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Financial scandals are juicy, dramatic, and fun,
especially when they bring down such
arrogant and aggressive social lions as Salomon Brothers head, John
Gutfreund and his crew.
And even more so when they elevate, as the rugged Nebraskan in the
white hat riding in to Wall
Street to try to save the day,
Mr. Integrity, billionaire Warren Buffett (coincidentally, the
son of my old friend, the staunch libertarian and pro-gold Congressman,
the late Howard
Buffett). But when we have stopped exhilarating in Mr. Gutfreund's
grievous fall, we might
ponder the matter a bit more deeply.
In the first place, what did Salomon Brothers do
that merits all the firings and the
stripping of epaulets from the shoulders of the top Salomon executives?
That they finagled a bit
to get around rules on maximum share of government bond issues, doesn't
seem to merit all this
hysteria. Why should Salomon have cleaved solemnly to rules that make
no sense whatever? But
Salomon might have cornered the market temporarily on some new Treasury
issues? So what?
Why shouldn't they make some money at the expense of competitors?
The only thing clearly beyond the pale done by
Salomon Brothers was to sign its
customers' names to bond orders without their knowledge or consent.
That, surely, was fraud and
merits censure; but, again, it needs to be pointed out that such
chicanery would not even have
been considered were it not to evade the silly maximum purchase
regulations imposed by the
Treasury.
If much too much is being made of Salomon's bit of
hanky-panky, does this mean that
nothing is wrong on the government bond market? Quite the contrary.
This fuss was made
possible by a much more deeply-rooted scandal which no one has
denounced: the fact that the
U.S. Treasury has, for decades, conferred special privilege upon a
handful of government bond
dealers, whom it has picked out of the pack and designated as "primary
dealers." Then, instead of
selling its new bond issues at auction in the open market, the Treasury
sells the great bulk of
them to these primary dealers, who in turn resell them to the rest of
the market.
In the meanwhile, there is cozy and continuing
conferring by the Treasury with these
privileged big bond-dealers, who are grouped together in an influential
lobbying cartel called the
Public Securities Association (once named the Primary Dealers
Association).
The Treasury, of course, claims that it is more
efficient to deal with these designated
primary dealers, and it can thus finance its bond issues more cheaply.
But surely the cozy closed
partnership and the conflicts of interest it conjures up, more than
makes up for
the
alleged benefit by bathing the entire proceedings in what looks very
much like cartel privilege.
The small group of large dealers benefits at the expense of their
smaller competitors.
Moreover, the problem in the government bond market
is even deeper. Once a small and
relatively insignificant part of the capital market, the Treasury bond
market now looms
massively, casting its blight on all credit and capital. The total U.S.
public debt now amounts to
$3.61 trillion, of which no less than $117 billion of securities
changes hands every day. But a
flourishing government bond market means a market starved for private
capital and credit; it
means that increasingly, private savings are being siphoned away from
productive investments
and into the rathole of wasteful and counter-productive government
expenditures.
It is doubtful, therefore, whether we really want a
smoothly running and efficient
government bond market. On the contrary, a government bond market in
difficulty is a market
where less of our savings is poured down a rathole, and more is
channeled into productive
investment that will raise our living standards.
We need, in fact, to do some long, hard thinking
about the blight of government debt on
our capital markets. Wouldn't it be better if such debt were to
disappear altogether? One
beneficial reform would be to return to the route of Britain in the
19th century, where much
government debt was due not in six months, or five years, or
twenty-years, but was permanent
debt, or "consols," that never came due at all.
The permanent consol paid perpetual interest, and
was never contracted to pay its
principal. If the British government wanted to reduce the public debt,
it could use its fiscal
surplus to buy back and cancel some of the consols. Replacing our
current debt with consols
would mean that the government would not have to keep coming back to
the bond market,
redeem principal, and refloat the debt; the crowding out of private
credit and investment would
be far smaller. Of course, the government would then have to pay higher
interest since the
principal would never be redeemed; but that would be a small price to
pay for lifting so much of
the debt burden from the capital markets.
Alternatively, and more radically, we could even
ponder the old drastic Jeffersonian
solution: simply repudiating the debt, and
writing it off the books. Undoubtedly,
repudiation would be a severe blow to American bondholders; on the
other hand, think of the
burden that would be lifted from U.S. taxpayers! Think of the spur to
savings and productive
investment! It might be replied, however, that, upon such a stark
declaration of bad faith and
bankruptcy, no one would lend money to the Treasury for a long time
thereafter. But wouldn't
this be a blessing? Surely a world where people refuse, for one reason
or another, to trust or
invest in the operations of government, would be a world happily
inoculated against the
temptations of statism.
Congress, in its wisdom, is trying to decide
whether the Salomon Brothers scandal merits
more severe regulation of the bond market. It should look first,
however, to removing
government privilege, from that market, such as the primary dealers'
cartel and the vast scope of
the government bond market. As in other parts of the economy, and as in
the Communist
countries seeking freedom, the best course for government, far from
coining new plans and
regulations, would be to get itself out of the way, as quickly as
possible. Once again, the best way
for government to benefit the economy is to disappear.
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