other hand, the
relatively unsuccessful entrepreneur is the one who has been badly
mistaken in his forecast of the relevant changes in conditions
taking place during the course of his action. He is the Crusoe who has
failed to provide himself with a stick against the blight. The
successful actor, the successful entrepreneur, makes correct estimates;
the unsuccessful entrepreneur is the one who makes erroneous estimates.
Suppose now that an investment has already been made, and capital goods
have already been built with a goal in view, when changing conditions
reveal that an error has been made. The actor is then faced with the
problem of determining what to do with the capital good. The answer
depends on the convertibility of the capital good.
If the good
becomes worthless in the use for which it is intended, the actor,
though having made an error in investing in it in the first
place,
now has it on his hands and has to make the best of it. If there is
another use to which the actor can conveniently transfer the capital
good, he will do so. Thus, if Crusoe finds that a new grove has
rendered his stick useless for berry-picking, he may use it as a
walking stick. He would not have invested in it originally if he had
known it would be useless for berry-picking, but now that he
has
it, he turns it to its most urgent available use. On the other hand, he
may feel that it is hardly worthwhile to spend time replacing the
stick, now that it is usable only for walking purposes. Or, after
working 50 hours and building an axe, he may find a house left by some
previous inhabitant. The axe, however, may be convertible to use in
something just a bit lower in value—say, building a bow and
arrows for hunting or building a boat for fishing. The axe may be so
valuable in these uses that Crusoe will still work to replace and
maintain it in operation.
It is clear that the accumulated stock of capital goods (or, for that
matter, durable consumers’ goods) imposes a conservative
force on
present-day action. The actor in the present is influenced by his (or
someone else’s) actions in the past, even if the latter were
to
some extent in error. Thus, Crusoe might find an axe already available,
built by a previous inhabitant. It might not be the sort of axe that
Crusoe would consider the best available. However, he may decide, if it
is a serviceable axe, to use it as a capital good and to wait until it
wears out before replacing it with one of his choosing. On the other
hand, he may feel that it is so blunt as to be of little use, and begin
immediately to work on an axe of his own.
The conservatism of the past exercises a similar influence on the
question of location,
another aspect of the same problem. Thus, Crusoe may already have built
his house, cleared a field, etc., in one portion of the island. Then,
one day, in walking around the island, he might find a section at the
other end with far greater advantages in fishing, fruits, etc. If he
had not invested in any capital goods or durable
consumers’
goods, he would immediately shift his location to this more abundant
area. However, he has already invested in certain capital goods: some,
such as the axe, are easily convertible to the new location; others,
such as the cleared field and the house, cannot be converted in their
location. Therefore, he has to decide on his value scale between the
advantages and disadvantages of moving: the more abundant fish and
fruits versus the necessity of working to build a new house, make a new
clearing, etc. He might decide, for example, to stay in the house and
clearing until they have worn down to a certain point, without working
on a replacement, and then shift to the new location.
If an actor decides to abandon nonconvertible capital, such as the
stick or the cleared field, in favor of producing other capital and
consumers’ goods, he is not, as some may
think, wasting
his resources by allowing the emergence of “unused
capacity” of his resources. When Crusoe abandons his clearing
or
stick or house (which may be considered in this connection as
equivalent to capital), he is abandoning nonconvertible capital for the
sake of using his labor in combination with natural elements or
capital goods that he believes will yield him a greater
utility.
Similarly, if he refuses to go deep into a jungle for berries,
he
is not “wasting” his nonconvertible supply of
land-and-berries, for he judges doing so of far less utility than other
uses that he could make of his labor and time. The existence of a
capital good not in use reveals an error made by this or by some
previous actor in the past, but indicates that the
actor
expects to acquire a greater utility from other uses of his labor than
he could obtain by continuing the capital good in its
originally
intended use or by converting it to some other use.
This discussion provides the clue to an analysis of how actors will
employ the original nature-given factors of production. In many cases,
actors have their choice among the varying elements provided by nature.
Thus, suppose that Crusoe, in his explorations of the island,
finds that among the possible locations where he can settle, some are
abundant in their output of berries (setting aside their
production of other consumers’ goods), some less so, and some
useless and barren. Clearly, other considerations being equal, he will
settle on the most fertile—the “best”
land—and
employ this factor as far as is determined by the utility of its
product, the possibility of investing in useful capital goods on the
land, the value he places on leisure, etc. The poorer areas of land
will remain unused. As stated above, this development is to be
expected; there is no reason to be surprised at such evidence
of
“unused resources.” On the other hand, if the
better areas
are used up, then Crusoe will go on to utilize some of the next best
areas, until the utility of the supply produced fails to exceed the
utility of his leisure forgone. (“Next best”
includes all
the relevant factors, such as productivity, convenient access to the
best land, etc.)
Areas of potential use, but which the actor chooses not
to bring into use because it would not “pay” in
terms of
utilities forgone, are called submarginal areas. They are not objects
of action at the moment, but the actor has them in mind for
possible future use.
On the other hand, Crusoe’s island may be so small or so
barren
that all his available useful land or water areas must be pressed into
use. Thus, Crusoe might have to explore the whole island for his daily
output of 200 berries. In that case, if his resources are such that he
must always employ all the possibly useful nature-given
factors,
it is obvious that the actor is pretty close to the bare survival level.
In those cases where nature-given factors are worked on,
“improved,” and maintained by human labor,
these are,
in effect, thereby changed into capital goods. Thus, land that has been
cleared, tilled, plowed, etc., by human labor has become a capital
good. This land is a produced good, and not an originally given good.
Decisions concerning whether and how much to improve the soil, or
whether to maintain it or extract the maximum present
consumers’ goods at the expense of future losses
(“erosion”), are on exactly the same footing as all
capital-formation decisions. They depend on a comparison of
the
expected utility of future production as against the utility of present
consumers’ goods forgone.
It is clear that capital formation and the concomitant
lengthening
of the period of production prolong the period of provision
of the actor. Capital formation lengthens the period in the future for
which he is providing for the satisfaction of wants. Action
involves the anticipation of wants that will be felt in the future, an
estimate of their relative urgency, and the setting about to satisfy
them. The more capital men invest, the longer their period of provision
will tend to be. Goods being directly and presently consumed are present
goods. A future good
is the present expectation of enjoying a consumers’
good at
some point in the future. A future good may be a claim on future
consumers’ goods, or it may be a capital good, which will be
transformed into a consumers’ good in the future.
Since a
capital good is a way station (and nature-given factors are original
stations) on the route to consumers’ goods, capital goods and
nature-given factors are both future goods.
Similarly, the period of provision can be prolonged by
lengthening
the duration of serviceableness of the consumers’ goods being
produced. A house has a longer durability than a crop of berries, for
example, and Crusoe’s investment in a house
considerably
lengthens his period of provision. A durable consumers’ good
is
consumed only partially from day to day, so that each day’s
consumption is that of a present good, while the stock of the remainder
is a future good. Thus, if a house is built and will last 3,000 days,
one day’s use will consume 1/3,000 of
it, while the
remainder will be consumed in the future. One three-thousandth of the
house is a present good, while the remaining part is a future good.
It may be added that another method of lengthening the period of
production is the simple accumulation of stocks of consumers’
goods to be consumed in the future instead of the present. For example,
Crusoe might save a stock of 100 berries to be consumed a few days or a
week later. This is often called plain saving, as
distinguished from capitalist saving, in which
saving enters into the process of capital formation.
We
shall see, however, that there is no essential difference between the
two types of saving and that plain saving is also capitalist saving in
that it too results in capital formation. We must keep in mind the
vital fact that the concept of a “good” refers to a
thing
the units of which the actor believes afford equal serviceability. It
does not refer to the physical or chemical characteristics of the good.
We remember our critique of the popular fallacious objection
to
the universal fact of time preference—that, in any given
winter,
ice the next summer is preferred to ice now.
This was not a case of
preferring the consumption of the same
good in the future to its consumption in the present. If Crusoe has a
stock of ice in the winter and decides to “save”
some until
next summer, this means that “ice-in-the-summer” is
a different
good, with a different intensity of satisfaction, from
“ice-in-the-winter,” despite their physical
similarities.
The case of berries or of any other good is similar. If Crusoe decides
to postpone consuming a portion of his stock of berries, this must mean
that this portion will have a greater intensity of satisfaction if
consumed later than now—enough greater, in fact, to overcome
his
time preference for the present. The reasons for such difference may be
numerous, involving anticipated tastes and conditions of supply on that
future date. At any rate,
“berries-eaten-a-week-from-now”
become a more highly valued good than
“berries-eaten-now,”
and the number of berries that will be shifted from today’s
to
next week’s consumption will be determined by the behavior of
the
diminishing marginal utility of next week’s berries
(as the
supply increases), the increasing marginal utility of
today’s berries (as the supply decreases), and the rate of
time
preference. Suppose that as a resultant of these factors, Crusoe
decides to shift 100 berries for this purpose. In that case, these 100
berries are removed from the category of consumers’ goods and
shifted to that of capital goods. These are the sort of capital goods,
however, which, like wine, need only maturing time
to be
transferred into consumers’ goods, without the expenditure of
labor (except the possible extra labor of storing and unstoring the
berries).
It is clear, therefore, that the accumulation of a stock of
consumers’ goods is also saving that goes into
capital
formation.
The
saved goods immediately become capital goods, which later
mature
into more highly valued consumers’ goods. There is no
essential difference between the two types of saving.
10. Action as an Exchange
We have stated that all action involves an exchange—a giving
up
of a state of affairs for what the actor expects will be a more
satisfactory state.
We
may now elaborate on the implications of this truth, in the light of
the numerous examples that have been given in this chapter. Every
aspect of action has involved a choice among alternatives—a
giving up of some goods for the sake of acquiring others. Wherever the
choice occurred—whether among uses of durable
consumers’
goods, or of capital goods; saving versus consumption; labor versus
leisure; etc.—such choices among alternatives, such
renouncing of one thing in favor of another, were always present. In
each case, the actor adopted the course that he believed would afford
him the highest utility on his value scale; and in each case, the actor
gave up what he believed would turn out to be a lesser utility.
Before analyzing the range of alternative choices further, it is
necessary to emphasize that man must always act.
Since he is always in a position to improve his lot, even
“doing
nothing” is a form of acting. “Doing
nothing”—or spending all of his time in
leisure—is a
choice that will affect his supply of consumers’ goods.
Therefore, man must always be engaged in choosing and in action.
Since man is always acting, he must always be engaged in trying to
attain the greatest height on his value scale,
whatever the type of choice under consideration. There must always
be room for improvement in his value scale; otherwise all of
man’s wants would be perfectly satisfied, and action would
disappear. Since this cannot be the case, it means that there is always
open to each actor the prospect of improving his lot, of attaining a
value higher than he is giving up, i.e., of making a psychic
profit. What he is giving up may be called his costs,
i.e., the utilities that he is forgoing in order to attain a better
position. Thus, an actor’s costs are his forgone
opportunities to
enjoy consumers’ goods. Similarly, the (greater) utility that
he
expects to acquire because of the action may be considered his psychic
income, or psychic revenue,
which in turn will be equal to the utility of the goods he will consume
as a result of the action. Hence, at the inauguration of any
action, the actor will believe that this course of action will, among
the alternatives, maximize his psychic income or psychic
revenue, i.e., attain the greatest height on his value scale.
APPENDIX
A
PRAXEOLOGY AND ECONOMICS
This chapter has been an exposition of part of praxeological
analysis—the analysis that forms the body of economic theory.
This analysis takes as its fundamental premise the existence of human
action. Once it is demonstrated that human action is a necessary
attribute of the existence of human beings, the rest of
praxeology
(and its subdivision, economic theory) consists of the elaboration of
the logical implications of the concept of action. Economic analysis is
of the form:
(1)
Assert A—action axiom.
(2) If A, then B; if B,
then C; if C, then D,
etc.—by rules of logic.
(3) Therefore, we assert (the truth of) B, C, D,
etc.
It is important to realize that economics does not propound any laws
about the content
of man’s ends. The examples that we have given, such as ham
sandwich, berries, etc., are simply illustrative instances,
and
are not meant to assert anything about the content of a man’s
goals at any given time. The concept of action involves the use of
scarce means for satisfying the most urgent wants at some point in the
future, and the truths of economic theory involve the formal
relations between ends and means, and not their specific
contents.
A man’s ends may be “egoistic” or
“altruistic,” “refined” or
“vulgar.” They may emphasize the enjoyment of
“material goods” and comforts, or they may stress
the
ascetic life. Economics is not concerned with their content, and its
laws apply regardless of the nature of these ends.
Praxeology, therefore, differs from psychology or
from the philosophy of ethics.
Since all these disciplines deal with the subjective decisions of
individual human minds, many observers have believed that they are
fundamentally identical. This is not the case at all. Psychology and
ethics deal with the content of human ends; they ask, why
does the man choose such and such ends, or what
ends should men value? Praxeology and economics
deal with any
given ends and with the formal implications of the fact that men have
ends and employ means to attain them. Praxeology and economics are
therefore disciplines separate and distinct from the others.
Thus, all explanations of the law of marginal utility on
psychological or physiological grounds are erroneous. For
example,
many writers have based the law of marginal utility on an alleged
“law of the satiation of wants,” according
to which a
man can eat so many scoops of ice cream at one time, etc., and then
becomes satiated. Whether or not this is true in psychology is
completely irrelevant to economics. These writers erroneously concluded
that, at the beginning of the supply, a second unit may be more
enjoyable than the first, and therefore that marginal utility may
increase at first before declining. This is completely
fallacious.
The law of marginal utility depends on no physiological or
psychological assumptions but is based on the praxeological truth that
the first unit of a good will be used to satisfy the most urgent want,
the second unit the next most urgent want, etc. It must be remembered
that these “units” must be of equal potential
serviceability.
For example, it is erroneous to argue as follows: Eggs are the good in
question. It is possible that a man needs four eggs to bake a cake. In
that case, the second egg may be used for a less urgent use than the
first egg, and the third egg for a less urgent use than the second.
However, since the fourth egg allows a cake to be produced
that
would not otherwise be available, the marginal utility of the fourth
egg is greater than that of the third egg.
This argument neglects the fact that a “good” is
not the
physical material, but any material whatever of which the units will
constitute an equally serviceable supply. Since the fourth egg is not
equally serviceable and interchangeable with the first egg, the two
eggs are not units of the same supply, and
therefore the law of
marginal utility does not apply to this case at all. To treat eggs in
this case as homogeneous units of one good, it would be
necessary
to consider each set of four eggs as a unit.
To
sum up the
relationship and the distinctions between praxeology and each of the
other disciplines, we may describe them as follows:
-
Why man chooses various ends: psychology.
-
What men’s ends should
be: philosophy of ethics.
also: philosophy of aesthetics.
-
How to use means to arrive at
ends: technology.
What man’s ends are and have been, and how man has
used means in order to attain them: history.
-
The formal implications of the
fact that men use means to attain various chosen ends: praxeology.
What is the relationship between praxeology and economic analysis?
Economics is a subdivision of praxeology—so far the only
fully
elaborated subdivision. With praxeology as the general, formal
theory of human action, economics includes the analysis of the action
of an isolated individual (Crusoe economics) and, especially elaborate,
the analysis of interpersonal exchange (catallactics). The rest of
praxeology is an unexplored area. Attempts have been made to formulate
a logical theory of war and violent action, and violence in
the
form of government has been treated by political philosophy and by
praxeology in tracing the effects of violent intervention in the free
market. A theory of games has been elaborated, and interesting
beginnings have been made in a logical analysis of voting.
The suggestion has been made that, since praxeology and economics are
logical chains of reasoning based on a few universally known
premises, to be really scientific it should be elaborated
according to the symbolic notations of mathematical logic.
This
represents a curious misconception of the role of mathematical logic,
or “logistics.” In the first place, it is the great
quality
of verbal propositions that each one is meaningful.
On the
other hand, algebraic and logical symbols, as used in logistics, are
not in themselves meaningful. Praxeology asserts the action axiom as
true, and from this (together with a few empirical
axioms—such as
the existence of a variety of resources and individuals) are deduced,
by the rules of logical inference, all the propositions of economics,
each one of which is verbal and meaningful. If the logistic array of
symbols were used, each proposition would not be meaningful. Logistics,
therefore, is far more suited to the physical sciences, where, in
contrast to the science of human action, the conclusions
rather
than the axioms are known. In the physical sciences, the premises are
only hypothetical, and logical deductions are made from them. In these
cases, there is no purpose in having meaningful propositions at each
step of the way, and therefore symbolic and mathematical language is
more useful.
Simply to develop economics verbally, then to translate into logistic
symbols, and finally to retranslate the propositions back into English,
makes no sense and violates the fundamental scientific principle of
Occam’s razor, which calls for the greatest possible
simplicity
in science and the avoidance of unnecessary multiplication of
entities or processes.
Contrary to what might be believed, the use of verbal logic is not
inferior to logistics. On the contrary, the latter is merely an
auxiliary device based on the former. For formal logic deals with the
necessary and fundamental laws of thought, which must be verbally
expressed, and logistics is only a symbolic system that uses this
formal verbal logic as its foundation. Therefore, praxeology and
economics need not be apologetic in the slightest for the use of verbal
logic—the fundamental basis of symbolic logic, and
meaningful at each step of the route.
APPENDIX
B
ON MEANS AND ENDS
It is often charged that any theory grounded on a logical
separation of means and ends is unrealistic because the two
are
often amalgamated or fused into one. Yet if man acts
purposively,
he therefore drives toward ends, and whatever route he takes, he must,
ipso facto, employ means to achieve them. The distinction between means
and ends is a necessary logical distinction rooted in all
human—indeed, all purposive—action. It is difficult
to see
the sense in any denial of this primordial truth. The only sense to the
charge concerns those cases where certain objects, or rather certain
routes of action, become ends in themselves as well as means to other
ends. This, of course, can often happen. There is no difficulty,
however, in incorporating them into an analysis, as has been done
above. Thus, a man may work at a certain job not only for the
pay,
but also because he enjoys the work or the location. Moreover, any
desire for money is a desire for a means to other ends. The critics of
praxeology confuse the necessary and eternal separation of ends and
means as categories with their frequent coincidence in a
particular concrete resource or course of action.
In
this sense, the stick might be called a “labor-saving
device,” although the terminology is misleading. It is
“labor-saving” only to the extent that the actor
chooses to
take the increased productivity in the form of leisure.
It
is necessary to emphasize that independent acts of saving are necessary
for replacement of goods, since many writers (e.g., J.B. Clark, Frank
H. Knight) tend to assume that, once produced, capital, in some
mystical way, reproduces itself without further need for acts of saving.
Cf. Frederic Benham, Economics
(New York: Pitman Publishing, 1941), p. 162.
Böhm-Bawerk, Positive
Theory of Capital, pp. 95–96. Also see
Mises, Human Action, pp. 480–90, and pp.
476–514.
This
uncertainty is a subjective feeling (“hunch” or
estimate)
and cannot be measured in any way. The efforts of many popular
writers to apply mathematical “probability theory”
to the
uncertainty of future historical events are completely vain. Cf. Mises,
Human Action, pp. 105–18.
That
such a range of investment decisions enabling him to achieve greater
future output must always be open to him is a fundamental truth
derived from the assumption of human action. If they were not
open
to him, it would mean that man could not (or rather, believed that he
could not) act to improve his lot, and therefore there would be no
possibility of action. Since we cannot even conceive of human
existence without action, it follows that
“investment
opportunities” are always available.
On the “unused
capacity” bogey, see Benham, Economics,
pp. 147–49.
Cf. Böhm-Bawerk, Positive
Theory of Capital, pp. 238–44.
Plain
saving is not to be confused with an earlier example, when Crusoe saved
stocks of consumers’ goods to be consumed while devoting his
labor to the production of capital.
The
period of production will be equal to the time difference between the
act of saving and the act of future consumption, as in all other cases
of investment.
Cf. G.J. Schuller,
“Rejoinder,” American Economic Review,
March, 1951, p. 188. For a reply, see Murray N.
Rothbard, “Toward a Reconstruction of Utility and
Welfare Economics” in Mary Sennholz, ed. On Freedom
and Free Enterprise: Essays in Honor of Ludwig von Mises
(Princeton, N.J.: D. Van Nostrand, 1956), p. 227. Also see
Boris Ischboldin, “A Critique of Econometrics,” Review
of Social Economy,
September, 1960, pp. 110–27; and Vladimir Niksa,
“The Role
of Quantitative Thinking in Modern Economic Theory,” Review
of Social Economy, September, 1959, pp.
151–73.
Cf. René Poirier,
“Sur Logique” in André Lalande, Vocabulaire
technique et critique de la philosophie (Paris:
Presses Universitaires de France, 1951), pp. 574–75.
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