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One strong recent trend among economists,
businessmen, and politicians, has been to
lament the amount of savings and investment in the United States as
being far too low. It is
pointed out that the American percentage of savings to national income
is far lower than among
the West Germans, or among our feared competitors, the Japanese.
Recently, Secretary of the
Treasury Nicholas Brady sternly warned of the low savings and
investment levels in the United
States.
This sort of argument should be considered on many
levels. First, and least important, the
statistics are usually manipulated to exaggerate the extent of the
problem. Thus, the scariest
figures (e.g., U.S. savings as only 1.5 % of national income) only
mention
personal
savings, and omit business savings; also, capital gains are almost
always omitted as a source of
savings and investment.
But these are minor matters. The most vital
question is: even conceding that U.S. savings
are 1.5% of national income and Japanese savings are 15%, what,
if anything, is the proper
amount or percentage of savings?
Consumers voluntarily decide to divide their income
into spending on consumer goods,
as against saving and investment for future income. If Mr. Jones
invests x percent of his income
for future use, by what standard, either moral or economic, does some
outside person come along
and denounce him for being wrong or immoral for not investing X+l
percent? Everyone knows
that if they consume less now, and save and invest more, they will be
able to earn a higher
income at some point in the future. But which they choose depends on
the rate of their time
preferences: how much they prefer consuming now to consuming later.
Since everyone makes
this decision on the basis of his own life, his particular situation,
and his own value-scales, to
denounce his decision requires some extra-individual criterion, some
criterion outside the person
with which to override his preferences.
That criterion cannot be economic, since what is
efficient and economic can only be
decided within a frame-work of voluntary decisions made by individuals.
For the criterion to be
moral would be extraordinarily shaky, since moral truths, like economic
laws, are not
quantitative but qualitative. Moral laws, such as "thou shalt not kill"
or "thou shalt not steal," are
qualitative; there is no moral law which says that "thou shalt not
steal more than 62% of the
time." So, if people are being exhorted to save more and consume less
as a moral doctrine, the
moralist is required to come up with some quantitative optimum, such
as: when specifically, is
saving too low, and when is it too high? Vague exhortations to save
more make little moral or
economic sense.
But the lamenters do have an important point. For
there are an enormous number of
government measures which cripple and greatly lower savings, and add to
consumption in
society. In many ways, government steps in, employs many instruments of
coercion, and skews
the voluntary choices of society away from saving and investment and
toward consumption.
Our complainers about saving don't always say what,
beyond exhortation, they think
should be done about the situation. Left-liberals call for more
governmental "investment" or
higher taxes so as to reduce the government deficit, which they assert
is "dissaving." But one
thing which the government can legitimately do is simply get rid of its
own coercive influence in
favor of consumption and against saving and investment. In this way,
the voluntary time
preferences and choices of individuals would be liberated, instead of
overridden, by government.
The Bush administration began eliminating some of
the coercive anti-saving measures
that had been imposed by the so-called Tax Reform Act of 1986. One was
the abolition of
tax-deduction for IRAs, which wiped out an important category of
middle-class saving and
investment; another was the steep increase in the capital gains tax,
which is a confiscation of
savings, and to the extent that capital gains are not indexed for
inflation--a direct confiscation of
accumulated wealth.
But this is only the tip of the iceberg. To say
that only government deficits are
"dis-saving" is to imply that higher taxes increase social savings and
investment. Actually, while
the national income statistics assume that all government spending
except welfare payments are
"investment," the truth is precisely the opposite.
All business spending is investment because it goes
toward increasing the production of
goods that will eventually be sold to consumers. But government
spending is simply consumer
spending for the benefit of the income, and for the whims and values,
of government's politicians
and bureaucrats. Taxation and government spending siphon social
resources away from
productive consumers who earn the money they receive, and away from
their private
consumption and saving, and toward consumption expenditure by
unproductive politicians,
bureaucrats, and their followers and subsidies.
Yes, there is certainly too little saving and
investment in the United States, as a result of
which the U.S. standard of living per person is scarcely higher than it
was in the early 1970s. But
the problem is not that individuals and families are somehow failing
their responsibilities by
consuming too much and saving too little, as most of the complainers
contend. The problem
is not in ourselves the American public, but in our overlords.
All government taxation and spending diminishes
saving and consumption by genuine
producers, for the benefit of a parasitic burden of consumption
spending by non-producers.
Restoring tax deductions and repealing--not just lowering--the capital
gains tax, would be most
welcome, but they would only scratch the surface.
What is really needed is a drastic reduction of all
government taxation and spending,
state, local, and federal, across the board. The lifting of that
enormous parasitic burden would
bring about great increases in the standard of living of all productive
Americans, in the short-run
as well as in the future.
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