A First Glance at What Rights Could Be Infringed by Climate Change
[Cross-posted on the parent blog]
Climatic Shifts and the Right to Environmental Conditions
The
most obvious kind of rights infringement which could be caused by
climate change involves damage done directly to individuals and
property by environmental phenomena. Easiest to think about are the
shifts in “normal” environmental conditions which are projected to
occur in response to human influences on the climate system. One
example of such a shift is the expected rise in sea level which will
occur as higher global temperatures melt a portion of the ice which
naturally covers part of the Earth’s land area, and cause thermal
expansion in the world’s oceans. As sea levels rise, some coastline
property will become submerged or otherwise damaged by encroaching
water lines, and in other places, salty ocean water will mix with the
water table beneath individuals’ property, potentially killing
vegetation and destroying the conditions for certain agricultural
practices. So far as these sorts of impacts are the direct consequences
of anthropogenic climate change, it seems that we would intuitively
want to say that those who contributed to climate change will have
infringed on the rights of those who are harmed.
Similarly, as
regional climates shift towards new equilibrium states as the result of
anthropogenic forcings, it is likely that some of the natural processes
on which people depend will be interfered with. For example, most
organisms can only survive within a certain range of environmental
conditions. Inadequate or excessive rainfall, increased average
temperature, and other climatic factors could prove detrimental to the
capacity of certain organisms to flourish in areas which have
historically supported them well. Many individuals, notably farmers and
fishermen, may be adversely affected by the effects of shifts in their
regional climates for the organisms on which they rely. So far as these
individuals have a right not to be interfered with in pursuing their
livelihoods and wellbeing with the aid of resources which are naturally
available to them, it would seem to constitute an infringement of their
rights to push their climate systems out of their previous states,
bringing about environmental conditions which are injurious to their
interests and livelihoods.
It may be objected that the preceding
discussion assumes that individuals have a right to certain
environmental conditions, where no such right exists. I believe,
however, that such an argument would fail to take into account our
earlier discussion of rights. Conceivably, an objector would point to
the inherent instability and variability in the climate system, and
argue that clearly we are not entitled to complain about such changes.
But as we noted before, to have the right to something means only that
we are entitled to certain things from other moral agents.
For
example, no rights violation would occur if a naturally occurring shift
in your regional climate were to produce temperatures too high for you
to continue to grow wheat on your land. But if your neighbor installed
an enormous heater on the edge of his property and blew warm air onto
your property, killing your wheat crop, we might find good reason to
object. And it seems that the reason that we would object would be that
you have the right to certain environmental conditions, of which you
were being deprived by your neighbor’s actions. I think that this
objection does reflect something which we have an entitlement against
being deprived of in the absence of morally significant reasons, and so
far as climate change does inspire this objection, it constitutes an
infringement of rights of this kind.
Altered Climate Systems and Diverted Damage
Not
all of the effects of climate change will occur as shifts in normal
conditions. For example, a world impacted by climate change will likely
see an increase in the frequency, duration, and severity of extreme
climate events like floods, droughts, and heat waves. It seems that
just as we have the right to have our property damaged by the direct
actions of others, we should have a right against damage resulting from
the amplification of an existing destructive force. Accordingly, by
making the climate system more dangerous, the contributors to climate
change would be infringing others’ rights to the extent that more
damage resulted than would have in the absence of interference.
However,
this intuition is muddied by the fact that in an altered climate
system, we will almost certainly see an entirely different set of
climate events than would have occurred if no interference had taken
place. That is, it is not the case that we will see all of the floods,
droughts, and heat waves that would have occurred naturally, except
that many of them will last longer, and cause more damage, and there
will be some new ones. Rather, the floods, droughts, and heat waves
which normally would have occurred will never eventuate, and they will
be replaced with an entirely new set of floods, droughts, and heat
waves.
Going even further, even those extreme phenomena which
are not made more dangerous (in a statistical sense) by climate change
will likely occur in different patterns in an altered climate system.
For example, while some scientists believe that a warmer climate will
produce a greater number of more intense hurricanes, others believe
that there will be no such change. However, even if these skeptics are
correct, and hurricanes do not generally become more dangerous as a
result of climate change, it is almost certain that there will be
different hurricanes in an altered climate system.
Because they
will be different events, affecting different areas at different times,
the new set of extreme climate phenomena will impact different people
in different ways. This raises an important difficulty in discussing
these impacts from the perspective of justice and rights. Intuitively,
it seems that we should take into account the fact that the climate
system is naturally destructive, and individuals should only be held
responsible for the additional damage that they cause. But in an
important sense, every extreme weather event, and so every instance of
damage, will be the result of the interference with the climate system.
We can only talk about the “additional” damage caused by interference
with the climate by aggregating the total damage done in the altered
climate system and comparing it to the total damage which would have
been done in the absence of interference.
But given the fact
that the damage in question will be distributed differently, impacting
some people more than it would have and others less, it is unclear
whether such an aggregation would be justified. As many have pointed
out in objecting to Utilitarianism and cost-benefit analysis, benefits
to some individuals do not “cancel out” costs to other individuals.
After all, the parties made worse off must still bear the entire burden
of their new circumstances; they do not experience any counterbalancing
good from the beneficial consequences which obtain for others. And
intuitively, it seems reasonable to think that we have a right not to
have damage inflicted on us, regardless of whether others are made
better off as a result. Accordingly, we might say that those who
interfere with the climate system violate others’ rights to the extent
that they bring about consequences which are more damaging to those
individuals.
Rights and Risk
One
might object, however, that there are many ways of interfering with the
climate system which ostensibly cause some redistribution of climatic
events, producing winners and losers, but which we do not generally
think of as involving rights infringements. Given the chaotic nature of
the climate system, one might point out, very small interferences can
have important consequences elsewhere; as the saying goes, the flapping
of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil might cause a tornado in Texas. But
surely we do not need a morally significant reason to fly a kite, or to
go base jumping, or to operate a windmill, because of the tiny
disturbances which will be imposed on the climate system. And if this
is so, then what should we make of the idea that we have the right not
to have climatic damage diverted at us? As we have said, to have a
right to something means that others may not deprive you of it in the
absence of morally significant reasons. If no reasons are necessary to
justify interfering with the climate system in a way which could alter
the distribution of extreme climate events, then this seems to suggest
that we do not have a right against climatic damage being diverted at
us.
If this is true, then are no rights infringed as a result
of the diversion and amplification of the destructive force of the
climate system? We have good reason for thinking that the diversion of
climatic damage does not infringe rights. It will be noted that we
might still identify a problem with the fact that by causing climate
change, we cause a greater overall amount of damage. By contrast, the
eventual consequences of flying a kite on the climate system could just
as easily be positive as negative; a tornado might be caused, but just
as easily, a tornado might be prevented. Taken together, all of the
tiny interferences on the climate system which result from our everyday
activities likely do not cause a greater or lesser overall amount of
damage, especially on a long time scale. But what kind of right could
an individual possess which would be contingent on the overall amount
of damage done by the climate?
Perhaps the answer can be found
in the concept of risk. By increasing the total amount of damage which
will be inflicted by the climate system, contributors to climate change
increase individuals’ risk of damage due to extreme climate events. And
if we add together the increase in the expected value of the climatic
damage done to all individuals over a given period, we will see that
the total will equal the amount by which the climate system was made
“more dangerous” by the interference in question. If we recognize a
right not to be put at greater risk of climatic damage by the actions
of others, then we arrive at a conclusion which matches our initial
intuitions perfectly: Rights are violated to the extent to which the
climate system was made “more damaging” by the contributors to climate
change.
The debate over whether or not we can have rights
based on risk is complex, and I will avoid addressing it here. But it
will be sufficient for our purposes to point out that by dealing with
the problem of altered climate systems in terms of risk, we arrive at
just the kind of answer that we expected to find from the beginning. Of
course, intuitions are often wrong, and we certainly have not proven
here that we have a right against exposure to risk. But we might say
that the fact that such a right matches our intuitions counts as
evidence that it is closer to being right than to being completely
wrong.