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Nouriel Roubini?

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Luis Buenaventura Posted: Wed, Apr 15 2009 7:22 PM

Why don't Austrians [we] stop attacking typical Keynesians like Krugman, and go into deeper Keynesians like Roubini. I mean the arguments against Krugman (though right-as far as I know) are getting pretty boring.

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DD5 replied on Wed, Apr 15 2009 9:20 PM

What does Roubini say that is Kenesians?  (excuse my ignorance)

 

 

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Luis Buenaventura:

Why don't Austrians [we] stop attacking typical Keynesians like Krugman, and go into deeper Keynesians like Roubini. I mean the arguments against Krugman (though right-as far as I know) are getting pretty boring.

Because no one knows who Roubini is, but Krugman is a famous economic commentator.

I am becoming a Burkean Whig.

          - F.A. Hayek

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jdavidb replied on Thu, Apr 16 2009 12:38 AM

Who is this "we" you speak of?  Are we a monolithic collective?

I think you need to turn in your Austrian membership card.  No true Austrian would use the pronoun "we" in such a way.

;)

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From what i know Roubini doesn't say much.  I guess he predicted the housing meltodown etc. But he is not a prolific writer, and his public commentary mostly consists of giving his predictions, and just parroting some moderate interventionist line.

do we get free cheezeburger in socielism?

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Roubini has been predicting an imminent bust more or less every year since 2004 (or at least in 2004, 2005 and early 2007):

"Nouriel Roubini, an economist at New York University who was worried about a global recession in 2004, is now predicting that "the U.S. is heading toward a sharp recession by early 2007." In his view, "current economic and financial conditions in the U.S. eerily resemble those that led to the stock market crash in October, 1987.""
Source

Now, being a "permabear" doesn't fully discredit him. After all, even Austrians have been saying that the collapse is coming for a long time (though on a theoretical basis, not claiming to know in detail how and when). My problem is simply that he put very specific time frames on his predictions and claimed to know in detail what happens and they didn't come through. And in addition it should be noted that he was talking about the NBER definition, which makes this even more inaccurate.

Also, I don't have the link any more, but his 2006 IMF speech wasn't exactly accurate. I remember him predicting worldwide stock market shutdowns and such, none of which happened in the time frame he set.
Drag not your strength from government, but from the voices they abuse.
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