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If the federal government's economists have been
good for nothing else in recent years,
they have made great strides in what might be called "creative economic
semantics." First they
redefined the seemingly simple term "budget cut." In the old days, a
"budget cut" was a reduction
of next year's budget below this year's. In that old-fashioned sense,
Dwight Eisenhower's first
two years in office actually cut the budget substantially, though not
dramatically, below the
previous year. Now we have "budget cuts" which are not cuts, but rather
substantial increases
over the previous year's expenditures.
"Cut" became subtly but crucially redefined as
reducing something else. What the
something else might be didn't seem to matter, so long as the focus was
taken off actual dollar
expenditures. Sometimes it was a cut "in the rate of increase," other
times it was a cut in "real"
spending, at still others it was a percentage of GNP, and at yet other
times it was a cut in the
sense of being below past projections for that year.
The result of a series of such "cuts" has been to
raise spending sharply and dramatically
not only in old-fashioned terms, but even in all other categories.
Government spending has gone
up considerably any way you slice it. As a result, even the idea of a
creatively semantic budget
cut has not gone the way of the nickel fare and the Constitution of the
United States.
Another example of creative semantics was the "tax
cut" of 1981-1982, a tax cut so
allegedly fearsome that it had to be offset by outright tax increases
late in 1982, in 1983, in 1984,
and on and on into the future. Again in the old days, a cut in income
taxes meant that the average
person would find less of a slice taken out of his paycheck. But while
the 1981-82 tax changes
did that for some people, the average person found that the piddling
cuts were more than offset
by the continuing rise in the Social Security tax, and by "bracket
creep"--a colorful term for the
process by which inflation
(generated by the federal government's expansion of the
money supply) wafts everyone into higher money income (even though a
price rise might leave
them no better off) and therefore into a higher tax bracket. So that
even though the official
schedule of tax rates might remain the same, the average man is paying
a higher chunk of his
income.
The much-vaunted and much-denounced "tax cut" turns
out, in old-fashioned semantics,
to be no cut at all but rather a substantial increase. In return for
the dubious pleasure of this
non-cut, the American public will have to suffer by paying through the
nose for years to come in
the form of "offsetting," though unfortunately all-too-genuine, tax
increases.
Of course, government economists have been doing
their part as well to try to sugar-coat
the pill of tax increases. They never refer to these changes as
"increases." They have not been
increases at all; they were "revenue enhancement" and "closing
loopholes." The best comment
on the concept of "loopholes" was that of Ludwig von Mises. Mises
remarked that the very
concept of"loopholes" implies that the government rightly owns all of
the money you earn, and
that it becomes necessary to correct the slipup of the government's not
having gotten its hands on
that money long since.
Despite promises of a balanced budget by 1984, we
found that several years of
semantically massaged "budget cuts" and "tax cuts" as well as
"enhancements" resulted in an
enormous, seemingly permanent, and unprecedented deficit. Once again,
creative semantics have
come to the rescue. One route is to use time-honored methods to
redefine the deficit out of
existence. The Keynesians used to redefine it by claiming that in
something called a "full
employment budget" there was no deficit, that is, that if one subtracts
the spending necessary to
achieve full employment, there would be no deficit, perhaps even a
surplus. But while such a
sleight-of-hand might work with a deficit of $20 billion, it is a puny
way to wish away a gap of
$200 billion. Still, the government's economists are trying.
They have already redefined the "deficits" as a
"real increase" in debt, that is, a deficit
discounted by inflation. The more inflation generated by the
government, then, the more it looks
as if the deficit is washed away. On the very same semantic magic, the apologists
for the
disastrous runaway German inflation of 1923 claimed that there was no
inflation at all, since in
terms of gold, German prices were actually falling! And similarly, they
claimed, that since in real
terms the supply of German marks was falling, that the real trouble in
Germany was that there
was too little money being printed rather than too much.
There is no general acceptance for the idea that,
based on some legerdemain, the deficit
doesn't really exist. But there is acceptance of the view that a tax
increase constitutes a "down
payment" on the deficit. Again, in the old days, a "down payment" on a
debt meant that part of
the debt was being paid off. Washington's creative economists have
managed to redefine the
term to mean a hoped-for reduction of next years's increase in the
debt--a very different story
indeed.
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